USA

Trump’s Elusive Quest for the Nobel Peace Prize

Donald Trump’s repeated efforts to secure the Nobel Peace Prize have drawn both media attention and scholarly critique. The Nobel Peace Prize, established in 1895 through Alfred Nobel’s will, aims to recognize individuals or organizations that have “done the most or the best work for fraternity between nations, for the abolition or reduction of standing armies, and for the holding and promotion of peace congresses.” Trump’s lobbying for the award, including public appeals at forums such as the United Nations General Assembly, contrasts sharply with the prize’s traditional ethos of impartiality, humility, and substantive contribution to global peace. This tension provides a lens through which to evaluate the alignment or lack thereof between Trump’s foreign policy record and Nobel ideals.

Key Issues

  1. Contradiction with Nobel Ideals: Trump’s foreign policy initiatives have frequently undermined international cooperation. Notable examples include the withdrawal of the United States from the World Health Organization and the Paris Climate Accord, as well as the imposition of trade conflicts with traditional allies. Such actions challenge the foundational concept of “fellowship among nations” that Nobel envisioned, raising questions about the substantive merit of Trump’s candidacy.
  2. Lobbying and Credibility: Trump’s public lobbying for the award has historically been viewed as counterproductive. The Nobel Committee values discretion and resists external influence, often perceiving lobbying as a compromise to the prize’s independence and moral authority.
  3. Comparative Historical Precedents: While the Nobel Peace Prize has occasionally been awarded to controversial figures like Henry Kissinger, Barack Obama, and F.W. de Klerk, for instance these awards were largely justified by transformative or conciliatory acts, such as de Klerk’s role in dismantling apartheid. Trump’s record, by contrast, lacks demonstrable actions that correct conflict or foster reconciliation on a comparable scale.
  4. Humanitarian Alternatives: In 2025, scholars predict that humanitarian organizations, UNHCR, UNICEF, Médecins Sans Frontières as well as entities defending press freedom like Reporters Without Borders, are more credible candidates. Their work exemplifies Nobel’s original vision by mitigating human suffering and promoting international solidarity in high-risk contexts.

Stakeholders Involved

  • Historians and Researchers: Asle Sveen, a historian specializing in the Nobel Peace Prize, asserts that Trump has “no chance” due to his inconsistent stance on Russia and support for Israel during the Gaza conflict.
  • Peace Research Institutes: Nina Graeger, director of the Peace Research Institute Oslo, emphasizes that Trump’s withdrawal from international agreements and strained alliances are antithetical to the concept of a peaceful presidency.
  • Nobel Committee Members: Asle Toje, deputy leader, noted that lobbying efforts often have “a negative effect rather than a positive one,” reflecting the Committee’s preference for independent judgment.
  • Policy Analysts: Experts like Karim Haggag of the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute argue that organizations and individuals advancing humanitarian aid and protecting freedom of expression are more aligned with Nobel’s vision.
  • Comparative Voices: Former committee member Henrik Syse highlighted that while controversial laureates have received recognition, it was due to corrective actions—something Trump has not demonstrated.

Implications
Granting the Nobel Peace Prize to Trump could undermine the award’s credibility and diminish its symbolic authority. Such a decision risks transforming the prize into a tool of political theater rather than a recognition of genuine peacebuilding. Conversely, recognizing humanitarian actors and grassroots initiatives reinforces the Nobel Committee’s role as a moral arbiter and underscores the importance of practical, risk-laden contributions to global peace.

Analysis: Symbolism vs Substance
Trump’s pursuit of the Nobel Peace Prize underscores the tension between symbolic prestige and substantive impact in international politics. His lobbying appears more driven by personal validation than by tangible contributions to reconciliation, conflict resolution, or multilateral cooperation. While the Nobel Committee has historically recognized contentious figures, these awards were predicated on demonstrable corrective or conciliatory actions. In Trump’s case, the absence of such achievements suggests a misalignment between his objectives and the Committee’s ethos. Those delivering humanitarian aid, defending journalistic freedom, and mediating conflicts often at great personal riskembody Nobel’s vision far more authentically, representing the type of transformative work that the Peace Prize was designed to honor.

With information from Reuters.

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Earth versus the US: Will Trump administration deteriorate U. S. international legitimacy?

What is international legitimacy?

States have always needed to guarantee their existence and sovereignty; law and security became, therefore, the key to power dynamics in international relations. As the survival of the states has depended directly on the proper handling of their interrelationship, the international stage soon prevailed over the internal one as the reason for their existence.

The international society, anarchic by nature, has never allowed a previous binding legal order or even the ruling of a central authority. This amorphous and pulverized society has demanded from states the set of strategies aimed at the prevailing of its force in the world system, and due to various standards of expression and capacity they own, some states have used its legitimacy as a way of equating their place in the world and signing their international insertion.

If the international theatre is anarchic, the reasons of state are consequently selfish; nations have been conducting their mutual relations according to the customs originating from the accommodation of power. Paradoxically, a dialectic between sovereignties and the progressive interdependence of nations emerged as a phenomenon that has evinced the potential of international socialization, as well as the existence of a minimum coexisting ruled world community.

Considering that the international legal order is sovereignty-based and that there are no transcendent values—not even peace, justice, and equity—that can affirm its basic rule, interstate relations depend on intricate power and policy games.

Sovereign legal orders aimed at self-defense and security strategies have put in check the legal formalism in favor of realism in international society. This is the main characteristic of the international order that makes it entirely different from the internal one: the prevailing of policy over law. No matter how a domestic legal order forces political struggles, there will always be a founding rule that provides the state legal validity and a minimal government structure, with vertical authority, that enables the subsistence of its society.

On the other hand, international order, even surrounded by world organizations, law, and treaties, can’t do without policy, precisely because of being anarchic, horizontal, amorphous, and unequal. So, for prevailing in the strongly political world theater, states have to use something beyond pure international legal elements as a non-conventional way of equating power—authority, or rather, legitimacy.

This is not an easy task. The concept of international legitimacy is nebulous itself, as it gravitates beyond the borders of morality, ideology, and law, and it can simply be defined as a sort of moral acceptability that justifies states’ authority. Neither diplomacy nor international law can provide sufficient elements or concepts for defining it.

2. Why do nations need international legitimacy?

The friction between power and law is what moves interstate relationships, and it is responsible for encouraging states’ constant dissatisfaction concerning the international system status quo. Decolonization in Africa and Asia, the non-aligned movement, and the third-world onslaught against the international financial system are all phenomena that emphasize this friction.

Even the assumption of stability in the international system and its binding rules can’t mitigate the effects of the friction between power and law. Sovereignty remains the pillar of world relations rather than international law. States don’t abide by rules unless it seems convenient, helpful, and adaptable to their strategic geopolitical calculation.

The international society is a very heterogeneous environment in terms of power and capacities. Consent—and not consensus—is what moves interstate relationship structure, marked by an absolutely unequal distribution of power, which leads to its cyclical freeze and to the legitimacy crisis of hegemonic states.

Whether hegemonic or peripheral, states depend on the consent of the others to achieve their strategic aims. Tradition, besides consent, also aggregates nations, and this is why the international law itself is based on a tradition derived from natural law. It is no coincidence that nations handle their diplomatic strategies of insertion and chase for consent using their reasons of state—the real meaning of their political traditions.

The U.S. molded its political tradition and the basis of its international legitimacy on hegemonic leadership. The relations of power between the U.S. and the rest of the world have always followed this premise, but President Trump’s recent actions are undermining the consent achieved by Washington, as well as its own international insertion. He seems to ignore the fact that, like any other nation, the U.S. depends on the consent of the world community to keep its leadership role.

3. Hegemony: the U.S. international insertion

Since its very early years the U.S. reason of state was forged in a biblical and messianic character based on Puritanism. The resulting collective consciousness led the Americans towards expansionism in their own territory and afterwards to international hegemony.

The U.S. arrogated to itself a leading role in the world on behalf of a supposedly elevated social order, responsible for conducting progress and democracy wherever needed. Based on the idea that the U.S. was divinely ordained to preserve the unequivocal rights given to men by God—equality, liberty, life, and happiness—and to promote democracy ideals, the world consented to the Manifest Destiny Doctrine, the Monroe Doctrine, and the Roosevelt Corollary as acceptable sources of Washington’s international legitimacy.

European countries, which had long resisted American initiatives in Africa, Latin America, and the Pacific, now accepted Washington’s supremacy. The world wars gradually affirmed the international community’s consent to U.S. authority, side by side with the Soviet Union during the bipolar era, and now as a hegemonic nation struggling for world power with earlier peripheral China.

The U.S. hegemonic legitimacy would not have survived the Cold War if it wasn’t for the consent derived from Washington’s objective behavior and respect for formal institutions like NATO, the Security Council of the U.N., or even the accepted currency in the world’s financial system.

Above consent, the West block nourished the belief that the policy of the U.S. really supported free peoples who were resisting attempted subjugation by the Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact. Both the Truman and Eisenhower Doctrines gained authority by the acceptance of half of the world, and this consolidated U.S. leadership in Europe, Latin America, and the Middle and Far East.

Reagan’s patient determination on reversing the course of American policy abroad by strengthening Washington’s defenses and recapturing world supremacy from Moscow was rewarded with the dissolution of the Soviet Union. However, with the end of the Cold War, the U.S. entered uncharted territory, as it meant the end of the divided world legitimacy shared hitherto with the Soviet Union.

During the Cold War, the U.S. could cite the threat of Soviet retaliation as a reason to avoid intervening in the affairs of other countries. With that threat gone, American leaders, facing an unprecedented responsibility, would have to weigh each prospective intervention on its own merits.

If one country attacked another, should the U.S. defend the victim? If the government of a country oppressed its own people, should the U.S. move to stop the oppression? These questions—and the answers American presidents gave to them—would reshape U.S. international legitimacy and its further foreign policy, as well as the world order itself.

As the only superpower still standing, the U.S. power could not preserve American strategists from having to make difficult decisions about how to use such resources. Inheriting the chaos left by the breakup of the Soviet Union, George H.W. Bush, Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, Barack Obama, and Joe Biden outlined a “new world order” based in the general and accepted principle of deterring international aggression.

American unilateralism, strongly endorsed by the 9/11 terrorist attacks, made the world accept fully the “global policeman” role the U.S. had been playing since the 1991 invasion of Iraq. In playing the role of “world cop,” strategists and advisers of both Republican and Democratic presidents asserted the right to the preventive use of force.

In other words, the U.S., far stronger militarily and economically than any other nation, played its role as supporter or final arbiter of most international disputes. Iraq, Kosovo, Serbia, the Middle East, Somalia, and Ukraine have all faced direct or indirect interventions by the U.S. by reference to international law or, last but not least, to the world’s same wavelength.

President Donald Trump seems to despise the highly interventionist and hegemonic legacy that the U.S. accumulated in the last 30 years—in his view a heavy and useless burden that Washington should no longer support—as well as the eighty-year-old world order and the international law system itself.

4. Trump’s will: a new world order?

Conceiving the world as a dynamic, integrated system has always meant the difference between success and failure in the decisions and actions of great leaders throughout history.

Once reappointed for another term in the U.S. presidency, Donald Trump was granted the opportunity of choosing between success and failure. Surprisingly, it looks like he has chosen to face the world not in a global manner, as a wise statesman, but from an absolutely anarchic, fickle, and irregular point of view.

This is an equivocal perspective: the three-century successful premise based on the opposition between the internal order and the international anarchy can’t find support in the present world. Although the international order is anarchic, some institutional, behavioral, and subjective elements that shape regular empirical situations come from it.

Modern international law, unlike its formalist classical matrix, aims to shape social reality, not only on the global scale but also at the core of the states. The present organization of the international system has to do with both the power and interest of the wealthier nations and the peripheral ones’ sense of security and belonging to the international community.

In general, nations yearn for sovereignty, formal equality, human rights, economic development, stable commerce, and a healthy environment. In a nutshell, both peripheral and powerful states yearn for stability in world order, and the hegemonic ones are even more interested in promoting it. Besides being the main beneficiaries of the world order stability, they also have enormous influence on shaping the content of international rules and strengthening global organizations.

Thus, it’s quite impossible to conceive a project of a new world order under Trump’s actions. His strategic equivocation is evident: instead of maintaining the U.S. leadership, the measures of international disaggregation so far are undermining Washington’s legitimacy.

The international community expects the USA to be the USA. Despite the emergence of Russia, China, and the Global South as alternative centers of power, the world still expects genuine leadership from Washington, and this role requires the acceptance of predictable patterns in states’ relationships that only global governance shaped by international law and systemic persistence can provide.

Denying the international system is definitely not the way to improve a new world order, and it will result exactly in the opposite of Trump’s objective—“make America great again”—insofar as the U.S.’s global leadership depends on its strategic insertion into the global regime.

5. The U.S.’s international legitimacy towards deterioration

While Washington is stepping back, Beijing is reinforcing its global insertion and searching constantly for the international community’s consent and for a global leadership role. The Chinese strategists and advisers are fully aware that the observance of international law and the pursuit of the world’s consent are the keys to consistent international legitimacy.

In the daily routine of international system life, large numbers of agreements and customs are complied with. However, the need is felt in the hectic interplay of world affairs for some kind of regulatory framework or rules network within which the game can be played, and international law fulfills that requirement. States feel this necessity because it imports an element of stability and predictability into the situation.

As nations are usually involved in disagreements or disputes, it is handy to have recourse to the rules of international law since at least there is a common frame of reference—a mutually understandable vocabulary book that suggests possible solutions.

The element of reciprocity at work acts as a powerful weapon of gathering and forbearance among nations. States quite often do not pursue one particular course of action that might bring them short-term gains because it could disrupt the mesh of reciprocal tolerance, which could very well bring long-term disadvantages. This constitutes an inducement to states to act reasonably and moderate demands in the expectation that this will similarly encourage other states to act reasonably and so avoid confrontations.

Observing the international law and behaving according to the world system by mutual agreement is the path to improve international legitimacy and to influence and to alter law patterns or customs in the international community.

International legitimacy and international law—and not morality, ethics, or even political mottos—are the elements directly used by states for pursuing their strategic objectives and claims.

“Making America great again” is an empty political motto that definitely can’t subsidize American international legitimacy. Behaving objectively, but diplomatically, in terms of power and showing respect for formal world institutions was surely the way the U.S. forged its supremacy and conquered the consent of the international community.

What made America “great” was precisely its reason of state, based on the tradition of hegemonic leadership. American strategists have always known how to make Washington’s authority and legitimacy prevail over the intricate power and policy games and over the expectations of the coexisting world community.

American legitimacy could even resist the last 30 years of unilateralism and preventive use of force, when the world community fully questioned U.S. leadership, because the strategists and advisers of Washington have never forgotten the need for world socialization and the existence of a ruled world system.

Trump’s foreign policy, contrary to the Chinese or Russian ones, ignores that the consent of the world community is essential for a nation to keep its leadership role and that the world order won’t forgo stability and its institutional and behavioral elements.

The world is a dynamic integrated system that shapes social reality at the core of the states. Trump’s stubbornness in the brutal opposition between the internal and the international order, and in finding enemies everywhere, even among traditional friends, will surely lead the U.S. legitimacy towards deterioration, besides putting the country against the Earth.

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Singapore’s $3.1 Billion Pharma Industry at Risk From US Tariffs

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US – China Visa War: Competing Visions for Talent and Migration

The decision of the Trump administration to raise H-1B visa fees to $100,000 has predictably evoked strong responses in the US and other parts of the world. The Trump administration signed a proclamation on September 19, 2025.

 The Trump administration’s announcement has predictably received strong support from a section of Republicans—especially those belonging to the Make America Great Again (MAGA) camp.One of the countries that is likely to be impacted by this decision in more than one way is India. Indians received over 70% of the H-1B visas issued in 2024 and happened to be the largest beneficiary of the program. Chinese nationals received 12% of the H-1B visas and happened to be the second largest beneficiary of the program. Also, several Indian companies, like Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) and Infosys, have been amongst the biggest beneficiaries of the H-1B visa.

China’s K Visa: The Symbolic Importance

While the US has announced this decision, China has said that it will be introducing a K Visa—which will take effect on October 1, 2025. The K visa will be an addition to the existing 12 visa types issued by China.

The visa seeks to attract talented professionals who have graduated from reputable institutions in China and other countries, especially in Science, Technology, Engineering, and Management (STEM) disciplines. In a statement, China’s Ministry of Justice said:

          ‘Barring specific age, educational background, and work experience requirements, applications for K visas do not require a domestic employer or entity to issue an invitation, and the application process will also be more streamlined.’

The symbolic importance of the K Visa, at a time when the US, along with other countries like Australia, is becoming more inward-looking in terms of immigration policies, is important. It remains to be seen if the K visa is successful in attracting talented professionals, especially from countries that do not have cordial ties with China.

It has been argued that IT companies may also seek to take advantage of the K visa by setting up operations in China. They are, however, likely to remain cautious, given the unpredictable global geopolitical situation.

Could the K-1 Visa help China in attracting international students?

The K Visa could make China a favored destination for international students—especiallystudents from parts of Asia and Africa. While US soft power has diminished in recent years, China has been taking various steps to enhance its soft power. One important tool for the same has been attracting international students.

 Given the revision in immigration policies of countries like the US, Australia, and Canada, international students from these countries have already been looking for alternatives. It would be pertinent to point out that European nations—especially Germany, France, and Spain—have been seeking to attract international students as well as professionals. Apart from liberalizing student procedures with the objective of attracting students who could contribute to innovation and R&D, several European nations, especially Germany, are beginning to introduce English-speaking courses. Other countries like the UAE and Singapore have also been making attempts to attract international students.

Conclusion

While the overall impact of the K visa remains to be seen, as discussed earlier, the timing cannot be ignored. It is unrealistic to start comparing this scheme with the H-1B visa since the US remains a favored destination for professionals from different parts of the world. Apart from this, many commentators have been arguing that the recent fee hike by the Trump administration is not feasible and will need to be revised.

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Ryder Cup 2025 LIVE SCORE: Action on NOW as Team Europe DOMINATE against Team USA and look to extend 5.5-2.5 lead

DeChambeau/Young vs Fitzpatrick/Aberg

All square in match one now too as Fitzpatrick and Aberg get one back!

DeChambeau’s approach on the 4th was short and in the bunker and the Americans didn’t recover.

Superb touch from Fitzpatrick meant Aberg doesn’t need to putt and the last remaining red on the board early doors, disappears.

English/Morikawa vs McIlroy/Fleetwood – A/S

What a response from Team Europe!

McIlroy’s approach finds the green, while English’s doesn’t quite. Morikawa can’t convert his chip and Fleetwood DRAINS his 15ft putt!

All square.

From Joshua Jones at Bethpage

Well, this is the dream start for Keegan Bradley. 

Young’s chip in following English’s clutch putt – after Rory horseshoed one – sees the Americans 1up in both matches. 

Xander and No Hat Pat – now wearing a cap – vs Rahm and Hatton could be blockbuster match play foursomes golf…

Bradley’s morning isn’t quite perfect, though, as he whizzes down the 1st fairway in a buggy – only for the vehicle to get stuck up against a rope. Doh! 

Scottie Scheffler will be hoping for a better day today – he hasn’t won any of his last six Ryder Cup matches now – well, it couldn’t get much worse… 

Schauffele/Cantlay vs Rahm/Hatton

Cantlay chops out the rough and finds the green, leaving it 14ft from the pin and another look at a birdie for the US.

How can Hatton respond? The answer is SUPERBLY, leaving it no more than 1ft from the hole. That should be conceded, fantastic.

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U.S. to Revoke Colombian President’s Visa After Pro-Palestinian Speech

NEWS BRIEF The United States announced it will revoke Colombian President Gustavo Petro’s visa after he urged U.S. soldiers to disobey President Donald Trump’s orders during a pro-Palestinian demonstration in New York. The move escalates a diplomatic rift between the two nations, which have clashed over Gaza, deportation policies, and drug enforcement. WHAT HAPPENED WHY […]

The post U.S. to Revoke Colombian President’s Visa After Pro-Palestinian Speech appeared first on Modern Diplomacy.

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Here’s Why USA Rare Earth Stock Is Tumbling Lower Today

A rare earth peer announced an expansion of its rare earth production operations.

Markets may be nudging slightly higher today, offering investors the hope of ending the week on a positive note, but the same can’t be said for rare earth stock USA Rare Earth (USAR -3.85%). While the company hasn’t reported anything negative, news related to a rare earth peer has USA Rare Earth investors heading for the exits.

As of 2:44 p.m. ET, shares of USA Rare Earth are down 3.5%, recovering from their earlier decline of 10%.

Large truck driving at a mining operation.

Image source: Getty Images.

Rare earth businesses in the U.S. are growing, and USA Rare Earth investors aren’t happy

Thanks to its holding in ReElement Technologies, American Resources (AREC) announced a 141% expansion of its critical mineral refining facility located in Indiana. With the expansion, the company now has near-term annual refining capacity of over 200 metric tons of ultrapure separated defense elements and rare earth oxides of 99.9% to 99.999% purity.

Nearing completion of its rare earth magnet production facility, USA Rare Earth has emerged as one of the key players among those involved in rare earth elements production. The company has drawn considerable interest from investors over the past year as President Trump has issued executive orders addressing a commitment to shoring up the domestic supply of rare earths.

Is now as good time to dig into USA Rare Earth stock?

Instead of digging deeply into the news from American Resources, investors in USA Rare Earth likely responded to the news with a knee-jerk reaction and trimmed their positions, surmising that the growth prospects of USA Rare Earth is now impeded. For USA Rare Earth shareholders, though, today’s announcement shouldn’t do much to sway them that the bull case is broken.

Of course, there are plenty of risks that remain for USA Rare Earth with the construction of its magnet production facility, and the company’s success is far from guaranteed. But if you were optimistic about the prospects of USA Rare Earth yesterday, nothing has changed. In fact, today’s pullback provides a great chance to build your position even further.

Scott Levine has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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How a U.S. Government Shutdown Could Affect Financial Markets

Government shutdowns in the United States, once seen as rare emergencies, have increasingly become recurring features of partisan gridlock. The current risk stems from Congress’s failure to agree on federal funding, with both Democrats and Republicans using budget negotiations as leverage for political gain. A shutdown would immediately halt or scale back many federal operations, furlough staff, and disrupt the work of agencies that provide oversight and produce essential economic data.

What makes this episode more significant is its timing. In 2025, the U.S. economy is already navigating slower growth and persistent inflation pressures, leaving policymakers highly dependent on accurate, timely information. A shutdown that blocks employment or inflation reports would deprive the Federal Reserve and investors of the tools needed to assess economic trends. Beyond the immediate disruption, repeated shutdowns signal deeper institutional fragility, raising concerns both at home and abroad about America’s capacity to govern itself effectively.

Key Issues

Shutdowns have occurred before, and markets have typically absorbed the impact. However, analysts warn that the 2025 situation may be different. A prolonged lapse in funding could prevent the release of crucial indicators like monthly employment and inflation reports, leaving the Federal Reserve without up-to-date information. This would make monetary policymaking riskier, as decisions on interest rates would rely on projections rather than real-time data.

Stakeholders Involved

Federal Reserve: As the central bank, the Fed relies heavily on monthly employment and inflation data to guide monetary policy. Without these releases, it risks misjudging the economic outlook. Analysts warn that this would increase the likelihood of relying on internal forecasts, potentially leading to either excessive caution or misplaced confidence in the pace of rate cuts.

Financial Regulators: Agencies like the SEC and CFTC are central to market integrity. During a shutdown, both would be reduced to skeletal operations, undermining oversight, delaying investigations into misconduct, and halting the review of corporate filings. This leaves markets more vulnerable to irregularities at a time of heightened uncertainty.

Investors and Market Participants: Traders depend on timely data and regulatory signals to price risk and structure complex trades. A data blackout would create an information vacuum, forcing markets to trade on speculation rather than fundamentals. This increases volatility and risk premiums across equities, bonds, and derivatives.

Companies and the IPO Market: Firms preparing to go public, particularly in high-growth sectors like technology and biotech, would face costly delays without SEC approvals. This could dampen momentum in equity capital markets and deter future IPOs, especially from smaller companies lacking the resources to wait out a shutdown.

Political Leaders and Policymakers: Congress is at the center of the standoff, with partisan gridlock preventing a resolution. For lawmakers, the shutdown is both a political weapon and a reputational liability, while for the executive branch, it represents a governance failure. Repeated funding crises erode trust in political institutions and diminish the credibility of U.S. leadership globally.

The Global Economy: Beyond U.S. borders, international investors and governments watch these developments closely. As the U.S. dollar and Treasury markets remain the backbone of global finance, instability in Washington creates ripple effects worldwide, raising concerns about America’s ability to maintain economic stewardship in times of crisis.

Implications

A short shutdown may have limited impact, but a protracted one could damage investor confidence, steepen the Treasury yield curve, and disrupt IPO markets. The inability of regulators to function fully would reduce market integrity, while delays in economic reporting would make it harder for both investors and policymakers to assess the true state of the economy. Beyond economics, repeated shutdowns undermine perceptions of the U.S. as a stable and reliable global leader.

Analysis

In my view, the danger of a shutdown lies less in immediate market collapse and more in the erosion of institutional credibility. Financial systems depend on steady oversight, timely data, and predictable governance. A shutdown demonstrates how domestic political brinkmanship directly undermines these foundations. It sends a troubling signal: the world’s largest economy is vulnerable not only to external shocks but also to self-inflicted political dysfunction. From an academic perspective, this reflects how partisanship can corrode economic governance, diminishing both domestic confidence and the United States’ reputation as a global anchor of stability.

With information from Reuters.

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Ryder Cup 2025 LIVE SCORE: Play on NOW as Team USA and Team Europe face off in foursomes on Day 1 – latest updates

Match one – Hole One

Hatton takes the first approach shot, with a delightful chip onto the green, fortunate to get a lucky bounce just over the lip of the bunker.

Thomas has an easier job cut out for him, does not quite hit it hard enough but plays safe and Americans stay ahead.

DeChambeau/Thomas vs Rahm/Hatton

Jon Rahm opts to tee off for Europe.

His stroke veers off to the right side and lands in the rough, met with huge cheers from the American crowd.

Dechambeau steps up for America and hits a brilliant shot onto the fairway, a few yards from the green.

America starting strong.

First pairings ready for tee off

Team USA’s pairing of Bryson DeChambeau and Justin Thomas are introduced to cheers on the first tee

The same can’t be said for Tyrell Hatton and Jon Rahm.

Both teams arrive at the Tee

Bryson DeChambeau and Justin Thomas take on Jon Rahm and Tyrrell Hatton for the first hole today.

DeChambeau and Thomas welcomed with huge cheers of ‘USA, USA, USA’, from the home crowd, the Europeans are met with boos.

Anticipation has been building since Rome and the gallery is alive with around 8,000 supporters in Bethpage Black.

Atmosphere is bubbling now, its game time!

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225 Boeing Planes: Turkish Airlines Inks Record-Breaking Deal After Erdogan-Trump Talks

Turkish Airlines confirmed an order for 225 Boeing planes, including 75 Dreamliners and 150 Boeing 737 MAX aircraft. The deal, years in the making, was sealed after talks between Presidents Erdogan and Trump. Deliveries are scheduled for 2029–2034.

Why It Matters

The deal strengthens Boeing at a time of fierce competition with Airbus and bolsters Turkey’s aviation ambitions. For Ankara, it also deepens economic and political ties with Washington at a moment of strained relations.

Turkish Airlines: Framed the purchase as central to its plan to expand its fleet to 800+ aircraft by 2033, aiming to become one of the world’s top carriers.

U.S. Government: Trump presented the order as proof of improved U.S.-Turkey ties and as a win for American manufacturing jobs.

Boeing: Welcomed the order, which comes as the company works to recover from safety and delivery setbacks.

Airbus: While not commenting publicly, the European rival remains part of Turkey’s fleet expansion, having secured a 355-plane order in 2023.

Turkish Economy: Business leaders highlighted the deal as a sign of Turkey’s confidence in long-term growth despite current economic volatility.

Investors: Turkish Airlines’ shares edged higher on news of the purchase, showing cautious optimism.

Future Scenario

If the plan goes smoothly, Turkish Airlines will become one of the largest carriers worldwide. But the deal depends on engine agreements and political stability between Ankara and Washington. Any renewed tensions over sanctions, defense, or Russia could complicate deliveries.

With information from Reuters.

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Tourism Industry Cooperation between India-US: Challenges and Possibilities

Globally, the world is still reeling under the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, and as we look towards the future, people rethink the need to travel and unwind from their hectic lives, and these developments will boost the global tourism industry.

Post the pandemic, the tourism industry is playing catch-up, and as per the UNWTO estimates, it is believed to have a major recovery towards global tourism in 2023, where the international arrivals reached 1,300 million, which was a 33.3 percent increase from 2022. The reason for this upward development has been because of the economic development, which inevitably helps in the creation of jobs, helping stabilize the post-pandemic economies. The Travel and Tourism Development Index (TTDI) 2024 highlighted the sectors of travel and tourism to continuously grow in the post-pandemic scenario. It has been observed that 71 out of the 119 countries’ scores increased as per the 2024 index, and the reason for this increase in its ranking has been due to the focus on areas of safety and security and aims at greater emphasis on health and hygiene domains. Furthermore, the Travel and Tourism Development Index 2024 mentioned that India ranked at the 39th position in the category of Asia-Pacific economies but has the largest travel and tourism industry in the region of South Asia. Furthermore, it tops the lower-middle-income economy category. For the United States of America, it has ranked first in the 2024 Travel and Tourism Development Index, and the reasons for the first position, as per the Travel and Tourism Development Index 2024, have been due to several factors, such as the highly conducive business environment, highly skilled and qualified labor force, and readiness towards information and communication technology (ICT). Apart from these characteristics, the 2024 Index also observed that the reason for countries like the United States of America and others to have gained the top positions has been due to the brilliant provisions of transport and infrastructure associated with tourism and its services.

 India-US Contours of the Tourism Industry

Joseph Nye, the pioneer of soft power, opined that “a country which has a strong global influence is more successful in attracting tourism, and that would increase the economic development, investment, and abundant skilled labor force, which would do proper justice towards the use of soft power.” Tourism is one of the tools of soft power, and in the present global situation, the countries are collaborating and cooperating with one another.

One of the fastest growing domains of exchanges that can be witnessed has been the sector covering the people-to-people connections and exchanges. The relationship between India and the US has been evolving constantly, and both countries have many people-to-people interactions and a tourism industry, which has led this partnership to be stronger and more robust. In fact, the Travel and Tourism Development Index 2024 observed 9.24 million foreign tourist arrivals, and this depicted a 43.5 percent increase as compared to 2022, as it brought in foreign exchange earnings of Rs 2.3 lakh crores from countries like the United States of America, Bangladesh, the United Kingdom, Australia, and Canada, to name a few. This data clearly explained the opportunities in the domain of tourism and related sectors for growth.

Given India’s growth story and becoming globally influential, India can lead another growth story in the domain of tourism in the coming times. According to the Ministry of Tourism’s report titled “India Tourism Data Compendium 2024,” the tourism industry in India has great potential, as there are 43 UNESCO World Heritage Sites. India’s rich culture and heritage experiences not only open up the world to visiting a beautiful cultural experience, but they also open up the opportunity to learn and invest in the handicraft and textile industry in India. Apart from handicrafts and the textile industry, there are several other products that India is abundant in, and so, as of 31st March 2025, there are 658 geographical indicator tag applications registered, which clearly shows the richness and diversity of Indian products. Furthermore, given India’s rich flora and fauna, India offers diverse nations locations like the various national parks open for safaris, which also helps in gaining safari tourism like the Rhino Safari in Kaziranga in Assam and the Tiger Safari in Pench and Bandhavgarh in Madhya Pradesh. There are other locations like Ladakh, Spiti Valley, and Rishikesh known for adventure tourism, and this domain is popular among the younger generation. For a couple of years, the wellness and medical tourism industry has made India the global destination for Ayurveda, yoga, and healthcare facilities, which provided provisions for affordable and reliable services. It was observed that in 2023, 6.9 percent of foreign visitors visited India for medical tourism. Another sector of tourism that is emerging is the Meetings, Incentives, Conferences, and Exhibitions (MICE) industry, which caters to the business sector, and in 2023, it brought in 10.3 percent of foreign visitors to India to Indian infrastructural marvels like Yashobhoomi and Bharat Mandapam.

In the Union Budget 2025-2026, Rs. 2541.06 crore has been allocated for employment-led development, which would cater to different aspects like infrastructure building, skill development, and travel facilities, paving the way to promote the tourism industry of India globally. The budget also includes the need to develop 50 top tourist destinations, which would help offer MUDRA loans for homestays, enhance connectivity, and introduce e-visa facilities. Furthermore, the budget also aims to support areas of sustainable tourism through Swadesh Darshan Scheme 2.0, Heal in India, and Gyan Bharatam Mission, and these schemes will not only incentivize employment opportunities but also create a possible growth model. The famous tagline ‘Incredible India’ has gained a strong fan following and has been gaining immense traction in the last couple of years. According to the India Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF), it has been observed that the Indian sector of tourism and hospitality is expected to exceed Rs. 5,12,356 crore by 2028, and it is suggested that travel and tourism are the largest industries in India, with states like Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, and West Bengal working to develop the tourism circuits and enhance infrastructure for pilgrims.

 As per the industry of tourism in the United States of America, it has been observed that according to the 2018 US Travel Association’s report titled “International Visitations to the US from International Inbound Travel Market Profile,” travel is the largest industry export to India, as Indian students spend up to 52 percent of travel exports and 36 percent is by the Indian tourists. The tourism industry in the US caters to students who study there and make their family visit, and this helps in the domain of leisure tourism in cities like Orlando and Las Vegas, as they provide world-class luxury and entertainment experiences.

Another sector that the US works on is the business and Meetings, Incentives, Conferences, and Exhibitions (MICE) industry, which helps attract many business travelers. Globally, the US has always been the most sought-after choice for tourism, as it offers a combination of landscapes, cultural attractions, and luxurious experiences, and many also visit America to live the ‘American dream through a short holiday.’ From the perspective of the US economy, the tourism industry not only helps in supporting people through employment but also helps equip them with the opportunity to have purchasing power. Furthermore, the domain of infrastructure and hospitality services also experiences a boom in growth.

Since both the countries are looking to expand their relationship with one another. The tourism industry seems to be the most viable sector for greater opportunities of cooperation and exchange.

Challenges

One of the key challenges has been the issuing of visas for Indian citizens to go to America. Though the tourist visas are available, the high costs and the wait time for attaining a visa for many Indians make them rethink their need to visit the great American dream through a short holiday, and so they end up choosing places in Southeast Asia like Vietnam, Thailand, and Singapore, where the attainment of a visa is not just convenient but visas are available on arrival. Furthermore, the cost of travelling, hotels, and food is far cheaper, which makes it more lucrative for budget-friendly travellers. A challenge that the US faces with regard to travelling in India is the safety issue, especially for the female solo travellers, which has been a major cause of concern. Another issue that has been a concern

RN for American travellers to India, the cleanliness issue is a big one, and so most of the foreign travellers prefer staying in five-star hotels, which cater to them with their luxurious hospitality and services. This is a problem for budget-friendly travelers, as not everyone can afford a five-star hotel and pay for luxury travel in India, which also economically deters many from coming to India.

Possibilities

It has also been observed that about 92 percent of Americans will be travelling in 2025. With this growth data, there is a major possibility of attracting American international travelers to visit India. If American tourists visit India, they normally visit India for its cultural extravaganza and spirituality retreats, but there is a need to develop other sectors like visits to natural habitats and safaris, which would also attract a lot of tourism in this domain. In fact, India can also learn from the US about its culture of amusement parks and fairs, which would also help boost tourism and employment opportunities. Another aspect is that India and the US venture into student-led tourist groups, and in these groups, students connected to universities can not only interact with one another in their respective academic fields but also show them their understanding of their country, and this way there will be greater interactions among the youth of the two countries and help cement future relations. Business meetings can also be held in cultural hubs, which would give the businesses a chance at working along with travelling and enjoying their leisure time in exploring cultural hubs, and so the governments need to also promote and provide business convention centers in cultural hubs.

All in all, one aspect that India and the US can work on is the people-to-people connections, as they are guiding lights for the future.

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Kenya Targets US Trade Pact by December, Seeks 5-Year AGOA Renewal

NEWS BRIEF Kenyan President William Ruto announced that Kenya expects to sign a trade deal with the United States by the end of 2025 and will push for a five-year extension of the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), which grants duty-free access to the U.S. market. The announcement comes amid ongoing trade negotiations and […]

The post Kenya Targets US Trade Pact by December, Seeks 5-Year AGOA Renewal appeared first on Modern Diplomacy.

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Trump Was Right About the UN. Your World Order Is Over.

The United Nations General Assembly’s 80th session was meant to be a sombre assessment of a world on fire. The Sustainable Development Goals are failing, wars rage on multiple continents and the planet itself is burning. Yet the most significant drama of the 80th session was not about any single crisis but a deeper, more fundamental schism that played out in the very language used within the hall. It seems that the UN is no longer a forum for managing a shared global order; it has become the arena where two irreconcilable visions of world order are fighting for supremacy.

On one side stands the traditional, albeit, weary mulitlateralist project. Its champions, exemplified by European leaders cautiously inching towards recognition of a Palestinian state, still operate on the premise that legitimacy is derived from international law and consensus. Theirs is a world of treaties, institutions and patient diplomacy. On the other side stands a resurgent sovereigntist assault, championed most vocally by President Donald Trump, who returned to the UN stage not to engage, but to dismantle. In a nearly hour-long speech Trump admonished the UN over what he views as its ineffectiveness, framing global cooperation not as a necessity, but as a folly. The 80th UNGA revealed that the transatlantic split is no longer a policy disagreement; it is a philosophical chasm over the soul of global governance.

The issue of Palestine serves as a perfect case study in this clash of legitimacies. The moves by a growing number of countries to recognize Palestine were calculated acts of multilateralism. They were an attempt to salvage the two-state solution, a cornerstone of UN resolutions for decades, by working within the established system. The recognition was a message: that statehood is not a prize to be won through force but a status conferred by the international community.

This logic is an anathema to the Trumpian worldview. From this perspective, such recognition is not diplomacy; it is a dangerous reward for adversaries. Trump framed it as a “reward for Hamas”, reducing a complex decades-long struggle for self-determination to a simplistic binary form of terrorism. The sovereigntist argument holds that these decisions are not the UN’s to make. Power, not consensus, is the ultimate arbiter. The conflict is no longer about land; it is about who gets to decide the rules of the game.

Nowhere is this divide more stark than on the existential threat of climate change. For the multilateralist project, the climate crisis is its ultimate validation. A warming planet is a problem that no single nation, no matter how powerful, can solve alone. It necessitates the very cooperation the UN was founded to foster.

Trump’s address systematically dismantled this premise. He pulled the rug out from under the entire premise by blasting climate change as “the greatest con job ever perpetuated on the world.” This is not merely a policy difference; it is a declaration that the central problem the UN is trying to solve is a fiction. If there is no global problem, there is no need for a global solution. The institution, in this view, becomes not just ineffective, but illegitimate.

The sovereigntist vision extends to a radical critique of domestic governance, further highlighting the divide. When Trump declared that some countries “are going to hell” over their immigration policies, he was doing more than critcizing a policy. He was asserting a model where nationa borders are absolute and the internal choices of sovereign nations, particularly those of his allies, are open for public condemnation if they deviate from his ideology. This creates a world not of mutual respect and non-interference, but of perpetual, transactional pressure.

The  consequence of this great unraveling is a world adrift. The UN was built on the fragile hope that great powers, despite their rivalries, would see a greater interest in maintaining a common system. That foundation is now cracked. We’re moving towards a multi-order world, where countries selectively engage with institutions, cherry-picking rules that suit them and ignoring those that don’t. The Global South watches this spectacle with a cynical detachment, caught between a multilateral system that has often failed them and a sovereigntist alternative that promises even greater volatility.

The 80th session offered no resolutions to this core conflict. Instead, it held up a mirror. The speeches, the sideline meetings, the starkly different vocabularies – all revealed an institution that can no longer paper over its divides. The question is no longer whether the UN can solve the world’s problems, but whether the world believes in the idea of the UN itself. As the great powers turn inward, the 80th General Assembly may be remembered not for what it achieved, but as the moment the post-war order finally conceded that it’s no longer governed by a shared vision, but by a deepening and potentially unbridgeable rift.

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Enhanced Games: USA sprinter Fred Kerley becomes first track athlete to join controversial event

If Kerley were to run quicker than Usain Bolt’s 100m record of 9.58 seconds, he would receive $1m (£730,000) in prize money from the Enhanced Games.

Earlier this month, Olympic swimmer Ben Proud became the first British athlete to sign up, despite World Aquatics being the first international sport federation to ban athletes, coaches and officials from its events if they have taken part in the competition.

An athlete commission from UK Anti-Doping (UKAD) described the Enhanced Games as a “reckless venture” which could “damage the integrity of world sport irrevocably.”

In January, Kerley was tasered and arrested by police following a confrontation with officers in Miami but said later in May it was down to a “misunderstanding”.

He was reported to have been arrested for allegedly punching his former girlfriend and fellow athlete Alaysha Johnson in the face.

As well as his bronze in Paris, Kerley also won 100m silver at the Tokyo Games in 2021.

He has also won world 4x100m and 4x400m gold medals, and recorded the sixth-fastest 100m time in history with 9.76 seconds.

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Why Shares in USA Rare Earth Popped Higher Today

Commentary on a JPMorgan podcast raised hopes that the company could be in line for some government support.

Shares of USA Rare Earth (USAR 7.86%) spiked higher by as much as 15.6% in early trading today. The move comes after commentary on a JPMorgan podcast created optimism that the company could be the next in line for government investment following the landmark deal with MP Materials announced recently.

What JPMorgan said

In the internal podcast, JPMorgan’s co-head of mid-cap mergers and acquisitions, Andrew Castaldo, discussed the recent MP Materials deal and said JPMorgan believes that “there’s a whole slew of different critical minerals” that “the administration is also focused on, that could potentially be ripe for this type of collaboration.” He also noted that “we’ve had no less than 100 calls with clients to talk about the MP transaction as well as what this means for other industries.”

What it could mean for USA Rare Earth

It’s natural for investors to hear this kind of commentary and conclude that USA Rare Earth could be next. After all, the company is on track to begin producing rare-earth magnets at its Stillwater, Oklahoma, facility in 2026.

That will help reduce America’s dependence on foreign-sourced rare-earth magnets. The company plans to use the near-term revenue and earnings from magnet production to ultimately develop the Round Top Mountain in Texas, which it controls the mining rights to, to provide its own supply of rare-earth materials for magnet production.

A plan ahead sign.

Image source: Getty Images.

Clearly, it will take time and likely a lot of capital to fulfill the plan. Given the strategic importance of securing a domestic supply of rare-earth materials and magnets, it’s perfectly feasible that the current administration could also consider providing some form of support to USA Rare Earth.

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Lee Samaha has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends JPMorgan Chase. The Motley Fool recommends MP Materials. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Poland Rejects Trump’s Suggestion Drone Incursions Were a Mistake

Background
Poland, a frontline NATO state bordering Ukraine, has faced rising security risks since Russia’s invasion. A recent drone incursion into Polish airspace heightened concerns across Europe about Moscow’s tactics.

What Happened
On Wednesday, Poland shot down Russian drones that violated its airspace  the first known NATO engagement of this kind during the war in Ukraine. While Russia claimed the strike was unintended, U.S. President Donald Trump suggested it “could have been a mistake.” Polish leaders swiftly dismissed that view, calling it a deliberate Russian attack.

Why It Matters
The incident highlights NATO’s vulnerability to drone warfare and raises doubts about the alliance’s ability to secure its airspace. It also underscores tensions between Washington and European allies over how firmly to confront Moscow.

Stakeholder Reactions
Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk posted on X that there was “no question of a mistake.” Deputy Defence Minister Cezary Tomczyk reinforced that view, saying Russia’s move was intentional. European leaders demanded new sanctions, with France summoning Russia’s ambassador and Britain announcing fresh penalties. Meanwhile, Trump’s perceived leniency toward Moscow unsettled NATO partners.

What’s Next
The UN Security Council is meeting at Poland’s request. France is deploying fighter jets to bolster Polish defenses, and Germany is expanding NATO commitments on the eastern flank. With Russia and Belarus beginning joint military drills, European governments fear more provocations.

with information from Reuters

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Trump Administration Plans UN Push to Restrict Global Asylum Rights

Background
Since World War Two, international agreements have safeguarded the right to seek asylum. The Trump administration, which has already reshaped U.S. immigration policy at home, is now preparing to take its restrictive vision global.

What Happened
According to documents reviewed by Reuters, the administration plans to use the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly later this month to advocate limiting asylum rights. The proposal would require asylum seekers to apply for protection in the first country they enter, and make asylum temporary, with host countries deciding when return is safe.

Why It Matters
If adopted, this would mark a major shift away from decades of international refugee protections. Critics warn it could return the world to conditions similar to the Holocaust era, when people fleeing persecution had few safe havens.

Stakeholder Reactions
Mark Hetfield of HIAS, a refugee resettlement group, said weakening asylum rights would endanger lives, stressing that existing agreements guarantee protection for those fleeing persecution. Meanwhile, Trump officials argue the system is “abused” for economic migration. Deputy Secretary of State Christopher Landau is expected to lead the UN event, while Trump’s nominee Andrew Veprek has called for a fundamental reshaping of asylum norms.

What’s Next
The administration will press allies to back its approach, though broad international support remains uncertain. Reports suggest Trump officials are also prioritizing resettlement for South African Afrikaners, reflecting a controversial shift in refugee policy.

with information from Reuters.

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Trump Says National Guard Will Be Deployed to Memphis

U.S. President Donald Trump announced his intention to deploy National Guard troops to Memphis, Tennessee, to combat crime, stating the city is “deeply troubled.”

This move follows a similar action where his administration placed Washington D.C.’s police department under direct federal control. Trump has emphasized crime as a key issue, even as violent crime rates have generally decreased in many cities.

He indicated that Memphis’s Democratic mayor was supportive of the deployment. Memphis, with a population of 611,000, faces one of the nation’s highest violent crime rates, and its poverty rate is more than double the national average.

The Justice Department had previously sent federal agents to assist Memphis in 2020. Trump also mentioned the possibility of sending federal personnel to New Orleans and had previously threatened, but not executed, a deployment to Chicago. The article notes that violent crime in Washington D.C. had hit a 30-year low in 2024.

with information from Reuters

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Trump: ‘My Patience with Putin Is Running Out’

U.S. President Donald Trump stated that his patience with Russian President Vladimir Putin is diminishing rapidly and expressed frustration over the ongoing Ukraine war.

While stopping short of threatening new sanctions, Trump indicated that strong measures, including sanctions on banks and oil, along with tariffs, are options.

He emphasized the need for European countries to participate in such actions, noting that he had previously taken significant steps, such as imposing a 50% tariff on Indian exports to the U.S. He also characterized the issue as primarily a European concern.

With information from Reuters

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Washington Presses G7, EU to Target China, India with Tariffs on Russian Oil

The U.S. Treasury has urged its Group of Seven (G7) and European Union (EU) allies to implement “meaningful tariffs” on goods from China and India to curtail their purchases of Russian oil, thereby cutting off funding for Russia’s war in Ukraine.

A Treasury spokesperson stated that Chinese and Indian oil purchases are financing President Putin’s war and prolonging the conflict, and that the U.S. has called on EU allies to join in imposing tariffs that would be rescinded upon the war’s end.

The text notes President Trump previously imposed a 25% tariff on Indian imports to deter its acquisition of discounted Russian crude oil, increasing total duties to 50% and impacting trade talks, but has refrained from similar actions on Chinese imports due to ongoing trade truce negotiations. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is set to meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng to discuss trade, TikTok’s divestment, and anti-money laundering issues.

President Trump expressed his waning patience with President Putin, citing tariffs and sanctions on banks and oil as potential pressure tactics, emphasizing the necessity of European cooperation and a strong, unified approach from G7 partners.

with information from Reuters

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