money

Italy’s UniCredit sees record profits as Commerzbank advance drags on

Published on
22/10/2025 – 14:33 GMT+2

Italian banking group UniCredit has delivered a robust third quarter, underscoring its position as one of Europe’s stronger lenders.

“UniCredit delivered yet another set of record results, with net revenues up 1.2% and costs down 0.1% versus last year,” said CEO Andrea Orcel in a statement.

Net profit came in at €2.6 billion in the third quarter, up 4.7% year-on-year, and above a company estimate of €2.4bn.

Over the first nine months of the year, the bank’s net profits rose by 12.9% to €8.7bn.

“These results reflect disciplined execution, and I am confident that we will continue to build sustainable value for all stakeholders,” said Orcel.

UniCredit also reaffirmed full-year 2025 net profit guidance at €10.5bn and said it planned to distribute at least €9.5bn to shareholders.

Why this matters

In a European banking sector facing low growth, investor pressure, and regulatory hurdles, the results are significant for several reasons.

First, UniCredit’s combination of revenue growth, cost control, and low credit impairments suggests a resilience not always seen among its peers.

Second, the reaffirmation of strong guidance signals management confidence in execution through to year-end despite macroeconomic uncertainties in European and global markets.

Thirdly, the capital position and shareholder-return commitments indicate that the bank is in a position to manage risk and reward investors.

Europe’s banks are navigating reduced margins, regulatory costs, and lacklustre loan demand. Against that backdrop, UniCredit’s cost-income ratio of 37% in the quarter is a standout.

The lender also noted that its medium-term ambitions remain unchanged, standing by a net profit target of above €11 billion for the full-year 2027.

What to watch

Key to delivery will be how UniCredit handles a potential slowdown in areas such as net interest income, which fell 5.4% year-on-year in the quarter, and how it sustains its cost-efficiency edge.

The impact of wider economic weakness in Italy, Germany, and Central and Eastern Europe, all countries with strong UniCredit presence, remains a risk.

Additionally, conversion of its medium-term plans into reality will require continued disciplined execution. This is especially the case as the bank pursues strategic initiatives such as life insurance policy changes in Italy and its takeover of Commerzbank.

UniCredit has built a 26% stake in the German lender over the last year, although Orcel’s advances are facing fierce opposition from the government in Berlin.

Source link

Trump reportedly seeks $230 million in damages for prior federal investigations

President Trump said Tuesday that the federal government owes him “a lot of money” for prior Justice Department investigations into his actions and insisted he would have the ultimate say on any payout because any decision will “have to go across my desk.”

Trump’s comments to reporters at the White House came in response to questions about a New York Times story that said he had filed administrative claims before being reelected seeking roughly $230 million in damages related to the FBI’s 2022 search of his Mar-a-Lago property for classified documents and for a separate investigation into potential ties between Russia and his 2016 presidential campaign.

Trump said Tuesday he did not know the dollar figures involved and suggested he had not spoken to officials about it. But, he added, “All I know is that, they would owe me a lot of money.”

Though the Justice Department has a protocol for reviewing such claims, Trump asserted, “It’s interesting, ‘cause I’m the one that makes the decision, right?”

“That decision would have to go across my desk,” he added.

He said he could donate any taxpayer money or use it to help pay for a ballroom he’s building at the White House.

The status of the claims and any negotiations over them within the Justice Department was not immediately clear. One of Trump’s lead defense lawyers in the Mar-a-Lago investigation, Todd Blanche, is now the deputy attorney general at the Justice Department. The current associate attorney general, Stanley Woodward, represented Trump’s valet and co-defendant, Walt Nauta, in the same case.

“In any circumstance, all officials at the Department of Justice follow the guidance of career ethics officials,” a Justice Department spokesperson said. A White House spokesperson referred comment to the Justice Department.

Trump signaled his interest in compensation during a White House appearance last week with Blanche, FBI Director Kash Patel and Atty. Gen. Pam Bondi, who was part of Trump’s legal team during one of the impeachment cases against him.

“I have a lawsuit that was doing very well, and when I became president, I said: ‘I’m suing myself. I don’t know. How do you settle the lawsuit?’” he said. ”I’ll say, ‘Give me X dollars,’ and I don’t know what to do with the lawsuit. It’s a great lawsuit and now I won, it looks bad. I’m suing myself, so I don’t know.”

The Times said the two claims were filed with the Justice Department as part of a process that seeks to resolve federal complaints through settlements and avert litigation.

One of the administrative claims, filed in August 2024 and reviewed by the Associated Press, seeks compensatory and punitive damages over the search of his Mar-a-Lago estate and the resulting case alleging he hoarded classified documents and thwarted government efforts to retrieve them.

His lawyer who filed the claim alleged the case was a “malicious prosecution” carried out by the Biden administration to hurt Trump’s bid to reclaim the White House, forcing Trump to spend tens of millions of dollars in his defense.

That investigation produced criminal charges that Justice Department special counsel Jack Smith abandoned last November because of department policy against the indictment of a sitting president.

The Times said the other complaint seeks damages related to the long-concluded Trump-Russia investigation, which continues to infuriate the president.

Source link

California gas tax goes up July 1, but leaders say road repairs need even more money

California is poised to charge the highest taxes and fees on gas in the country when an increase kicks in July 1, but officials say the state is still billions of dollars short of what’s needed to properly fix the roads and are considering additional charges.

The gasoline tax is set to climb by 5.6 cents per gallon, the second in a wave of increases approved by state leaders two years ago to raise billions of dollars for road and bridge repairs and mass transit.

Combined with a 12-cent increase that took effect in November 2017, the taxes and vehicle fees approved in a bill known as SB 1 are projected to add $5.4 billion in the coming year to transportation funding.

But officials estimate $130 billion is needed to bring the state’s roads and bridges into a state of good repair. The gas tax increases of 2017 will raise some $52 billion during the first 10 years but that will leave a road repair shortfall of approximately $78 billion.

The tax does not expire after 10 years and will continue to grow with the cost of living in future decades.

“The current funding is not sufficient, it is not enough,” said Tony Akel, a Fresno engineer who is a leader of the American Society of Civil Engineers. “We know that there is a big gap that is a result of years of underfunding.”

The group just released a study that gives California’s roads a “D” grade, saying they are among the worst in the country. State Sen. Jim Beall (D-San Jose), who authored the gas tax measure, said the evaluation appears accurate, but argued it is not a failure of the tax measure, just too early an assessment.

“You won’t see the impact of SB 1 for another couple of years,” Beall said. “The grades are based on actual conditions, and the SB 1 projects are underway but they are not finished. Road conditions will improve.”

The state has completed about 100 transportation projects and 400 more are in the works, according to the administration of Gov. Gavin Newsom.

Projects funded so far include $135.9 million to improve 104 lane miles of Interstate 605 and $54.9 million for 99 lane miles of State Route 1 in Los Angeles County. Projects completed so far include repaving a stretch of Interstate 5 between the 605 and Washington Boulevard in Los Angeles County.

“SB 1 was never expected to completely fund all backlog work, but it has given us a great start to making up for years of underfunding,” said Jeff Burdick, a spokesman for Caltrans.

The increase taking effect next month means the total state taxes and fees on gasoline will be 57.8 cents per gallon, based on the current average price of gas across California.

That will just edge out the 57.6 cents-per-gallon charged by Pennsylvania. Washington state will remain in third place, charging motorists 49.4 cents per gallon.

(Some of the California tax is based on a percentage of the cost of a gallon of gas, so a significant drop in prices could cause the overall tax to drop — at least temporarily — below Pennsylvania’s.)

Alaska and Missouri have the lowest gas taxes in the country, with per-gallon charges of 14.34 and 17.35 cents respectively, according to the American Petroleum Institute. Motorists in all states also pay 18.4 cents per gallon in federal fuel taxes.

“California will be number one in another category that it shouldn’t be number one in,” said state Sen. John Moorlach (R-Costa Mesa), who opposed SB 1 as it made its way through the Legislature. “These incremental increases drive people nuts. They are trying to meet their budgets, and we keep pounding away at it.”

Assembly Democrats, in a 49-17 vote, on Monday blocked an attempt by Republicans to postpone the July tax hike. “Democrats reaffirmed their support for a regressive gas tax increase that punishes every Californian who can’t afford a Tesla,” said Assemblyman Devon Mathis (R-Visalia). “So much for being the party of working people.”

SB 1 calls for additional annual increases to California’s gas tax based on inflation starting July 1, 2020.

Beall, the chairman of the Senate Transportation Committee, agreed with the assessment of the engineers’ group that current revenue is insufficient.

“Money went to local [agencies] from the gas tax, but they still need more,” Beall said, adding that the federal government needs to increase its funding for roads, while counties also can go to their voters for local sales tax increases for transportation projects.

Voters in Riverside County are among those who may be asked next year to raise taxes to fill a funding shortfall to fix the roads.

The Riverside County Transportation Commission has launched a study to determine how to make up a $12.6-billion gap between its transportation needs and expected funding over the next 20 years, according to Cheryl Donahue, a manager at the agency.

“As part of its review, the commission will determine whether asking county voters to consider a sales tax measure to fund transportation improvements is part of the best overall approach to reducing congestion and improving mobility,” Donahue said.

The San Diego Metropolitan Transit System also is considering whether to ask voters to increase the sales tax by up to one-half cent next year to pay for transit, highway and road improvements, spokesman Rob Schupp said. The San Diego Assn. of Governments released a poll in March that found strong voter support for such a tax, with 70% of those surveyed saying “improving roads to support transit services” is important.

Voters in San Mateo and San Benito counties approved sales tax increases in November for road projects.

Moorlach said Orange County, where he lives, has approved two local tax measures to fund its transportation needs in recent years, and he does not have a problem with other counties following suit.

The group Move L.A. has proposed a grander plan, suggesting that raising local sales taxes by a half-cent in Los Angeles, Orange, San Bernardino and Riverside counties could bring in about $1.5 billion per year for public projects.

Much of the money would go to South Coast Air Quality Management District efforts to increase non-polluting transportation, including electric cars and trucks. But some could be spent on infrastructure including bike and pedestrian lanes, which SB 1 finances.

The air district has sponsored a bill, SB 732, that would allow it to ask voters to raise the sales tax by up to 1% in the four counties. The legislation is expected to be taken up next year.

State law requires a two-thirds vote to approve a local tax increase for transportation, but a pair of other pending bills could make approval easier. A bill in the Legislature would put a measure on the November 2020 statewide ballot that would allow cities, counties and special districts to impose taxes if 55% of local voters approve. The measure would benefit projects involving affordable housing and infrastructure, including improvements to transit and streets and highways.

Another bill, AB 1413, would allow local transportation agencies like San Diego’s to seek voter approval of tax increases in any portion of the county, so if some areas want better roads they can vote on them. The measure would allow communities to pay for “improving roads, transit, highways, or other transportation infrastructure as they see fit,” said Assemblyman Todd Gloria (D-San Diego).

But the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Assn. argued agencies “shouldn’t be able to pick and choose among their tax base to make it easier to increase regressive sales taxes.”

State lawmakers also are considering a bill that would charge a 10% tax on every barrel of oil pumped from the ground in California to bring in some $900 million annually. That, critics say, would mean motorists will pay more at the pump. Backers of the bill deny there would be a significant impact on drivers.

Money raised by the bill would go to the general fund but could help with transportation, said Sen. Bob Wieckowski (D-Fremont), the legislation’s author.

“While other states have brought in billions of dollars for their constituents through an oil severance tax, California has had to dip into its own pockets to cover extensive clean-up costs brought about by the oil industry’s irresponsible actions,” Wieckowski said. “Californians deserve better.”

Sign up for our Essential Politics newsletter »

[email protected]

Twitter: @mcgreevy99



Source link

Why Crown Holdings Stock Was Climbing Today

The packaging maker delivered a strong third-quarter report.

Shares of Crown Holdings (CCK +0.04%), the maker of aluminum cans and other packaging supplies, reported better-than-expected results in its third-quarter earnings report, sporting solid growth on the top and bottom lines. It also raised its guidance for the full year.

As of 11:48 a.m. ET, the stock was up 3.7% on the news.

Aluminum cans coming down a conveyor belt at a factory.

Image source: Getty Images.

Crown Holdings raises the bar

In a fluid environment where tariffs have roiled global manufacturers like Crown Holdings, the company is still managing to deliver growth. In the third quarter, revenue rose 4.2% to $3.2 billion, topping estimates at $3.14 billion.

The company experienced strong growth in Europe, with volume growth up 12% in the European beverage segment, which drove a 27% increase in segment income. Other regions were mixed.

Overall, segment income, which adjusts operating income for one-time charges and intangibles amortization, was up 4% to $490 million, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) increased 13% to $2.24, which beat the consensus at $1.99.

Crown Stock Quote

Today’s Change

(0.04%) $3.93

Current Price

$98.34

Crown lifts its guidance

Management said it was raising its full-year forecast based on its performance through the first three quarters of the year. The company now expects adjusted earnings per share of $7.70 to $7.80, up from a previous forecast of $7.10 to $7.50. For the fourth quarter, it sees adjusted EPS of $1.65 to $1.75, which compares to the consensus at $1.58.

Following the report, Jefferies reiterated a buy rating on the stock, calling it “undervalued.”

At a price-to-earnings ratio of less than 13, Crown looks well priced for a category leader that’s growing in a challenging environment.

Jeremy Bowman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Jefferies Financial Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Source link

The Streaming Pivot No One Saw Coming: Netflix Embraces Spotify’s Premium Podcasts

Find out what this Netflix-Spotify move could mean for sports, entertainment, and your portfolio.

The future of streaming media just got a whole lot more interesting. I certainly didn’t see it coming, and I bet no one else did either. Last week, Netflix (NFLX 0.40%) and Spotify (SPOT 2.01%) teamed up to put some of Spotify’s top podcasts on the video-streaming veteran’s global platform.

Netflix and Spotify’s groundbreaking podcast partnership isn’t just another content deal. It’s a glimpse into a radically different entertainment ecosystem. Former rivals become allies, audio-only podcasts turn into TV shows, and the very definition of “content” becomes beautifully, chaotically fluid.

This is the streaming evolution nobody saw coming: Specialist platforms finally realizing that collaboration might just be the ultimate competitive advantage.

What’s happening?

Early next year, you’ll see a handful of Spotify podcast shows on the American Netflix service. The partnership starts with a couple of true crime talk shows, a larger set of popular culture and lifestyle shows, and a really heaping helping of sports-oriented podcasts. Other markets will gain access to these series later, though the exact timing and geographical reach remains unknown.

Spotify sees the team-up as an effective way to grow people’s access to these podcasts, including ultra-premium stuff like The Bill Simmons Podcast. As a reminder, Spotify paid $185 million for Simmons’ Ringer studio in 2020 and presumably even more for a renewal of that deal in March 2025.

Netflix’s management highlighted the growing popularity of video-style podcasts, giving subscribers one more content type to enjoy.

People walking next to a large Netflix logo.

Image source: Getty Images.

Netflix gets sports content on the cheap

I think it’s a stroke of genius from both sides of the dealmaking table, though Netflix probably gets the sweeter end of this deal.

Netflix suddenly expands its burgeoning sports coverage very quickly by getting podcast rights, and without paying billions of dollars for direct event coverage deals. Leagues like the NFL, the NBA, and MLB want a lot of money for their game-tracking deals. For example:

  • Comcast‘s (NASDAQ: CMCSA) NBCUniversal division is reportedly close to a three-year deal with Major League Baseball, priced at $200 million per year.

  • The National Basketball Association signed an 11-year coverage deal in the summer of 2024, splitting the rights among NBCUniversal, Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) Prime Video, and Walt Disney‘s (NYSE: DIS) ESPN for about $7 billion per year.

  • As for the National Football League, Netflix has nibbled on a few specific games, but the big contracts are found elsewhere. Comcast, Disney, Paramount Skydance (NASDAQ: PSKY), Amazon, and Fox (NASDAQ: FOX) are all paying billion-dollar sums per year for their specific slices of NFL media rights. Even YouTube entered this arena, as the Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG) (NASDAQ: GOOGL) subsidiary inked a seven-year deal for Sunday Ticket coverage at $2 billion per year.

The financial details of the Netflix/Spotify partnership are not known, which suggests the payments may be small enough to not require public disclosure. After all, both partners are expecting positive outcomes from this contract. But even if Netflix is spending a few hundred million dollars, it still found a cheaper way to tap into the lucrative sports market.

Audio meets video (and beyond)

I think of podcasts as an audio-centered media format, but this deal was an eye-opener. Adding a few high-end cameras and decent lighting to the radio-like studio instantly creates a video stream instead, and a lot of people prefer that format. From the podcast creators’ point of view, I’m sure it doesn’t hurt to upgrade the studio environment and pay more attention to the visuals.

So the edges and borders between different content types are getting smudged. Spotify is doing video content and Netflix is adding audio-centric shows. And it won’t stop there. I mean, Netflix has dozens of video games already, and there’s a hidden “snake” game in the mobile Spotify app. Digital entertainment is digital entertainment, and specialists in one particular media type can easily expand to other fields.

That’s particularly true for the well-heeled global giant that started the video-streaming industry in 2011. Netflix has the resources to keep its business growth going by exploring new media types. Recent examples even include brick-and-mortar stores and the upcoming Netflix House experience centers in Philadelphia and Dallas.

Anders Bylund has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Netflix, and Walt Disney. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Netflix, Spotify Technology, and Walt Disney. The Motley Fool recommends Comcast. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Source link

Iconic Insurer Purged From Major Institutional Portfolio, According to Recent Filing

On October 17, 2025, Shaker Investments disclosed it sold out of The Progressive Corporation (PGR 0.83%), liquidating 9,829 shares for an estimated $2.62 million.

What Happened

Shaker Investments disclosed in a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission dated October 17, 2025, that it had sold its entire stake in The Progressive Corporation in the third quarter. The liquidation involved 9,829 shares, with an estimated transaction value of $2.62 million based on the average price for the quarter. The fund’s post-trade holding in the insurer is now zero shares.

What Else to Know

The fund sold out of Progressive, reducing its allocation from 1.07% of 13F AUM in the previous quarter to zero.

Top holdings after the filing:

  • NYSE:AX: $33.84 million (13.5% of AUM)
  • NASDAQ:AVGO: $12.30 million (4.9% of AUM)
  • NASDAQ:NVDA: $12,301,219 (4.9% of AUM)
  • NASDAQ:MSFT: $8,486,093 (3.4% of AUM)
  • NASDAQ:GOOGL: $8,297,003 (3.3% of AUM)

As of October 16, 2025, shares of Progressive were priced at $221.74, down 13.17% over the past year; shares have underperformed the S&P 500 by 24.06 percentage points over the past year.

Company Overview

Metric Value
Revenue (TTM) $85.17 billion
Net Income (TTM) $10.71 billion
Dividend Yield 2.17%
Price (as of market close 2025-10-16) $221.74

Company Snapshot

The Progressive Corporation is a leading U.S. property and casualty insurer with a diversified portfolio spanning auto, residential, and specialty insurance lines. Its multi-channel distribution model includes independent agencies, online, and phone channels.

The company offers personal and commercial auto insurance, residential property coverage, and specialty property-casualty products, including insurance for motorcycles, RVs, watercraft, and business vehicles. It generates revenue primarily from underwriting insurance policies and related services.

Progressive serves individual consumers, small businesses, and property owners across the United States through direct channels and independent agencies.

Foolish Take

By selling its entire stake of more than $2.6 million worth of Progressive stock, Shaker Investments has cut loose one of America’s largest insurers. Should retail investors do the same? Let’s have a closer look.

It’s been a less than stellar year so far for Progressive. Shares have declined (3.9%) year-to-date, while the S&P 500 has advanced by 14.5%. Even within the insurance sector, Progressive has lagged major benchmarks, such as the SPDR S&P Insurance ETF (KIE) and iShares US Insurance ETF (IAK), which have generated a total year-to-date return of 1.5% and 1.8%, respectively.

Adding to the stock’s tough year, Progressive recently released disappointing third-quarter earnings results on October 15. Both earnings-per-share and revenue came in below analysts’ estimates, with Progressive stock falling on the announcement. In addition, the company noted that it was recording a nearly $1 billion expense related to a change in Florida policy that limits profits on auto insurance in the state. Despite these setbacks, the company reported increased premiums written and earned, indicating growth in the company’s core operations.

At any rate, retail investors looking for exposure to the insurance sector may want to consider a broad-based ETF, like the SPDR S&P Insurance ETF (KIE) or the iShares US Insurance ETF (IAK). These ETFs provide diversification within the sector, ensuring that investors aren’t as exposed to operational risks at any single company.

Glossary

Exited its position: When an investor sells all shares of a particular investment, fully closing out that holding.
13F reportable assets under management (AUM): The total value of securities a fund must report quarterly to the SEC on Form 13F.
Allocation: The percentage of a fund’s assets invested in a specific security or asset class.
Liquidation: The process of selling an investment position, often fully, to convert it into cash.
Stake: The amount or percentage of ownership an investor holds in a company or asset.
Dividend Yield: A financial ratio showing how much a company pays in dividends each year relative to its share price.
Distribution model: The methods a company uses to sell its products or services to customers (e.g., direct, agencies).
Underwriting: The process by which an insurer evaluates and assumes the risk of insuring a person or asset.
Property and casualty insurer: An insurance company providing coverage for property loss and liability for accidents, injuries, or damage.
Specialty insurance lines: Insurance products designed for unique or non-standard risks, such as motorcycles or RVs.
TTM: The 12-month period ending with the most recent quarterly report.

Jake Lerch has positions in Alphabet and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Axos Financial, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Progressive. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Source link

Best Investment Bank and Cash Management

Home Awards Award Winners World’s Best Investment Bank and Best Bank for Cash Management 2025: Bank of America

Bank of America has been recognised in 2025 as The World’s Best Investment Bank and the World’s Best Bank for Cash Management in this year’s Global Bank Awards.

Brian Moynihan, Chairman & CEO

World’s Best Investment Bank 2025

Against the backdrop of thriving global stock markets and rising debt-finance activity, Bank of America (BofA) Securities’ global operations achieved an impressive 43% year-over-year jump in investment banking fees as of the fourth quarter of 2024.

The numbers were buoyed mainly by the bank’s three big areas of operations: North America, Latin America, and Europe, where the bank controlled a commanding 8.3%, 9%, and 4.4% of total investment banking fees, respectively. That boosted revenue for the full year to nearly $5.5 billion, according to Dealogic, representing around 6.2% of the global investment banking market.

BofA also scored big on M&A despite somewhat subdued activity in the field, serving as lead buy-side advisor on the $1.9 billion acquisition of Hawaiian Airlines by Alaska Air. The bank also acted as sole buy-side financial advisor on Keurig Dr Pepper’s $990 million acquisition of energy beverage company GHOST. 

World’s Best Bank for Cash Management 2025

Reflecting the demand for consistent global visibility and control, Bank of America saw the app version of its CashPro platform surpass $1 trillion in payment approvals in 2024. CashPro allows clients to manage treasury operations across multiple channels: online, app, APIs, and file-based interfaces.

“One thing that distinguishes CashPro is its global consistency,” says Tom Durkin, head of CashPro at BofA’s Global Payments Solutions, “so that when a company’s finance team has team members in different countries, they’ll all have access to the same tools, views, and processes. The advantages are obvious: better visibility and control and no additional financial outlays.”

Much of CashPro’s success is due to BofA’s close engagement with clients, Durkin notes, particularly those who participate in client board meetings.

“This dialogue is so important,” he says. “We do deep dives into our clients’ priorities and challenges, we present options for new functionality and discuss whether those innovations are going to solve their real-world issues.”

The bank’s strategic vision for CashPro “will always be to provide a best-in-class platform that is personalized, predictive, and proactive,” he adds. “One recent demonstration is how we’ve embedded CashPro into our clients’ own systems through the CashPro Network, a collaboration with third-party providers allowing quick, easy connection to the bank with little to no investment.” 

URL: bankofamerica.com

Source link

5 Top Stocks to Buy in October

In a booming stock market, these five stocks stand out.

October is more than halfway over, but there’s still time for investors to snap up some world-class stocks. For those wanting to bet on artificial intelligence (AI), Intel (INTC 2.94%) and International Business Machines (IBM 0.83%) fit the bill. For consumer goods stocks that offer long-term potential, Nike (NKE 0.53%) and Walmart (WMT -0.67%) are great choices. And for something different, Reddit (RDDT 4.00%) looks interesting for investors with more appetite for risk. Here’s why these five stocks are the best of the bunch in October.

Five pumpkins with faces.

Image source: Getty Images.

Intel

Intel’s turnaround is still a work in progress, but a series of deals and developments have pushed the stock up about 90% so far this year. CEO Lip-Bu Tan, who took over in March, has been slashing costs and refocusing the company on its best opportunities. Regaining leadership in the PC and server CPU markets after years of market share losses is an imperative, as is justifying the massive expense associated with Intel’s manufacturing efforts by winning external foundry customers.

Tan has proven to be quite the dealmaker. The U.S. government took a nearly 10% stake in the company in exchange for grant money that had yet to be delivered, Softbank invested $2 billion, and Nvidia took a $5 billion stake and partnered with Intel on custom PC and server chips. Pairing Intel and Nvidia technology in PCs and servers could help the company win back market share from AMD.

While Intel still needs to deliver results, market sentiment has certainly shifted in a positive direction, and recent news that Microsoft has reportedly chosen Intel to manufacture a custom AI chip has added fuel to the fire. Intel’s turnaround is going to take time, but the pieces are falling into place. For patient investors, now is a great time to buy the stock.

International Business Machines

It’s taken a while, but IBM has settled into a successful AI strategy that’s helping to accelerate its revenue growth. The company’s pairing of consulting services with an enterprise AI software platform, along with a focus on small, specialized, and cheap AI models tuned for specific tasks, has proven to be a winner.

IBM has booked more than $7.5 billion worth of generative AI-related business so far, with much of that total coming from the consulting business. In the second quarter alone, IBM booked more than $1 billion of generative AI-related consulting business. By offering solutions that combine AI implementation and other services with its AI software platform, IBM is winning over enterprises as they race to deploy AI.

IBM expects to increase revenue by at least 5% this year, adjusted for currency. That growth will come despite weakness in discretionary projects tied to the state of the economy. By leaning into AI, IBM is building a powerful growth engine that can offset sluggish spending in other areas. And because IBM’s AI business is focused on delivering results for its clients in the form of reduced costs or greater efficiency, the business can continue to grow even if the AI boom cools off. For investors looking for a low-risk way to bet on AI, IBM stock is the answer.

Nike

Unforced errors have put footwear giant Nike in an uncomfortable position. The company has lost ground in sports to upstarts like On Holding, and its aggressive push toward direct-to-consumer sales has weakened the brand and hurt relationships with retailers. The stock has been a disaster, down more than 60% from its all-time high.

While attempting to stage a comeback against the backdrop of an uncertain macroeconomic environment will only make things more difficult, green shoots are starting to appear. Wholesale revenue rose by 7% in the company’s latest quarter, and the Nike brand managed to grow in North America. Nike is refocusing on key sports as well as the North American market, and rebuilding wholesale relationships, and progress is clearly being made.

At the same time, Nike CEO Elliott Hill was careful to note that Nike’s progress “will not be linear as dimensions of our business recover on different timelines.” Investors shouldn’t expect miracles in the next few quarters, but for those willing to buy and hold for at least a few years, Nike is positioning itself for a return to consistent growth. With the stock carving out new multiyear lows, now is a great time to bet on an eventual comeback.

Walmart

Inflation, tariffs, and souring consumer sentiment have created plenty of uncertainty for the retail industry. For investors looking for a relatively safe bet no matter what happens to the economy, Walmart is a great choice.

Walmart’s massive scale gives it unparalleled leverage with suppliers, allowing it to keep prices as low as possible and win over consumers struggling with strained household budgets. Walmart grew revenue by nearly 5% year over year in its latest quarter while gross margin remained steady and adjusted operating margin rose. The company’s bet on technology is also paying off, with global e-commerce sales rising by 25%.

Walmart is diving headfirst into the future with its partnership with OpenAI that will enable customers to purchase products from Walmart directly within ChatGPT. While the interplay between AI and commerce is still evolving, getting its products in front of hundreds of millions of ChatGPT users could drive meaningful revenue growth. Walmart isn’t immune to economic conditions, but the company is better positioned than most retailers to ride out the storm.

Reddit

Where people on the internet get information, including recommendations that lead to purchases, is changing. Search engines used to be the only game in town. Then came social media sites like Meta Platforms‘ Facebook and Instagram, which are full of lucrative ads. AI chatbots like ChatGPT are pulling more people away from search engines, and even Alphabet has resorted to inserting AI Overviews at the top of Google search results.

What makes Reddit unique is that it benefits almost no matter what. Plenty of people go directly to Reddit for information; those who search on Google often find Reddit threads among the top results. And AI chatbots and Google’s AI overviews often use Reddit threads as key sources. As the old and the new battle each other, Reddit stands above the fray.

Reddit’s ad revenue is soaring as more people turn to the social media site. Ad revenue jumped by 84% year over year in the second quarter, driven by a 21% rise in daily active unique users and improved monetization. Depending on Google and AI chatbots for traffic does pose a risk, and it could create volatility in traffic and revenue. But there’s no real alternative to the rich source of information Reddit provides. For investors who can handle a riskier stock, Reddit is great choice.

Timothy Green has positions in Intel and International Business Machines. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, Intel, International Business Machines, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nike, Nvidia, On Holding, and Walmart. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft, short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft, and short November 2025 $21 puts on Intel. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Source link

World’s Best Trade Finance Provider 2025: BNP Paribas

Global Finance has announced its selection for the 2025 World’s Best Trade Finance Provider. The winner this year is BNP Paribas.

Jean-Francois Denis, BNP Paribas
Jean-Francois Denis, Global Head of Trade Solutions and Network Management

Offering global trade finance in 44 countries and more than 100 trade centers across more than 60 countries gives BNP Paribas a strong geographical foundation for its offering of seamless trade finance solutions across borders, supporting client growth throughout the entire trade cycle.

A broad range of traditional trade finance and working capital management solutions and substantial investment in technology, including web-based e-banking platforms like Connexis Guarantee, Connexis Trade, and Connexis Supply Chain, helps the French multinational support clients with complex international trade operations. Leveraging digital solutions, such as blockchain and AI, streamlines processes, improves efficiency, and enhances customer experience.

In 2022, BNP Paribas launched a program using AI to streamline the processing of trade finance documents and improve traceability for its clients. Since then, the bank has rolled the program out to 15 countries and processed 40,000 transactions.

“We have implemented AI technology to help classify, extract data, and automate controls. This is live today and being further expanded in terms of functionalities,” says Jean-François Denis, global head of Trade Solutions. “Bank guarantees also present the potential for AI usage, such as verifying guarantee clauses against acceptable clauses, policies, and guidelines. Anti-money laundering is yet another area where we have deployed AI.”

URL: www.bnpparibas.com

Source link

Kenny Loggins slams Donald Trump for using his ‘Top Gun’ song ‘Danger Zone’ in AI feces video

Published on
21/10/2025 – 9:22 GMT+2


ADVERTISEMENT

Kenny Loggins has reacted to Donald Trump using his song ‘Danger Zone’ in the president’s “disgusting” AI-generated video showing himself wearing a crown, flying a “KING TRUMP” fighter jet and bombing a crowd of protesters with feces.

The video was published as a response to the historic No Kings” protests which took place across the US on Saturday.

The American singer-songwriter recorded the hit song for the soundtrack of the 1986 Tom Cruise movie Top Gun. He has now called for Trump’s video to be taken down on copyright grounds.

In a statement to Variety, Loggins said: “This is an unauthorized use of my performance of ‘Danger Zone.’ Nobody asked me for my permission, which I would have denied, and I request that my recording on this video is removed immediately.”

He continued: “I can’t imagine why anybody would want their music used or associated with something created with the sole purpose of dividing us. Too many people are trying to tear us apart, and we need to find new ways to come together.”

“We’re all Americans, and we’re all patriotic. There is no ‘us and them’ — that’s not who we are, nor is it what we should be. It’s all of us. We’re in this together, and it is my hope that we can embrace music as a way of celebrating and uniting each and every one of us.”

Well put – especially considering the video has provoked widespread outrage online, with many expressing dismay over the way it shows Trump’s clear disdain for people exercising their right to protest.

Social media users accused Trump of having “the maturity and decorum of a 12-year-old boy”, while others commented: “Can’t believe that’s a president of a country.”

Many posts also pointed out that Trump’s “childish” and “disgusting” AI post revealed a transparent representation of his genuine feelings toward the American people. “It tells you everything you need to know about what he thinks about the people of America who are, in fact, America,” one person commented, while another added: “Him taking a dump on the country is the most honest thing he’s ever posted.”

This is far from the first time that Trump and his administration have used artists’ work without authorisation.

There is an extensive list of musicians who have objected to Trump’s authorized use of their songs. These include ABBA, The Rolling Stones, Bruce Springsteen, Rihanna, Neil Young, R.E.M., Woodkid, Beyoncé and Semisonic.

Sinead O’Connor’s estate previously issued Trump with cease-and-desist orders, while Isaac Hayes’ estate sued him for 134 counts of copywright infringement.

Céline Dion also condemned the use of her song from the Oscar-winning film Titanic, ‘My Heart Will Go On’, which was used at one of Trump’s rallies. Dion’s team questioned the song choice, writing: “And really, THAT song?”

Another band which added their name to the ever-growing list of artists who have sued Trump over the illegal use of their songs in campaign videos was The White Stripes. Last year, the rock band highlighted the “flagrant misappropriation” of their hit song ‘Seven Nation Army’. Jack White captioned a copy of the legal complaint in an Instagram post with: “This machine sues fascists.”

The most recent example to date is Metallica, who forced the US government to withdraw a social media video that used their song ‘Enter Sandman’ without authorisation.

This weekend’s “No Kings” protests saw millions of Americans marching against Trump’s administration, opposing the president’s “authoritarian power grab.”

The 18 October protest, the third mass mobilisation since Trump’s return to the White House, drew nearly 7 million people across all 50 states according to organisers. This figure would make it the largest single-day mobilisation against a US president in modern history.

Source link

Warren Buffett Just Made His Biggest Purchase in 3 Years, and the $9.7 Billion Buy Is Absolutely Genius

Here’s why Berkshire Hathaway investors should be celebrating.

Warren Buffett will step down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A 0.39%) (BRK.B 0.30%) at the end of the year. But before he does, the conglomerate he’s run for nearly 60 years will make at least one more big acquisition.

The Oracle of Omaha and soon-to-be CEO Greg Abel expect to close on a deal to acquire the petrochemicals business OxyChem from Occidental Petroleum (OXY 0.32%) in the fourth quarter. Berkshire will pay $9.7 billion in cash, which will barely make a dent in the $340 billion sitting on the company’s balance sheet. Still, it represents the largest purchase for Berkshire since Allegheny Corp. in 2022.

The deal is an exceptional example of Warren Buffett’s investing style, which relies on being in a good position to act when great opportunities present themselves. Here’s what Berkshire Hathaway is getting in the deal, and why it’s an absolutely genius move.

Close up of Warren Buffett smiling.

Image source: The Motley Fool.

What is Berkshire buying?

OxyChem is a leading petrochemical company, one of the largest producers of caustic soda, potash, chlor-alkali, and PVC. It’s a global operation with 23 facilities worldwide, and Greg Abel described the acquisition as “a robust portfolio of operating assets, supported by an accomplished team.”

However, the industry is facing pressure. Weak pricing for caustic soda and PVC led to disappointing pre-tax earnings in the second quarter of just $213 million. Management revised its outlook for the business for full-year pre-tax income low to between $800 million and $900 million for this year.

Occidental’s management expects the supply side pressure on pricing to mitigate next year. In management’s first quarter earnings call, it said it expects to generate “$1 billion in incremental pre-tax cash flow from non-oil and gas source in 2026, with further expansion in 2027.” Part of that improvement is from modernization of OxyChem facilities.

In the meantime, though, Berkshire is swooping in to buy the assets when the entire industry is near a cyclical trough. The $9.7 billion price tag is estimated to be around 8 times OxyChem’s 2025 EBITDA expectations. That’s roughly in line with other chemical stocks like Eastman Chemical and Dow, but the entire industry is seeing lower earnings multiples due to the same headwinds pushing profits lower at OxyChem.

If the industry turns around as Occidental’s management expects, Berkshire could be getting a heck of a bargain. But the way it’s acquired the business makes it an even better deal for Berkshire and its shareholders.

The cherry on top for Berkshire

The big reason Occidental was willing to sell OxyChem despite expectations that it will see significantly improved earnings and cash flow over the next few years is because it needs cash. The oil and gas company took on additional debt to acquire CrownRock in August of 2024.

The increase in debt on Occidental’s balance sheet was always meant to be temporary. When it announced the acquisition, management said it plans to divest assets and use excess cash flow to reduce its debt levels back below $15 billion. While it’s been aggressive in using excess cash to pay down debt, the company still had $24 billion worth of debt on its balance sheet as of the end of the second quarter.

The cash infusion from Berkshire is set to net $8 billion after taxes. Of that, $6.5 billion will go toward paying down debt, with the other $1.5 billion going to Occidental’s coffers. Combined with debt pay down from excess free cash flow, management expects to meet its sub-$15 billion target.

The debt reduction indirectly benefits Berkshire as well. The conglomerate owns a 28% stake in the business. The stronger balance sheet should support projects to maximize its vast resources in the Permian Basin while improving its free cash flow position with reduced debt burden. That should support long-term growth for the business.

One other aspect of the deal provides tremendous benefits to Berkshire and its investors. Instead of using Berkshire’s preferred shares of Occidental to acquire OxyChem, Buffett and Abel managed to convince the company to take cash. That means Berkshire will continue to collect its 8% annual dividend on the $8.5 billion in preferred shares it continues to hold. That’s a much better yield than the company’s getting on its short-term Treasury bills.

Occidental says it plans to start redeeming those preferred shares in August of 2029, giving Berkshire shareholders at least three more years of extra-high yields. That’s just the cherry on top for Berkshire shareholders, who finally saw Buffett put some of Berkshire’s growing cash pile to work.

Adam Levy has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Berkshire Hathaway. The Motley Fool recommends Occidental Petroleum. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Source link

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell Just Hinted at a Change That Seems Positive for the Stock Market. But Should Investors Actually Be Worried?

An end to quantitative tightening by the Fed might not be as great for stocks as some think.

When Jerome Powell speaks, markets listen. As well they should. Powell serves as the chair of the Federal Reserve Board. As part of this role, he also leads the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC), which sets the monetary policy of the U.S.

Powell recently hinted at a monetary policy change that seems positive for the stock market. But should investors actually be worried?

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell answers reporters' questions at the FOMC press conference on Sept.17, 2025.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell answers reporters’ questions at the FOMC press conference on Sept.17, 2025. Official Federal Reserve Photo.

Good news for investors?

Powell spoke last week at the National Association for Business Economics conference held in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. One of his key points in his address was an update on the status of the Fed’s “quantitative tightening” approach.

Quantitative tightening is the term used to describe when the Federal Reserve reduces the size of its balance sheet. To accomplish this goal, the Fed allows assets such as government-issued bonds to mature, or it actively sells those assets. This usually results in higher long-term interest rates, lower inflation, and a cooling down of an overheated economy.

The opposite of quantitative tightening is quantitative easing. With this approach, the Fed increases the size of its balance sheet. Quantitative easing is an expansionary policy that’s usually associated with a rising stock market.

In his recent remarks, Powell hinted that the Fed is close to ending its program of quantitative tightening. He said:

Our long-stated plan is to stop balance sheet runoff when reserves are somewhat above the level we judge consistent with ample reserve conditions. We may approach that point in coming months, and we are closely monitoring a wide range of indicators to inform this decision.

Powell always chooses his words deliberately and can often be somewhat ambiguous. However, the takeaway from his comments is that the Fed’s quantitative tightening policies could be almost over. This would seem to be good news for investors.

A more complicated picture

I chose those words deliberately and left room for ambiguity just as Powell likes to do. Why? Because there’s a more complicated picture if the Fed stops its quantitative tightening policies.

For one thing, the end of quantitative tightening doesn’t necessarily mean a return of robust quantitative easing. Some saw quantitative easing as something akin to steroids for the economy and stock market, while quantitative tightening was like a depressant. Using that analogy, discontinuing taking a depressant doesn’t boost strength in the same way as frequently taking a steroid might.

It’s also important to understand that the end of quantitative tightening could be a warning sign about the economy, and by extension, corporate earnings. The Fed doesn’t reduce the size of its balance sheet when the economy is weak. Powell’s remarks, indicating that quantitative tightening could soon taper off, might reflect significant underlying concerns by the Fed about the health of the U.S. economy, despite his seemingly positive statement last week that the economy “may be on a somewhat firmer trajectory than expected.” As the economy goes, so goes the stock market — usually.

Finally, there is a real risk that ending quantitative tightening could backfire. One of the main goals of the policy is to fight inflation. If the Fed returns to expanding its balance sheet, inflation could roar back. The effects of the Trump administration’s tariffs could add fuel to the fire, at least initially. Powell acknowledged in his speech at the National Association for Business Economics conference, “There is no risk-free path for policy as we navigate the tension between our employment and inflation goals.”

The Fed could find itself in a situation where it has to reverse tactics, which would likely create significant uncertainty for the stock market. If there’s anything investors hate, it’s uncertainty.

Should investors worry?

I think celebrating the Fed bringing its quantitative tightening policies to a halt is premature. However, it’s also too soon to worry about the potential impact on stocks from the decision.

We don’t know yet how quickly the Fed will begin increasing the size of its balance sheet. We don’t know how aggressively it will move if and when quantitative tightening comes to an end. We don’t know what else will be happening with the economy or the stock market.

What we do know, though, is that the stock market rises over the long term. Anyone with an investing time horizon measured in decades shouldn’t have anything to worry about, regardless of what the Fed does or doesn’t do in the near term.

Source link

How to see Dodgers in World Series in person without a ticket

If you crossed “see the Dodgers in the World Series” off your bucket list last year, here’s a bucket list update for you: See the Dodgers in the World Series, from the comfort of a hotel room with a full view of the field.

Not at Dodger Stadium, of course. In Toronto, however, where a hotel is built into the ballpark and 55 rooms allow you to open the curtains and catch the game without a ticket.

During the World Series, the nightly rate for these rooms starts at $3,999 (in Canadian dollars, or about $2,850 in U.S. dollars).

A view of the field from one of the rooms at the Toronto Marriott City Centre.

A view of the field from one of the rooms at the Toronto Marriott City Centre.

(Toronto Marriott City Centre.)

That is a lot of money. Then again, the rooms sleep up to five people, and good luck getting five World Series game tickets for that price.

You have to get to Toronto, and that costs a lot of money too. But you don’t need to pay separately for game tickets and a hotel, and you can get room service instead of standing in line at concession stands.

The rooms include chairs that face the field, so you don’t have to stand on your bed to catch the action. And you never know: a player could toss you a ball during batting practice, right through your window. Take a look:

Information and reservations: Toronto Marriott City Centre Hotel.

Source link

American Express Stock Soars — Why It Could Go Even Higher.

A blowout quarter and a premium customer mix are forcing the market to revisit what this franchise is worth.

American Express (AXP 0.70%) is a global payments company with a different model from the card networks most investors know. Unlike Visa and Mastercard, which mainly run transaction networks and avoid lending, American Express issues cards, extends credit, and earns meaningful fee income from premium customers. That difference mattered on Friday, when shares jumped after the company posted strong third-quarter results and lifted its full-year outlook.

Is this move noise or the start of a repricing toward peer-like valuations? I think the latter. With spending and fee income looking good and credit holding steady, it wouldn’t be surprising to see the stock’s valuation multiple expand significantly over time, catching up with the valuation multiples of Visa and Mastercard.

A person paying for dinner with a credit card.

Image source: Getty Images.

Impressive results

It wasn’t surprising to see shares jump following the release of the company’s latest financial results. Third-quarter revenue rose 11% year over year to $18.4 billion, and earnings per share increased 19% to $4.14. Card member spend growth accelerated to 9% (up from 7% growth in Q2). Management also raised full-year guidance, saying it expects 9% to 10% revenue growth and earnings per share of $15.20 to $15.50.

Driving the quarter, the company’s cardmember fee income climbed 18% year over year as more customers adopted its premium cards, which offer travel and lifestyle perks in exchange for annual fees. Additionally, net interest income rose 12%.

Credit metrics look good, too. American Express’s provision for credit losses declined year over year on a lower reserve build. And the company’s net write-off rate held at 1.9%, flat from a year ago and from the prior quarter. For a credit card issuer that keeps credit risk on its own balance sheet, steady write-offs and a lighter reserve build point to disciplined underwriting even as spend grows rapidly.

What makes American Express different

Of course, American Express doesn’t differentiate itself from Visa and Mastercard just by extending credit and charging substantial card fees across its flagship products. The company’s value proposition in the premium space is perhaps the company’s greatest edge. This is fresh on investors’ minds because American Express recently refreshed its U.S. consumer and business Platinum products — and it’s working; new U.S. Platinum account acquisitions in the three weeks following the refresh doubled versus pre-refresh levels, management said in its third-quarter update. Considering that the refresh came with a substantially higher annual fee, that kind of customer response suggests pricing power with the customers who spend the most, use travel benefits, and stay loyal.

Driving home just how premium American Express’s cardmembers are, they spend an average of three times more on their cards than the average spend per card on other networks.

Valuation still trails far behind Visa and Mastercard

Even after the rally, American Express trades at a lower price-to-earnings multiple than the pure networks Visa and Mastercard. The two peers earn higher valuations for their capital-light models, which carry less credit risk and produce steady cash flow. That premium makes sense.

Depending on how you look at it, however, there are also reasons that American Express may deserve a premium. Visa and Mastercard may take on less risk, but American Express participates in more of the profit pool per dollar of spend and has more control over the customer’s overall experience — an advantage that is likely key to helping the company cater to higher spenders.

Ultimately, if American Express can show that its approach is leading to a better customer experience, including higher engagement and greater lifetime customer spend while maintaining good credit metrics, investors may be willing to narrow the gap between American Express’s valuation multiple and its pure network peers.

Of course, being an integrated payments company requires carefully balancing underwriting and incentives to bolster cardmember spending. A surprise rise in delinquencies would pressure earnings. Likewise, a slowdown in the macroeconomic environment could hit discount revenue, customer acquisition trends, and even lending. These factors could keep the valuation discount in place longer than bulls expect.

Still, there’s a lot to like — especially given the stock’s fair price-to-earnings multiple of about 23. This compares to Visa and Mastercard’s price-to-earnings ratios of 34 and 38, respectively. With strong financials in the context of its valuation, American Express stock looks compelling. Revenue is growing at double-digit rates, spend is accelerating, and fee income tied to its premium cards is doing the heavy lifting. Management’s playbook of regularly refreshing its products and deepening engagement while broadening acceptance shows up in the numbers and in guidance.

If American Express’s momentum persists, a narrower valuation gap with Visa and Mastercard makes sense. Friday’s surge looks less like a spike and more like the start of a reset in how investors price this franchise. After years of consistent growth and strong credit metrics, investors might start seeing the company’s integrated payment model as a key competitive advantage worthy of a significantly higher premium.

American Express is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Daniel Sparks and his clients have positions in American Express. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Mastercard and Visa. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Source link

Why More People Are Investing Their HSAs — and How One Can Help You in Retirement

A health savings account is a versatile financial vehicle that allows you to save now while investing for retirement.

Have you ever been envious of someone because they have a health savings account (HSA)? If not, it may be because you haven’t heard how an HSA can supercharge your retirement planning.

Here’s how it works, and why more people are investing in their HSAs with an eye toward the future.

Three wooden blocks reading Health, Savings, and Account, surrounded by a stethoscope and packages of pills.

Image source: Getty Images.

What is an HSA?

An HSA is a tax-advantaged savings account, available only to those with high-deductible health plans. The account is designed to cover qualified medical expenses; these include prescriptions, copays, mental healthcare, dental and vision services, and some over-the-counter purchases. It can even be used for certain insurance premiums, like those for COBRA or Medicare.

If your high-deductible health plan covers only you, you can contribute $4,300 annually to an HSA. If it covers your family, your contribution limit is $8,550. Plus, if you’re 55 or older, you can add a catch-up contribution of $1,000.

A pretax way of saving

Like most employer-sponsored retirement plans, contributions to an HSA are pretax, meaning you don’t pay taxes on the income. Interest and investment earnings grow tax-free, and withdrawals to cover qualified medical expenses are also tax-free.

Here are a few of the finer details regarding HSAs and taxes:

  • Qualified medical expenses: Withdrawals for qualified medical expenses are always tax-free, no matter how old you are.
  • Under age 65: If you’re under age 65, withdrawals from your HSA for nonqualified medical expenses are taxed as ordinary income. You may also be subject to a 20% penalty on the amount withdrawn.
  • 65 and older: If you’re 65 or older and make a withdrawal for something other than a qualified medical expense, the 20% penalty no longer applies, although you will pay ordinary income tax on the withdrawal.

Again, withdrawals for qualified medical expenses at any age are tax-free.

Use it now or use it later

HSAs are nothing if not flexible. Owning an HSA means determining how you want to manage the funds. You can use it solely to cover current medical expenses, or you can save it for later.

Unlike funds in a flexible spending account (FSA), the money left in your HSA can be rolled over from year to year. Imagine you begin contributing to an HSA this year and spend the next 20 years contributing $5,000 annually. At the end of those 20 years, there will be $100,000 in the account.

However, there’s a way to make the account worth far more than $100,000. Like other HSA owners, you could invest the money. Most HSA providers allow you to invest your HSA funds just as you would a 401(k) or IRA, giving your account the potential to grow dramatically.

Let it grow

Let’s say your high-deductible healthcare plan covers your family, and you contribute $8,550 to an HSA each year. You spend the first $3,550 on medical expenses and pay for any additional expenses out of pocket.

You invest the remaining $5,000, earning an average annual return of 7%. Instead of being worth $100,000 after 20 years, your account could be worth almost $205,000, more than twice as much.

Cover retirement-related expenses

Although you can’t contribute any more money to your HSA after you’ve enrolled in Medicare, you can spend your retirement years using funds from the account to cover essential medical expenses. Here are some examples:

  • Medicare Part A premiums (though most people get Part A for free)
  • Medicare Part B premiums
  • Medicare Advantage premiums
  • Premiums for Medicare Part D prescription coverage
  • Long-term care insurance premiums
  • Deductibles and copayments for medical products and services

Alternatively, you have the option of spending HSA money after reaching age 65 on nonmedical expenses with no penalty. You’ll pay taxes at your ordinary tax rate for any such withdrawals (just as with most retirement plans), but you get some extra flexibility to decide where the money will be most helpful.

It’s tough to find much about HSAs to dislike. In fact, they may be attractive enough to tempt you to enroll in a high-deductible health plan.

Source link

Retirees: These 2 Dividend Stocks Could Pay Reliable Income for Years

These companies have been very reliable dividend payers over the past couple of decades.

A stable income stream is the cornerstone of a worry-free retirement. By receiving reliable payments, retirees can focus on enjoying life rather than stressing over expenses. The right investments are crucial in making this possible.

Investing in high-quality dividend stocks can be a great source of reliable retirement income. Realty Income (O 1.12%) and Oneok (OKE 0.63%) have each demonstrated the durability of their dividend payments over many decades. This proven reliability makes them strong options for those seeking consistent income in retirement.

Realty Income's logo on a mobile phone.

Image source: Getty Images.

Executing the mission

Realty Income has a clear mission. This real estate investment trust (REIT) aims to provide dependable monthly dividends that grow over time. The company has paid 664 consecutive monthly dividends throughout its history. It has raised its payment 132 times since its public market listing in 1994, including for the past 112 quarters in a row (and for more than 30 consecutive years). It stands out for its consistency among income stocks in the real estate sector.

The REIT offers investors an attractive dividend that currently yields 5.5%. That’s well above average (the S&P 500‘s dividend yield is around 1.2%). As a result, investors can generate more income from every dollar they invest in the company.

Realty Income backs its reliable dividend with very durable cash flows. It owns a diversified real estate portfolio (retail, industrial, gaming, and other properties), net leased to many of the world’s leading companies. Net leases provide it with very predictable cash flow because tenants cover all property operating expenses, including routine maintenance, real estate taxes, and building insurance. Meanwhile, the company owns properties leased to tenants in resilient industries. Over 90% of its rent comes from tenants in sectors resilient to economic downturns and isolated from the pressures of e-commerce, such as grocery stores, distribution facilities, and data centers.

The REIT pays out a conservative percentage of its stable rental income in dividends (about 75% of its adjusted funds from operations). That gives it a comfy cushion while enabling it to retain lots of cash to make additional income-generating real estate investments. Realty Income also has one of the strongest balance sheets in the sector, further enhancing its ability to make new investments. It should have no shortage of investment opportunities in the coming years, given the $14 trillion total estimated market value of real estate suitable for net leases across the U.S. and Europe. The company’s growing portfolio enables it to steadily increase its dividend.

A pillar of stability

Oneok has been one of the most reliable dividend stocks in the pipeline sector. The energy infrastructure company has delivered more than a quarter-century of dividend stability and growth. While Oneok hasn’t increased its payout every single year, it has grown it at a peer-leading rate over the past 10 years by nearly doubling its payment. The company currently offers a 6% dividend yield.

The energy company operates a balanced portfolio of premier energy infrastructure assets, backed predominantly by long-term, fee-based contracts. Those agreements provide it with very stable cash flow to cover its dividend. Oneok also has a strong investment-grade balance sheet backed by a low leverage ratio. This rock-solid financial position gives the company the flexibility to invest in organic expansion projects and make accretive acquisitions to grow its platform.

Oneok currently has several high-return organic expansion projects in the backlog, which it expects to complete through mid-2028. This gives it lots of visibility into its future growth. The company has also made several acquisitions over the past few years, which will continue to boost its bottom line in the coming years as it captures additional synergies. It has ample financial flexibility to approve new expansion projects and make additional acquisitions. With demand for energy expected to continue growing, especially for natural gas, the company should have no shortage of investment opportunities. This fuels Oneok’s view that it can grow its dividend by a 3% to 4% annual rate.

Reliable income stocks

For retirees seeking dependable, growing income, Realty Income and Oneok stand out as proven dividend payers. Their stable cash flow and prudent financial management provide confidence that these companies can continue delivering reliable income for years. Those features make them ideal dividend stocks for retirement portfolios.

Matt DiLallo has positions in Realty Income. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Realty Income. The Motley Fool recommends Oneok. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Source link

Prediction: Nvidia Stock Price Will Skyrocket to This Range in 5 Years

Prediction: Nvidia stock will increase by about seven to 17 times in five years, depending upon the level of competition and assuming the U.S. economy remains at least relatively healthy for most of this period.

Nvidia (NVDA -0.31%) stock has been a fantastic performer over the short and long terms. Shares of the artificial intelligence (AI) chip and infrastructure leader have returned 1,440% and 26,960% over the last three years and decade, respectively, as of Friday, Oct. 17. These performances have transformed a $1,000 investment into $15,400 and $270,600, respectively. By comparison, one grand invested in the S&P 500 index has turned into $1,894 in three years and $3,910 in 10 years.

With Nvidia stock’s eye-popping gains, it’s easy to wonder if you missed your chance at buying shares. The answer is no, in my view, as Nvidia stock has many years of great performance left.

There are two reasons for my optimism. First, the AI revolution is still in its early stages. Second, Nvidia’s graphics processing units (GPUs) are the gold standard for processing AI workloads, and there is no indication that they’re in danger of losing that status, at least not for some time.

Below are my prediction ranges (a best case and a base case) for Nvidia stock’s price in about five years, or by the end of 2030. My estimates are built upon data provided by Nvidia’s CEO and CFO on the company’s most recent quarterly earnings call. (Nvidia’s earnings calls are chock-full of valuable data — and listening to them is worth the time.)

A humanoid robot standing next to a digital screen with the letters

Image source: Getty Images.

Nvidia CFO: “We see $3 [trillion] to $4 trillion in AI infrastructure spend by the end of the decade.”

From CFO Colette Kress’ remarks on Nvidia’s fiscal second-quarter earnings call in late August:

We are at the beginning of an industrial revolution that will transform every industry. We see $3 [trillion] to $4 trillion in AI infrastructure spend by the end of the decade. The scale and scope of these [AI infrastructure] buildouts present significant long-term growth opportunities for Nvidia Corporation. [Emphasis mine.]

Numbers from CEO: 58% to 70% of an AI faciility’s cost goes to Nvidia

From CEO Jensen Huang’s remarks on the fiscal Q2 earnings call:

And so our contribution … is a large part of the AI infrastructure. Out of a gigawatt AI factory, which can go [cost] anywhere from … $50 to $60 billion, we represent about $35 [billion] plus or minus of that.

Huang is saying that a typical 1-gigawatt AI data center or other AI facility costs about $50 billion to $60 billion to build, and that about $35 billion of that cost is for Nvidia’s AI technology.

So, about 58% ($35 billion divided by $60 billion) to 70% ($35 billion divided by $50 billion) of the total cost of an AI facility is the cost of buying Nvidia’s tech.

Putting together the data provided by Nvidia’s CFO and CEO

Kress said the company expects total global AI infrastructure spending to be $3 trillion to $4 trillion annually by the end of the decade. (It’s not clear whether she meant by 2029 or 2030, but I’m using 2030 to be conservative. Moreover, Nvidia just published a presentation that uses the $3 trillion to $4 trillion projection by 2030.)

Of that $3 trillion to $4 trillion, Nvidia stands to take in 58% to 70% of it, according to Huang. This assumes that percentage range remains about the same. This will be part of my “best-case estimate,” but I am also going to calculate a “base-case estimate” that assumes Nvidia’s percentage of total AI infrastructure spend declines moderately, by 20%. This will account for the potential for increased competition by chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and others.

Revenue from AI infrastructure spend that Nvidia should generate in about five years:

  • Best-case estimate: 58% to 70% of $3 trillion to $4 trillion = $1.74 trillion to $2.8 trillion.
  • Base-case estimate: 46% to 56% (I chopped 20% off the percentages in the best-case range) of $3 trillion to $4 trillion = $1.38 trillion to $2.24 trillion.

Calculating my Nvidia stock price target ranges for 2030

Now, I’ll use the numbers calculated above to come up with price target ranges for Nvidia stock in about five years. Two additional data points needed:

  • Nvidia stock’s closing price on Oct. 17: $183.22.
  • Nvidia’s AI-driven data center revenue was $41.1 billion (of its total revenue of $46.7 billion) in its most recently reported quarter (fiscal Q2, ended July 27). This equates to an annual run rate of $164.4 billion ($41.4 billion X 4).

Nvidia stock best-case price target in five years: $1,942 to $3,115.

  1. Nvidia’s projected AI infrastructure revenue in five years: $1.74 trillion to $2.8 trillion.
  2. Nvidia’s AI infrastructure revenue currently: annual revenue run rate of $164.4 billion.
  3. Step 1 numbers divided by Step 2 number: 10.6 to 17.0. This means Nvidia’s annual data center revenue should increase by 10.6 to 17.0 times in 5 years.
  4. Nvidia stock price at market close on Oct. 17: $183.22.
  5. Valuation assumption: I am assuming that Nvidia stock’s earnings-based valuation will remain the same in five years. That’s because its valuation is reasonable now given its growth and projected growth dynamics, in my view. (Trailing and forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are 51.5 and 28.7, respectively.)
  6. The above assumption means the conversion from revenue growth (Step 3 numbers) to stock price growth will be straightforward.
  7. $183.22 X 10.6 to 17.0.
  8. Stock price target in five years: $1,942 to $3,115.

Nvidia stock base-case price target in five years: $1,300 to $2,125.

  1. Nvidia’s projected AI infrastructure revenue in five years: $1.38 trillion to $2.24 trillion.
  2. Nvidia’s AI infrastructure revenue currently: annual run rate of $164.4 billion.
  3. Step 1 numbers divided by Step 2 number: 8.4 to 13.6. So, Nvidia’s annual data center revenue should increase by 8.4 to 13.6 times in five years.
  4. Nvidia stock price at market close on Oct. 17: $183.22.
  5. Valuation assumption: I am assuming that Nvidia stock’s earnings-based valuation remains the same in five years.
  6. The above assumption means the conversion from revenue growth (Step 3 numbers) to stock price growth would be straightforward.
  7. BUT, I’m going to assume that the data center platform’s profitability declines modestly due to the possibility of increased competition. I can adjust the factors in Step 3 down by 15% to account for this since I had been assuming a straightforward relationship between revenue, earnings, and price target growth.
  8. [8.4 to 13.6] x [85%] = 7.1 to 11.6.
  9. $183.22 X 7.1 to 11.6.
  10. Stock price target in five years: $1,300 to $2,125.

Why there is upside to both these target ranges

I only considered Nvidia’s data center market platform growth when calculating my price targets. That’s because this AI-driven platform accounts for the vast majority of the company’s revenue and earnings — and stock price gains are usually driven by earnings growth.

In the first half of the current fiscal year, the data center platform accounted for 88% of Nvidia’s total revenue. And it accounted for an even higher percentage of total earnings. That percentage is unknown because management does not break out earnings or other profitability metric by platform. But management has said that its data center platform is more profitable than its overall business. So, the data center platform probably accounts for in the mid-90% of total earnings.

If one or more of the company’s other market platforms (gaming, professional visualization, and auto) grows revenue and earnings tremendously over the next five years, that should be upside for my price targets. The auto platform has the potential to be a big winner over the next five years due to driverless vehicles steadily progressing toward legality. Nvidia’s end-to-end AI-powered driverless tech platform is widely adopted.

Caveat about the economy and overall stock market performance

My estimates assume the U.S. economy remains in at least a minimal growth mode and the stock market remains in a bull market for much of the next five years.

I don’t think a mild and relatively brief recession would derail my Nvidia stock price targets, at least not by much, but a deep or long-lasting recession and long-lasting bear market would almost surely derail them.

My wrap-up

Nvidia stock best-case price target in five years: $1,942 to $3,115. (Of course, the stock would most likely split before it reached these levels, but the underlying growth remains the same.) This equates to Nvidia’s stock price increasing by 10.6 to 17.0 times. It also equates to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 60% to 76%.

Nvidia stock base-case price target in five years: $1,300 to $2,125. This equates to Nvidia’s stock price increasing by 7.1 to 11.6 times. It also equates to a CAGR of 48% to 63%.

Taken together, the Nvidia stock price target range in five years is $1,300 to $3,115.

Source link

The Surprising Reason Retirees Will Be Unhappy With Their 2026 Social Security Raise

Social Security will soon be making a big announcement. On Oct. 24, 2025, the Social Security Administration will finally let seniors know what their 2026 Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA) is going to look like.

COLAs happen in most years to help retirees maintain their buying power. Because COLAs increase the retirement benefits seniors collect, the news about how big the raise will be is always much-anticipated.

Unfortunately, although retirees are most likely going to get a bigger benefits increase than last year, many seniors are inevitably going to end up disappointed with the increase to their checks in 2026.

Here’s the surprising reason why that’s the case.

Social Security Cost of Living Adjustment Forecast.

The COLA is going to be bigger– but there’s a problem

Although the official announcement on the Social Security COLA has not been made yet, the Senior Citizens League is projecting that benefits are going to increase by 2.7% next year. This estimate is based on year-to-date changes to the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W).

CPI-W is used to determine how much Social Security benefits should increase because it helps to measure inflation, and the purpose of the COLAs is to make sure that Social Security benefits do not lose buying power. While the formula isn’t a perfect one since the spending habits of urban wage earners and clerical workers aren’t exactly aligned with senior spending, the formula does give an idea of how much prices are rising — and retirees get a benefits increase equal to the average year-over-year change to CPI-W in the third quarter of the year.

Since we have a lot of this data available, the Senior Citizens League estimate is probably fairly close to accurate, and barring any major surprises when the September inflation data is released in October, the raise should come in at around that projected 2.7%. And, if it does, that will be a little bit bigger than the benefits increase retirees received in 2025.

A bigger raise should make seniors pretty happy since they’ll get more money to help maintain buying power — but there’s a surprising reason why that’s not necessarily going to be the case. The problem is that a good portion of the additional funds coming to retirees will disappear to cover rising Medicare premiums.

COLAs will take a huge hit due to rising Medicare premiums

For any retiree who is on Medicare, the COLA is probably going to be a huge disappointment because of how little of it will be left after Medicare premiums are accounted for.

See, Medicare premiums come out of most people’s Social Security checks. And Medicare Part B premiums are going up by a huge amount next year. The Medicare Trustees’ report projects that premiums are going to increase by $21.50 per month, jumping all the way up from $185 in 2025 to $206.50 in 2026. This is one of the biggest year-over-year increases in the history of the Medicare program.

If a typical retiree is collecting the average benefit of $2,008.31 in 2025, a 2.7% COLA would result in their benefits increasing by around $54. If $21.50 of that disappears, then the typical retired Social Security recipient will end up seeing their monthly payments go up by only $32.50.

By contrast, if someone had started with that same $2,008.31 check in 2025 and received a 2.5% COLA, they’d have seen their benefit go up by around $50.00 — but, since Medicare premiums only rose by $10.30 per month between 2024 and 2025, retirees would have seen benefits go up by around $40.

Retirees need to be aware that so much of their benefit increase is going to disappear to rising Medicare premiums this year, and take that into account during their retirement planning process for the upcoming year. Seniors need to maintain a safe withdrawal rate from their 401(k) and other retirement accounts, and with a Social Security raise that ends up pretty small after Medicare costs take a bite out of it, this may require some careful budgeting.

Source link

Why Planet Labs Stock Topped the Market Today

The company impressed one market professional at its recent investor day.

Planet Labs (PL 3.58%) stock had a good start to the trading week on Monday. That’ll happen when an analyst increases their price target by more than 30%, which is what occurred before the market opened that morning. Planet Labs enjoyed an over 3% lift to its share price as a result, which outpaced the 1.1% rise of the bellwether S&P 500 (^GSPC 1.07%).

A 33% boost

The pundit responsible for the raise was Needham’s Ryan Koontz, who now feels Planet Labs is worth $16 per share; he previously placed a $12 price target on the stock. In making the change, Koontz maintained his buy recommendation on the shares.

Earth as seen from the moon.

Image source: Getty Images.

According to reports, the analyst made his change on the basis of presentations made during the company’s investor day. He wrote that management emphasized its strategic focus on satellite services arrangements. The company is also encouraged by what it expects to be rising defense budgets from governments around the world.

Given all that, Koontz raised his estimates modestly for Planet Labs’ fiscal 2027, which begins early in calendar year 2026.

Growth in the ether

Planet Labs’ main activity is the provision of detailed geographic data on Earth from a network of satellites. It’s still consistently loss-making, however, despite some impressive revenue growth. It’s therefore a risky investment, and should only be considered by investors comfortable with such plays.

Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Source link

Why HBT Financial Stock Cruised to a 4% Gain on Monday

It did particularly well in one important area of its operations.

Bank holding company HBT Financial (HBT 4.15%) published its latest set of quarterly figures Monday morning, and investors were clearly impressed by the results. They pushed up the company’s stock price by a bit over 4% in the trading session, a rate that was several times the 1.1% gain of the benchmark S&P 500 index.

Growth where it counts

For HBT’s third quarter, the company earned $59.8 million in total revenue, which was up from the $56.4 million in the same period of 2024. Non-GAAP (adjusted) net income also saw a rise, advancing by 6% year over year to just under $20.5 million, or $0.65 per share.

Person stuffing money into a piggy bank and smiling.

Image source: Getty Images.

On average, analysts tracking HBT’s stock were modeling $0.62 per share for profitability. It wasn’t clear what they were estimating for revenue.

In the earnings release, HBT pointed to its asset quality as being a key factor in its growth during the period. The company’s ratio of non-performing assets to total assets was less than 0.2% for the period.

A boost in borrowing

The growth of loans also helped drive those fundamentals higher. On an annualized basis HBT’s loans rose by more than 6%, which the company attributed to what it describes as “higher loan pipelines.”

HBT showed discipline during the quarter, and that loan growth figure indicates it knows how to advance that crucial part of its business. The bullish investor response to its performance seems justified.

Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Source link