trade

US, Canada reach trade deal to avert steep tariffs, Trump says | Business and Economy News

BREAKING,

Trump announces pause on 50 percent duty on Canadian exports shortly before midnight deadline.

The United States and Canada have reached a deal to avert steep tariffs on billions of dollars of Canadian goods, US President Donald Trump has announced.

Trump made the announcement shortly before the expiry of a midnight deadline for imposing a 50 percent duty on a wide range of Canadian exports, including electronics, industrial machinery, furniture, and dairy products.

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“I have paused the 50% Tariffs against Canada, that were scheduled to kick in tomorrow morning for a three day period, based on the fact that Canada and the U.S.A., subject to the finalization of documents, have a DEAL!” Trump wrote in a post on Truth Social.

“The great Keystone XL Pipeline, long ago killed by Sleepy Joe Biden, may be awoken from the grave!”

More to follow…

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Africa Shakes Up Customs, but Trade Problems Persist

A customs revamp is a welcome change, but logistics and transit bottlenecks still stifle African trade.

To curb revenue and income losses and accelerate trade across 50 member states, the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) Secretariat partnered with Nigeria’s Bergmans Security Consultants and Supplies Ltd. in a $3.1 billion deal to roll out a unified continent-wide customs system.

The project aims to digitize customs processes, streamline cross-border procedures, and provide real-time cargo tracking, with the goal of reducing corruption, revenue leakage, and trade misinvoicing.

The initiative could be “potentially very significant,” Phyllis Wakiaga, a Kenyan lawyer and former Kenya Association of Manufacturers CEO, told Global Finance in an email. “One of the biggest barriers to intra-African trade is the friction businesses face at borders through slow clearance, duplicated documentation, and inconsistent customs procedures.”

Bergmans, based in Abuja, Nigeria, intends to help AfCFTA achieve its goal of doubling intra-African trade by 2035. However, fundamental trading challenges, such as payments, persist across the continent.

AfCFTA did not respond to requests for comment.

Currently, companies often have to route transactions through hard currencies and third-party intermediaries. As a result, high costs will remain even if customs procedures improve, Wakiaga said.

The 2022 launch of the Pan-African Payments and Settlement System (PAPSS) could potentially unlock the anticipated benefits of AfCFTA, she added. However, rollout is slow. As of 2025, the network only connects 19 countries so far (the African Union has 55 member states).

Logistics Creates Another Headache

Jacqueléne Coetzer, founder and CEO of a pan-African business advisory and trade firm, described to Global Finance just how convoluted transporting cargo across the continent by land, sea, and air can be. Goods, she said, are frequently routed through South Africa, Europe, or the Middle East—adding significant transit time and cost.

Furthermore, political will remains inconsistent, as individual governments often resort to protectionist measures and informal barriers to shield domestic industries.

Ultimately, while modernizing customs creates an essential foundation, Coetzer said that it’s not a complete solution. Without parallel investments in logistics, payment systems, standardized regulations, and physical infrastructure, a streamlined customs framework will fall short.

“A perfectly digitized customs declaration does not help much if the truck cannot cross the border efficiently because the road is inadequate, or if the cargo then spends days waiting for space at a congested port,” she said.

AfCFTA took effect in January 2021, aiming to counter global isolationism through cross-border cooperation. Since then, the picture has shifted somewhat. Africa’s population has grown to roughly 1.6 billion people as of 2026. That’s up from 1.2 billion when the agreement was first signed.

On intra-African trade, the AfCFTA-era numbers show real but modest progress. Intra-African trade hit about $220.3 billion in 2024 and roughly $213.8 billion in 2025. African Export–Import Bank, or Afreximbank, projects it will reach $230 billion in 2026.

But, as Coetzer explained, getting customs right is only part of the challenge. If logistics, payments, infrastructure, standards, production capacity, and political implementation remain unresolved, it will simply create a faster system for moving goods through borders that still cannot move enough goods efficiently.

“The real objective should therefore be much more ambitious,” she added. “AfCFTA needs to build an integrated continental trading system, not simply a continental customs system.”

Anthony Noto covers corporate finance and private credit. Contact him at anoto@gfmag.com

John Njiraini and Charles Wachira contributed to this report.

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Oil prices and US bond yields rise as Trump and Iran trade reparations demands

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Crude and US Treasury yields rose together as traders judged that the exchange of compensation demands between the US and Iran has pushed any potential deal further out of reach.


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The US president said on Monday he had told his negotiators to seek payment from Iran for Americans killed and wounded in attacks he attributes to Tehran going back decades, including the bombing of the USS Cole in the year 2000 and for Iranians killed in protest crackdowns.

In a follow-up post on Truth Social he expanded on the demand, saying Iran should also pay for “the damages and death caused to the people of Lebanon, Syria, Yemen, and Gaza”.

Tehran, whose representatives had sought compensation for five months of US and Israeli bombardment, says the Strait of Hormuz will stay shut until Washington lifts its naval blockade, ends sanctions and releases frozen Iranian assets.

The front month contract on Brent traded at around $89.8 a barrel on Tuesday and West Texas Intermediate at about $84.2, both up roughly 2.5%.

The US bond market read it the same way, with yields rising across the US curve in a modest global sell-off, the two-year over 4.25%, the ten-year above 4.7% and the thirty-year higher than 5.27%. The yields for all durations are trading at the highs of this year.

Since yields move inversely to prices, the rise means investors are selling government debt as they expect that costlier oil will feed into inflation and strengthen the case for higher interest rates.

Money markets now put roughly even odds on a Federal Reserve rate hike in September, with July inflation data due on Wednesday.

Control claimed, traffic missing

The current stalling of US-Iran negotiations is deliberate as US President Donald Trump appears to have been favouring a slower approach as of late.

The US president told Axios in an interview published on Sunday that the US is “low-keying it,” meaning Washington was only semi-negotiating and content to watch Iran’s inflation and empty coffers do the work, a signal he is prepared to let economic pressure mount rather than order a fresh military campaign.

In the Oval Office on Monday, he struck a triumphant note, claiming the US controls “100%” of the Strait of Hormuz, that only the US Navy holds sway in the region, that American forces have swept it clear of Iranian mines and that the blockade of Iranian ports is impenetrable.

However, shipping data tells another story.

Confirmed crossings have run at 6 to 11 vessels a day recently, against the 130 to 140 daily before the war, according to Kpler data, leaving traffic at a fraction of normal levels throughout the five-month conflict.

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