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Global markets on edge as investors await outcome of US-Iran negotiations

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Oil prices edged slightly higher, European indices traded flat, while Asian markets surged on Tuesday morning as investors monitored potential US-Iran negotiations and the final 48 hours of the current ceasefire.


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At the time of writing, US benchmark crude was up 8.5% from last Friday’s low to around $86.3 a barrel, while Brent crude, the international standard, was around 9.5% higher at roughly $94.5 a barrel.

As for European markets, the Euro Stoxx 50 and the broader pan-European Stoxx 600 were trading within a 0.2% range.

The UK’s FTSE 100, Germany’s DAX 30, France’s CAC 40 and Italy’s FTSE MIB were all similarly trading within a 0.3% range.

On Wall Street, US futures were also all trading within a 0.3% range with the tech-heavy Nasdaq leading. The S&P 500 closed marginally lower by 0.2% on Monday at 7109 points.

Despite US representatives, including special envoy Steve Witkoff and senior adviser Jared Kushner, travelling to Islamabad as part of renewed efforts to secure an agreement, no concrete progress on US-Iran negotiations has been announced.

The Strait of Hormuz remains closed and the current ceasefire ends on Wednesday keeping markets in a state of uncertainty.

US President Donald Trump has asserted that the deal currently being negotiated will be better than the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), which was signed by US President Barack Obama in 2015 and from which Trump withdrew in 2018.

Latest on US-Iran negotiations

Following the arrival of US representatives to Islamabad there has been no developments on the negotiations with Iran.

Even though US President Donald Trump confidently declared that there is a historic deal in the works, public statements from major Iranian figures seem to indicate otherwise.

Mohammad Ghalibaf, the speaker of Iran’s parliament and the person previously heading the talks with the US, made sweeping declarations via X on Monday stating that the country will “not accept negotiations under the shadow of threats” and “has prepared to reveal new cards on the battlefield”.

Previously, other Iranian representatives have also described US demands as “excessive”.

For the time being, markets eagerly await developments and are highly sensitive to any headlines about the situation.

Associated British Foods and Primark demerger

Although European markets are trading flat, major news in the retail consumer sector has come out of the UK.

Associated British Foods (ABF) is poised to announce the outcome this week of a strategic review into demerging its fast-fashion retail arm Primark, from its diversified food business.

The conglomerate, controlled by the billionaire Weston family, has been working with advisers from Rothschild & Co to assess whether the split would maximise long-term shareholder value.

Analysts argue the move makes sense because of the limited operational synergies between the two divisions: the food arm generates steady cash flows from brands such as Twinings, Patak’s, Jordans cereals and Allied Bakeries, while Primark has pursued aggressive international expansion in a fiercely competitive retail sector.

The decision comes as ABF faces tough trading conditions, with the group warning in January of flat annual sales and declining profits, further pressured by rising costs and the fallout from the Iran conflict, including potential increases in petrochemical prices.

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World’s Best Investment Banks 2026: Global Winners By Sector

In 2025, some of the world’s top investment banks demonstrated their leadership across diverse sectors, driving major deals that shaped global markets.

For 2025, some of the world’s most influential investment banks demonstrated their ability to adapt, innovate, and lead across diverse sectors. From major M&A to groundbreaking IPOs, these financial powerhouses have cemented their positions as industry leaders by executing high-profile deals that shaped global markets.

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Financial Services

With a dedicated team of 150 specialists in the category, UBS delivered some of the year’s most closely watched finance deals. In the US, the Swiss powerhouse played a leading role in the $1.6 billion acquisition of Paramount Group by global alternative-asset manager Rithm Capital. In Europe, UBS served as financial adviser to Monte dei Paschi di Siena in connection with the voluntary public purchase and exchange offer for Mediobanca for over €16.5 billion (about $19 billion). UBS also advised financial services provider Baloise in its 17.8 billion Swiss franc (about $22 billion) merger of equals with Helvetia, one of the sector’s most important deals. UBS acted as an active bookrunner on the May IPO of Israel’s eToro retail trading platform, valued at $4.2 billion. The bank also acted as a joint bookrunner on Swedish fintech Klarna’s $1.4 billion IPO in September.         —Thomas Monteiro

Healthcare

With a specialized healthcare team of more than 100 advisory bankers in 20 offices globally, Rothschild secured several of the most complex and high-profile deals of 2025.

Balancing IPO and private-sale options, the London-based firm supported Sanofi’s disposal of French multinational pharmaceutical company Opella, valued at €16 billion. The bank also acted as joint lead adviser in the €10 billion sale of pharma company Stada Arzneimittel to investment firm CapVest—one of Europe’s largest leveraged buyouts of 2025. In Switzerland, Rothschild advised Swiss multinational medical-technology company Ypsomed on the carve-out and sale of its Diabetes Care division to TecMed for 420 million Swiss francs.

Beyond Europe, the bank supported healthcare deals in Asia and North America, including India’s landmark sale of a controlling stake in JB Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals to Torrent Pharmaceuticals for roughly $3 billion. —TM

Industrials/Chemicals

2025 saw a surge in industrials and chemicals M&A activity, with major deals in the US and Europe reshaping the market. UK-based Barclays played a key advisory role, including on Berkshire Hathaway’s $9.7 billion acquisition of OxyChem, spun off from Occidental Petroleum..

Barclays also advised the buy side on the $13.4 billion acquisition of Nova Chemicals by a consortium led by Abu Dhabi National Oil Company and OMV, the year’s largest cross-border deal in the sector, which played a key role in strengthening global polyolefins production.

In industrial technology, Barclays advised CVC Capital Partners on its £2 billion ($2.5 billion) acquisition of Smiths Detection from Smiths Group, highlighting continued private-equity interest in high-tech industrial assets. —TM

Infrastructure Finance

As global infrastructure investment accelerated in 2025, French giant Societe Generale played a central role in some of the year’s most significant infrastructure transactions. In the UK, Societe Generale acted as mandated lead arranger and bookrunner on £5.5 billion (about $7.3 billion) of financing for the Sizewell C nuclear power station, one of Europe’s most important new energy-infrastructure projects and a cornerstone of the country’s long-term energy-security strategy.

The bank was also a key arranger on nearly $1.1 billion in green financing for the Eastern Green Link 2 transmission project, a 505 km (about 314-mile) subsea electric cable connecting Scotland and England. The project will transport up to 2 GW of renewable electricity from coastal wind farms to southern demand centers, enough to power more than 2 million homes while strengthening the UK’s electricity grid. Digital infrastructure has also been an important pillar of Societe Generale’s franchise. The bank participated in €650 million financing for the development of a European hyperscale data-center platform backed by Iliad Group and InfraVia, to support the expansion of cloud computing and AI infrastructure.         —TM

After reaching record highs in 2025, prices for base metals and critical minerals continue to be whipsawed as economic risks and uncertainty persist, with shifting tariffs and supply disruptions related to the conflict in Iran. Strong price appreciation contributed to increased capital-markets activity, with many companies opting to increase scale or sell noncore assets. BMO Capital Markets continues to help clients successfully navigate these complex markets with advisory mandates and capital-markets execution on the largest transactions.

Globally, BMO covered 21 transactions in 2025 valued at $38 billion. It is also the sector’s top bank in equity capital-markets underwriting. In one of the largest metals and mining transactions of the past 10 years, BMO advised the $50-billion merger of Teck Resources and Anglo American. With BMO’s dominant market position, it has cultivated many long-term relationships. One of these clients is Coeur Mining, which the firm advised on the acquisition of SilverCrest Metals with a total implied equity value of approximately $1.7 billion. BMO was also named adviser for Coeur Mining’s announced buy of New Gold, valued at about $7 billion. —David Sanders

Power/Energy

The global power and energy investment outlook remained robust in 2025, driven by rising infrastructure spending amid the rearranging of supply chains due to increased geopolitical tensions and continuously accelerating renewable energy transition projects. Against this backdrop, our best bank for the sector, Brazilian heavyweight BTG Pactual, took advantage of its region’s large-scale privatizations, transmission-asset sales, and growing private investment to notch a banner year.

Among the bank’s main deals of the year in the sector, BTG served as the exclusive financial adviser to Equatorial Energia on the 9.4 billion Brazilian-real (about $1.8 billion) sale of its electricity-transmission portfolio to Canada’s CDPQ, one of the year’s largest infrastructure transactions. BTG also advised Eletrobras on the 535 million-real sale of its stake in Eletronuclear to a subsidiary of J&F Investimentos, a strategic divestment aimed at streamlining the Brazilian utility’s portfolio. The firm was equally active in energy transition investments. BTG acted as exclusive financial adviser to Orizon on the 275 million-real sale of a minority stake to eB Capital, supporting expansion in the waste-to-energy sector.  —TM

Real Estate Finance

As one of the leading banks in the Asia-Pacific region, DBS has been recognized as a global leader in real estate finance. Southeast Asia’s largest bank notably issued 300 million Singapore dollars (about $235 million) in five-year noncallable green subordinate perpetual securities at 3.18%. This issuance is one of the largest corporate perpetual securities in Singapore dollars and has the lowest fixed rate in 2025. DBS also acted as one of the bookrunners/managers for the Hysan Development-related $750 million bond issuance.

Lastly, DBS issued multitranche 3.5 billion offshore yuan (about $508.5 million) senior unsecured green notes due in 2028, 2030, and 2035. This was the first 10-year offshore yuan public bond.        —Lyndsey Zhang

Sports Finance

In 2025, Guggenheim was a key player in sports finance, advising on major franchise transactions and strategic deals. The firm facilitated CEO Mark Walter’s historic $10 billion acquisition of the Los Angeles Lakers; it was the highest valuation ever for a professional sports team.. Guggenheim also advised Major League Baseball on a $9 billion debt-restructuring deal with Main Street Sports Group (formerly Diamond Sports Group), helping it emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy. The firm played a key role in Liberty Media’s €4.2 billion acquisition of Dorna Sports and published research suggesting the NFL’s media rights are undervalued. Additionally, Guggenheim developed structured credit solutions for sports teams, allowing them to leverage non-game day revenue streams.

In 2025, UBS played a central role in the tech dealmaking rebound, benefiting from increased capital inflows. The bank served as exclusive financial adviser to Veeco Instruments on its $4.4 billion merger with Axcelis Technologies, combining semiconductor equipment suppliers to meet growing demand in AI and data centers. UBS also led Fermi America’s $13.8 billion dual-listing IPO on the London Stock Exchange and Nasdaq, marking the first such dual listing in over a century. In Europe, UBS was a joint bookrunner for the Swiss Marketplace Group’s €901.6 million IPO, one of the continent’s largest digital platform listings.  

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World’s Best Investment Banks 2026: Africa

These standout investment banks exemplify the dynamism and growing global relevance of Africa’s financial ecosystem.

Africa’s investment banking landscape in 2026 reflects a market that is both maturing and expanding, with institutions deepening their regional reach while navigating uneven economic conditions.

From robust M&A pipelines to a resurgence in equities activity and gradual development in debt markets, leading banks are demonstrating resilience and adaptability across the continent. This year’s winners for the region — Rand Merchant Bank, Standard Chartered, Chapel Hill Denham, and Absa Bank — are setting the pace, executing landmark transactions while strengthening cross-border capabilities.

Their performance underscores a broader shift toward more sophisticated capital markets, even as structural challenges persist.

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Best Investment Bank

In 2025, Rand Merchant Bank (RMB) posted $939.2 million in normalized profits before tax and a 20.7% return on equity. In South Africa, the firm commanded a 16% market share in M&A, with 24 deals valued at $4.6 billion. Among the bank’s landmark deals was advising Aspen Pharmacare on the disposal of its Asia-Pacific assets (excluding China) to Australia’s BGH Capital for nearly 2.4 billion Australian dollars (about US$1.6 billion). Markets outside South Africa accounted for 21% of profits. In Tanzania, RMB arranged a $300 million syndicated loan to finance infrastructure projects. Meanwhile in Ghana, a $500 million financing package for Asante Gold to scale production.         

M&A

In recent years, Standard Chartered has been reorganizing its business in Africa. The objective is to focus on higher-growth markets and the bank’s core competence in corporate and investment banking. By taking this route, the bank aims to ensure it remains a leader in Africa’s dealmaking, particularly in M&A. Over the past 15 years, Standard Chartered has built a long track record of advising on cross-border deals across various sectors such as oil and gas, chemicals, metals and mining, health care, and financial services. Over that period, the bank has advised on transactions with a combined value of over $50 billion, deploying expertise in buy-side/sell-side, capital raise, valuation, fairness opinion, and defense advisory, and others.

The trend was maintained last year with landmark deals. Among them was advising West China Cement on the acquisition of Heidelberg Materials’ operations in the Democratic Republic of Congo, a deal worth $120 million and the bank’s third cement transaction in Africa in 18 months. Standard Chartered also advised Norwegian state-owned fund Norfund in its $86 million equity investment, shared with pension fund KLP, in Anthem, a new renewable-energy firm based in South Africa.

Equities

The Nigerian equities market is experiencing an unprecedented surge in activity, putting it ahead of the pack in Africa. A key factor is the comeback by foreign investors, encouraged by stabilizing macroeconomic conditions, specifically foreign exchange reforms. Last year, foreign transactions at the Nigerian Exchange surged by 211% to more than 2.6 trillion Nigerian naira (over $1.8 billion), up from 852 billion naira in 2024. Chapel Hill Denham remains a key intermediary in orchestrating market activity as the issuing house for the most significant transactions. Riding on Chapel Hill’s deep sector expertise and strong investor engagement, the firm was involved in $553.4 million in deals in 2025.

The firm not only remained the preferred partner for banks pursuing recapitalization ahead of the March 31, 2026, central bank deadline for banks to meet new capital requirements of 500 billion naira but also cemented its position in Nigeria’s real estate investment trust market. Among Chapel Hill’s major transactions was that of GTBank’s holding company, GTCO, which raised $105.5 million in an offering and then listed shares on the London Stock Exchange (LSE). The transaction was fundamental, being the first listing on the LSE by a Nigerian lender.        

Debt

Africa’s corporate debt markets remain underdeveloped. According to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, just four economies account for 61% of outstanding corporate debt, largely concentrated among a handful of issuers with access to long-term funding. Issuance is heavily reliant on foreign investors and mostly dollar denominated, while corporate debt sits below 15% of GDP in most countries—far behind the 52% global average.

Despite this reality, Absa Bank has been at the forefront of changing the narrative. With on-the-ground coverage across 15 markets, the bank is an active player in helping companies raise capital even when markets are volatile. Last year, following President Trump’s tariffs, Absa facilitated Ecobank Transnational Inc. (ETI) in tapping international markets with a $125 million eurobond. The transaction was instrumental on many fronts. These included enabling ETI to refinance upcoming debt maturities. Absa also oversaw the execution of a $500 million bond for Bidvest Group.       

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World’s Best Investment Banks 2026: Asia-Pacific

This year’s top firms in Asia-Pacific underscore the region’s growing influence in shaping global investment banking trends.

The investment banking landscape across Asia-Pacific is defined by scale, sophistication, and intensifying competition across capital markets.

These regional leaders, like their global counterparts, are capitalizing on strong deal flow, particularly in M&A and equities, while expanding capabilities in debt financing and advisory.

Our top institutions — Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, DBS Bank, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan — are setting the benchmark, executing landmark transactions and reinforcing their regional dominance.

Their performance reflects a broader resurgence in Asia-Pacific capital markets, driven by robust IPO activity, cross-border consolidation, and evolving financing strategies.

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Best Investment Bank

The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) recorded operating income of 835.4 billion yuan (about $121 billion) last year, and net profit of 368.3 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2% and 1%, respectively.

The Beijing-based firm led China’s market in merger financing, bond underwriting, and restructuring advisory. M&A loans exceeded 102.2 billion yuan, while bond underwriting reached over 1.7 trillion yuan, boasting nearly 10% market share. ICBC also led the industry in market-oriented debt-to-equity swaps. In securities underwriting, ICBC demonstrated strong pricing power and post-listing performance, completing over 230 Hong Kong IPOs with a cumulative underwriting volume of nearly $210 billion.   

M&A

In 2025, DBS continued its legacy as a one-bank composite solution, leading domestic and cross-border M&A deals in the Asia-Pacific region. The most notable deal was the joint work of DBS Strategic Advisory HK and DBS Securities in China, providing strategic advice and execution to Haitong Securities in its merger with Guotai Junan Securities (GTJA), completing the country’s largest-ever brokerage deal.

DBS also advised Singaporean companies transforming into the new economy through M&A, including Keppel’s divestment of subsidiary M1 to Simba Telecom for an enterprise value of 1.43 billion Singapore dollars (about US$1.1 billion), showcasing the bank’s deep sector expertise.

In addition, DBS’ long-standing relationship with state-owned energy and urban development company Sembcorp supported multiple corporate and investment banking solutions. With DBS’ advisory, this major electricity supplier in Singapore successfully transitioned away from fossil fuels and invested in green energy.

Equities

Morgan Stanley was also 2025’s top arranger of equity capital markets deals in the Asia-Pacific region for the second consecutive year, holding a market share of nearly 10%, well ahead of rival Goldman Sachs. The New York-based investment bank facilitated $27.9 billion in IPOs, primary placements, block trades, and convertible bonds—almost $9 billion more than Goldman Sachs, according to Bloomberg data. Its 10% market share marks the second-highest for a top-placed bank in the past decade. The bank worked on several multibillion-dollar Asian deals as share sales surged in Hong Kong and India, which notched a record year for IPOs.

Four of the year’s five largest share-sale venues are in Asia—Hong Kong, India, mainland China, and Japan. Despite missing Asia’s two largest deals earlier in the year and trailing Goldman in the first half, Morgan Stanley regained the lead in early July with a $3.4 billion block trade in insurer AIA Group Ltd. It was also the sole arranger on Ping An Insurance (Group) Co. of China Ltd.’s HK$11.8 billion ($1.5 billion) convertible bond in June, boosting its league-table position. A rebound in health-care share sales in Hong Kong after a three-year slump further benefited Morgan Stanley, giving it a 37% market share in the sector and leading numerous offerings on a sole basis, including those involving WuXi XDC Cayman Inc.

Debt

J.P. Morgan demonstrated its position as a market leader in the Asia-Pacific debt capital market by becoming the top fee earner in the region, supported by leadership in capital market transactions, including debt issuance. The firm also demonstrated a long-term leadership strategy, expanding its private credit and debt financing business while specifically targeting midsize companies. The large commitment to direct lending strengthens the bank’s position as a top debt-investment bank in the region. J.P. Morgan was also recognized by Coalition Greenwich as a quality leader in Asia for its cash management services, receiving multiple Greenwich excellence awards.          

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World’s Best Investment Banks 2026: Latin America

Latin America’s investment banking giants of 2025, driving record M&A deals, booming equity offerings, and landmark debt transactions.

Despite the region’s ongoing challenges, Latin America remains attractive to foreign investment, especially in sectors such as renewable energy, technology, and infrastructure.

Foreign investment flows are often spurred by economic reforms, privatization efforts, and regulatory improvements.

BTG Pactual reaffirmed its position as the region’s top bank, while Itaú BBA capitalized on the rebound in equities, capturing a commanding market share and leading notable IPOs. And Bradesco BBI excelled in debt issuance, coordinating major corporate debentures and sovereign bonds, while maintaining strong cross-border market engagement.

The following list highlights the firms at the forefront of Latin America’s investment banking sector, shaping the region’s financial future.

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Best Investment Bank

The leading Latin American investment bank, BTG Pactual ranked first in M&A with $15 billion in deal volume and led in ECM with $2 billion in deals. In DCM, the Brazilian bank issued more than $159 billion in 2025 alone. Among these transactions was the $2.6 billion merger between BRF (formerly Brasil Foods) and Marfrig, the biggest in the region for the year. On the equities side, the bank acted as lead left coordinator on the 10.5 billion Brazilian real (about $2 billion) capital raise for Cosan, a Brazilian sugar and ethanol producer with operations in energy, oil and gas, agribusiness, and logistics.  

M&A

It was a year in which industry-specific consolidation trends met still-elevated interest rates in Latin America, and M&A belonged to those who could structure complex deals with top-level execution. Such was the case for BTG Pactual, the No. 1 M&A advisory house in Latin America for yet another year. With more than $15 billion in deal volume in 2025 alone, the Brazilian powerhouse continued to lead in both volume and number of deals.

Among BTG Pactual’s key deals was the roughly $4 billion combination of BRF and Marfrig, a landmark transaction in Brazil’s food sector. BTG was also the financial adviser to Paper Excellence on the sale of its minority stake in pulp-producer Eldorado Brasil Celulose to J&F Investimentos for 15 billion reais (about $2.8 billion). Beyond BTG’s home turf, it played a key part in the take-private of Brazilian-based Serena Energia, valued at roughly $2.8 billion, by Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund GIC and General Atlantic, where the bank served as the exclusive financial adviser to Serena. The bank also acted as the exclusive financial adviser to Equatorial Energia in the sale of its power-transmission portfolio to Canada’s CDPQ for 9.4 billion-reais.

Equities

Through a combination of innovation and robust market positioning, Brazilian Itaú BBA took advantage of the rebound in Latin American

to close the year with a commanding 24% market share in the region’s ECM deals—56% of the share in the bank’s home market. As follow-ons dominated market growth on the back of improving risk sentiment among corporates and persistently elevated interest rates, the bank managed to structure some of the year’s most important deals. Among these deals was the landmark $196 million Aura Minerals IPO, which provided the Florida-based company with the capital structure to deepen its presence in Brazil. Itaú led the 1.2 billion real (about $226 million) Caixa Seguridade secondary offering, allowing the state-backed bank to improve its classification under the Brazilian regulatory framework. Itaú played a role in structuring the roughly $190 million C&A Brasil transaction, in which controlling shareholders sold a 21% stake through a block trade.     

Debt

With a mix of domestic and cross-border issuances, Brazil’s Bradesco BBI rode the persistent high-interest-rate environment in the region, which prompted corporates to gravitate toward fixed-income instruments with excellent performance. In the domestic market, the bank acted as lead bookrunner on Vale’s local debenture issuance, serving as a key coordinator in distributing one of the largest capital raisings in Brazil during the year. Bradesco also led the Ecovias Rio Minas debenture, cited as one of the largest corporate debenture transactions of 2025. In structured credit, Bradesco BBI participated in the CloudWalk FIDC, one of the most significant FIDC offerings of the year, and acted as bookrunner on a 3.1 billion Brazilian real (about $591 million) FIDC issuance in April 2025. Internationally, the bank played a central role in benchmark cross-border bond offerings. Bradesco acted as a bookrunner on Brazil’s new 10-year, 2035, dollar-denominated sovereign benchmark bond, raising $2.5 billion, a significant transaction.        

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Exclusive: EU-based chemical producers ask Commission to probe Chinese group over deal in the UK

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A coalition of EU-based chemical producers of titanium dioxide – a strategic chemical used in green energy and aerospace – has lodged a complaint with the Commission alleging unfair foreign subsidies against leading Chinese producer LB Group, which is seeking to acquire a UK plant of British competitor Venator, Euronews has learned.


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The move follows the European Commission’s decision in January 2025 to impose anti-dumping duties on LB Group, a trade defence measure targeting low-priced imports into the EU.

Acquiring a production plant in the UK would allow the Chinese group to export its products to the European market duty-free under the EU-UK trade agreement, circumventing EU anti-dumping tariffs.

The EU chemical sector is under pressure from growing competition from Chinese rivals, which are flooding the market with overcapacity.

The alliance behind the complaint against LB Group includes several companies producing in the EU — US-based Tronox and Kronos, Czech Precheza and Slovenian Cinkarna — collectively accounting for about 90% of EU titanium dioxide production.

Enforcing the Foreign Subsidies Regulation outside the EU

Sources said the complaint was filed in December 2025, urging the European Commission to investigate the Chinese company over alleged unfair foreign subsidies used to finance the acquisition of Venator’s plant.

The EU’s Foreign Subsidies Regulation, adopted in 2022, allows the Commission to investigate non-EU companies to assess whether they benefit from distortive foreign subsidies to make acquisitions in the EU or take part in public procurement.

The tool was initially designed with China in mind, reflecting concerns over excessive state subsidies support for Chinese companies acquiring strategic EU assets or infrastructure. However, the regulation has not yet been applied outside the EU.

The plant targeted by LB Group is located in Greatham in northeast England, which left the EU in 2020 after Brexit. The UK’s Competition and Markets Authority is currently reviewing the deal and is expected to issue a decision in May.

If the European Commission opens an investigation under the Foreign Subsidies Regulation, it could set a precedent and send a strong signal globally.

The move would come as the EU chemical industry loses market share in Europe.

According to Cefic, which represents the sector in Brussels, the bloc has lost around 9% of its production capacity since 2022, resulting in the loss of 20,000 direct jobs.

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U.S. renews pause on Russian oil sanctions (CL1:COM:Commodity)

Apr 18, 2026, 8:42 AM ETCrude Oil Futures (CL1:COM), USO, CO1:COM, NG1:COM, , , , , , , , , , , , , , By: Dulan Lokuwithana, SA News Editor
Top view on Oil-storage tank with the tanker at a mooring.

KadnikovValerii/iStock Editorial via Getty Images

The U.S. Treasury Department has extended a waiver that will temporarily ease some sanctions on Russian oil shipments just two days after Secretary Scott Bessent said Washington would not renew the exemption despite surging oil prices caused by Middle Eastern tensions.

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Regions projects 2026 net interest income growth of 2.5%-4% with net interest margin exiting in the low 3.70%s (NYSE:RF)

Earnings Call Insights: Regions Financial Corporation (RF) Q1 2026

Management View

  • “This morning, we reported strong first quarter earnings of $539 million or $0.62 per share,” said (President, CEO & Chairman John Turner), adding, “We grew loans and deposits on both an average and ending basis, and our credit metrics continue

Seeking Alpha’s Disclaimer: This article was automatically generated by an AI tool based on content available on the Seeking Alpha website, and has not been curated or reviewed by humans. Due to inherent limitations in using AI-based tools, the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of such articles cannot be guaranteed. This article is intended for informational purposes only. Seeking Alpha does not take account of your objectives or your financial situation and does not offer any personalized investment advice. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank.

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Delcy’s Make-or-Break Central Bank Appointment

American sanctions on the Venezuelan Central Bank (BCV) have been relieved, generating a flurry of speculations over what is next for the financial sector and the broader economy. After the big news, Delcy Rodríguez announced the resignation of BCV President Laura Guerra on Thursday night. Guerra is the sister of Nicolás Maduro’s first wife, and the aunt of Nicolasito Maduro Guerra.

At least for now, the central bank will be led by Guerra’s former deputy, Luis Pérez-González, a name that is as underwhelming as any of his predecessors. Pérez has been a member of the BCV board since April 2025. Before that, his experience in monetary policy was nil. He was in charge of Carbones del Zulia and of “Monitoring and Control of Eco-mining Development” in Maduro’s Ministry of Mining. You can find him playing Frank Sinatra songs in his spare time.

It doesn’t look like this will be Delcy’s permanent pick.

Before diving into the immediate and medium term effect that recent developments could have, it is worth highlighting what the BCV’s actual purpose is and the spectacular failure that has driven the institution to near irrelevance. 

Ironically, Venezuelan law mandates the BCV to ensure price stability and preserve the value of the currency. We don’t have to go far back to remember the multiple zeros stripped from the bolívar after one of the longest hyperinflationary episodes in modern history, directly contradicting its constitutional mandate. After all, this is a central bank that went years without publishing any data, and when it resumed, it released incomplete figures, forcing economists to reconstruct years of missing information. It is the same BCV that despite its constitutional mandate did not make any counterbalance to the completely irresponsible fiscal policy of the Chávez and Maduro era, shattering any sort of credibility it may have had. 

Nevertheless, reviving the BCV is crucial to the reintegration of the financial sector into the wider Venezuelan economy. In the near term, the effects of sanctions relief will likely be most visible in exchange rate auctions. Greater transparency and reliability in these operations will help reduce the gap between the official and the black market rates. This would directly affect daily life, reducing price distortions and helping stabilize inflation expectations for ordinary Venezuelans. It would also reopen the door to multilateral institutions and international markets, particularly renewed engagement with the International Monetary Fund, which is a necessary step toward debt restructuring and access to credit.

However, there is no on and off switch in terms of trustworthiness, and the BCV is supposed to be in the credibility business.The effectiveness of any central bank relies on its independence from political pressures and ability to communicate a coherent monetary policy, not just on the technical capacity of who runs it. Undermining that independence is what ultimately kills the effectiveness of any policy it may attempt to implement. 

Delcy needs to set up an independent central bank to satisfy the economic discourse, attract investment, and control inflationary pressures. Doing so will require establishing the first institution capable of challenging the administration from within.

This is true everywhere, as hard fought-battles are being waged around the economic world on this matter. From Trump’s challenges to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, which unsettled financial markets, to standout regional cases like Peru, where the central bank has been single-handedly supporting the economy despite near-permanente political turmoil. These examples highlight just how crucial central bank independence is to real economic stability.

Restoring trust in the BCV goes beyond who runs it, but the naming of the new president is one of the most crucial decisions that the interim administration of Delcy Rodríguez will have to make. Whoever is chosen will be scrutinized by both ordinary Venezuelans and international investors to gauge the commitment of Rodríguez to carry out the necessary economic reforms. Someone that falls short of being able to implement true independence and restore confidence in the system will just undermine all the political speech of the economy first that is currently being put on display. 

The paradox is that Delcy needs to set up an independent central bank to satisfy the economic discourse, attract investment, and control inflationary pressures. But doing so will require establishing the first institution capable of challenging the administration from within. This is where the political and economic reality clash.

The decision comes with a level of urgency, as patience is starting to run out in an internal political climate that is heating up. Trade unions and pensioners have recently taken to the streets to demand higher wages and benefits. Appointing someone close to the previous administration will increase frustration and complicate the weak equilibrium that Rodríguez has built around the promise to rebuild the economy.  

The interim government is attempting to make itself useful to the American overlords by convincing them that they have the ability and willingness to commit to economic reform. Failure to follow through with an independent BCV board could strain the relationship further and make it even harder to justify. Now that sanctions have been lifted and oil money is flowing through US-backed accounts, it is time for the interim authority to live up to their side of the bargain, as Delcy risks losing the little goodwill her administration has left.  

Attention is now focused on who will be appointed to lead the BCV, and whether that choice signals a genuine shift toward institutional autonomy or a continuation of past policy constraints.

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Rand Merchant Bank: Cautious Optimism

Rob Leon, Co-Head of Investment Banking at Rand Merchant Bank, which won Best Investment Bank in Africa, explains Africa’s opportunities to become a global investment hub.

Global Finance: What does the African deal-making landscape look like, and how do you see it evolving?

Rob Leon: Africa’s deal-making landscape is marked by cautious optimism. Despite geopolitical uncertainty and global economic headwinds, investment opportunities are expanding in key sectors, with infrastructure being central. Interest in natural resources—particularly critical minerals needed for clean energy—is also growing, and private equity and venture capitalists are becoming increasingly active. Notably, reforms in several countries are improving investor confidence. Egypt, Morocco, South Africa, Kenya, and Nigeria dominate due to their large consumer bases, diversified economies, and reform momentum.

Over the coming years, deal activity is expected to be deeply driven by regional integration, policy reforms, and the demographic dividend. The African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) will unlock cross-border opportunities, making pan-African mergers and acquisitions more viable.

In the short term, we expect moderate growth in deal volumes, led by the energy and digital sectors. In the medium term, AfCFTA will lower trade barriers and harmonize regulation, creating conditions for larger cross-border deals. Beyond 2030, Africa could emerge as a global investment hub if political stability and regulatory harmony are sustained.

GF: What has made RMB a top investment bank, and how critical are broader Africa markets?

Leon: Our diversified portfolio, together with a disciplined approach to balancing risk, return, and growth, have let RMB deliver consistent returns in a very competitive market. Besides that, we differentiate ourselves through a collaborative, client-centric, and entrepreneurial approach.

Broader Africa is central to our growth strategy. RMB has a deal footprint in 35 countries as well as an international presence. That network matters because many of our clients are regional or internationally connected businesses that need capital, risk management, and advisory solutions across jurisdictions.

GF: How can Africa deepen its underdeveloped corporate debt market?

Leon: Africa’s corporate debt markets have developed meaningfully over time, but their depth and breadth still vary considerably across countries, sectors, and currencies. In many markets, the issue is not a lack of demand for capital. It is that the available pools of capital, the range of issuers, and the array of funding instruments are not yet broad or deep enough to meet the demand. A key consideration is currency. Many corporates’ revenues are denominated in local currency, yet a meaningful share of available funding is hard currency-based.

On the positive side, domestic institutional capital is growing and should support deeper and more diversified debt markets over time. This is encouraging, with borrowers taking a strategic approach to funding, including engagement from a broader set of investors and growing demand for solutions that go beyond traditional bilateral lending.

GF: Equity-market activity remains subdued. What can Africa do to change this?

Leon: While 2025 was a stellar year for many African equity markets, we still see muted capital raising activity, with companies preferring debt financing or private equity. To change this, Africa needs a mix of structural reforms, market deepening, and investor confidence-building measures. Currently, many markets are underutilized. Exchanges remain small, with limited trading volumes; listing is burdensome; and volatility and perception often deter long-term investors. That said, a few stock exchanges are highly sophisticated, with deep liquidity, diverse listings, and advanced infrastructure.

To revitalize equity capital raising, Africa must strengthen market infrastructure by modernizing its trading platforms and settlement systems and encourage cross-listings and regional exchange integration. There is also a need for policy and regulatory reforms and strengthening of corporate governance standards. Africa should also leverage AfCFTA to create pan-African capital markets and pool liquidity across exchanges to attract larger listings.

GF: How large a role is sustainable finance assuming in Africa? Leon: Sustainable finance is a rapidly growing market that creates access to large reservoirs of capital and a diverse set of investors. RMB is at the forefront of advancing this market, having facilitated $12 billion in sustainable and transition finance. This includes blended finance structures to mobilize capital for early-stage projects and innovative technology. The bank has committed to facilitate $26.8 billion in sustainable and transition finance by 2030.

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