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Trade tariffs are mixing up the global economy in 2025. The Trump administration has issued double-digit import fees on goods from most countries, with even higher rates in markets like China and India. Some of these tariffs are currently in effect, while others are pending, with a patchwork of countermeasures issued by the targeted countries. To keep an eye on this messy situation, check out The Motley Fool’s tariff and trade investigation tracker — a living document that does all the hard data-tracking work for you.

Few companies are more international than IBM (IBM 1.82%) — Big Blue even has “international” in its name. It runs research labs on six continents, has more employees in India than the United States, and runs business offices in more than 170 countries. Almost exactly half of IBM’s revenues were collected in the Americas in 2024, which also includes Canada and Latin America.

Surely this global giant must feel the pinch from criss-crossing tariff policies, right? As it turns out, IBM isn’t too concerned with the ongoing trade tensions.

Image source: Getty Images.

How exposed is IBM to the tariff tango?

There are different ways to figure out IBM’s tariff exposure. I could take the complicated web of current and future tariff rates, apply them to each of IBM’s products and services in various countries, and create an intimidating spreadsheet. Or I could look for management’s statements about the tariff challenge.

The company helped me out by addressing the unpredictable tariff policies in the first-quarter earnings call. This call took place on April 23, three weeks after Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariff announcement.

“Over the last several years, we have strategically diversified and streamlined our supply chain,” said CFO Jim Kavanaugh. “Goods imported to the U.S. represent less than 5% of our overall spend and under current U.S. tariff policy, the impact to IBM is minimal.”

Why IBM shrugs at tariff headlines

That brief statement means a couple of things to me:

• It’s IBM’s only official discussion of tariffs in 2025, even though the trade expenses have shifted significantly since April. In other words, the tariff issue is hardly worth mentioning.
• Applying tariff rates to “less than 5%” of IBM’s global spending is not exactly nothing, of course. I’d hate to cover that multimillion-dollar bill from my personal accounts. IBM still builds mainframe computers, requiring parts from tariff-laden countries like China or the European Union. But the cost of products and services stopped at 16.3% of total revenues last year, and 5% of that gross expense ratio is less than 1% of IBM’s incoming revenues. Even if every tariff were a beefy 100% surcharge, that’s a pretty manageable extra cost — and most of the international trade fees are far smaller.

IBM plays it safe anyway

I’m still waiting for IBM to issue further updates about the tariff situation, but I’m not holding my breath in anticipation. Yes, the company is tremendously global, but it can still operate comfortably without running into game-changing tariff expenses.

At the same time, IBM is taking action to minimize even this modest financial impact. Kavanaugh also noted that IBM is looking into alternative sources for tariff-laden components. Every dollar counts, you know.

Furthermore, Big Blue announced a $150 billion American investment plan at the end of April. The company will move significant manufacturing and research assets to domestic soil over the next five years, starting with $30 billion of mainframe development and quantum computing research operations. Again, the tariffs don’t really hurt, but it can’t be a bad idea to minimize the financial sting anyway. Plus, this homebound manufacturing move might unlock unrelated favors from the Trump team.

So, it makes sense to take some tariff-dodging action, but IBM would barely notice the extra costs anyhow. I don’t expect Big Blue to suffer a tariff-related downturn any time soon.

As many stock market observers know, Warren Buffett‘s Berkshire Hathaway has been a net seller of stocks. The most notable sale has been Apple. That position made up over 40% of the portfolio at one time, but the share has since fallen to around 22%.

What investors need to understand is that the selling does not mean Buffett’s team isn’t buying stocks at all. One notable recent purchase has been Domino’s Pizza (DPZ -0.03%). The stock’s past gains and its value proposition have likely inspired this investment, and such optimism warrants a closer look at the business and the stock to see if it is a suitable choice for average investors.

Image source: Getty Images.

Berkshire Hathaway and Domino’s

Domino’s has returned more than 6,500% in stock gains and dividend payments since it went public in 2004. Most investors, including Berkshire Hathaway, have missed out on most of those gains, but Berkshire’s bets could indicate that significant upside remains.

DPZ Total Return Level data by YCharts

Buffett’s company began buying Domino’s shares in the third quarter of 2024 and has increased its position size in every quarter since that time. Today, it holds just over 2.6 million shares, or about 7.75% of the outstanding shares.

Another possible factor in Berkshire’s investment in Domino’s is that it is the world’s largest pizza chain, boasting 21,750 locations globally as of the end of fiscal Q3. Despite that success, investors may question why an investor would want to get into a business like pizza, which at least in theory, has low barriers to entry.

However, no other pizza business has grown to the same size, and one can find the kinds of competitive advantages that attract investors like Buffett when looking at Domino’s more closely.

One key part of Domino’s is its franchise model. This enables the chain to open a large number of locations with a relatively small amount of capital, leveraging high brand recognition to drive business.

Moreover, it offers a digital-first approach, which makes ordering easier and capitalizes on route planning for faster deliveries. Additionally, an efficient supply chain helps standardize food quality and costs, increasing consistency across locations.

Furthermore, despite a global footprint, Domino’s adapts its menu to suit local tastes, and new offerings such as parmesan-stuffed crust or added customization options keep its customers coming back to Domino’s.

The financial case for Domino’s

Buffett’s team was likely also drawn by its financial metrics. Indeed, with its global footprint, the maturity of the business appears to make it more of a value stock.

In the first nine months of fiscal 2025 (ended Sept. 8), revenue of $3.4 billion rose by 4%. Nonetheless, during that time, its free cash flow of $496 million surged 32% higher over the same timeframe. Gains on assets and lower capital expenditures bolstered that cash position.

Additionally, that free cash flow easily covered the company’s $119 million in dividend costs in the first nine months of the fiscal year. At $6.96 per share, its 1.6% dividend yield is well above the 1.2% average for the S&P 500. Buffett’s team also probably liked its 13-year history of payout hikes, a trend that makes further annual payout hikes likely to continue.

Investors should also take note of the pizza chain’s valuation. Its P/E ratio of 25 is below the company’s five-year average earnings multiple of 30. Also, since its P/E ratio has not fallen significantly below 25 since the early 2010s, one can assume that Domino’s stock sells at a reasonable price.

Should you follow Berkshire Hathaway into Domino’s stock?

Given the state of the company, investors can likely make a prudent move by following Berkshire Hathaway into Domino’s stock.

Indeed, a 6,500% total return over the stock’s history may cause some prospective buyers to shy away, particularly because of the competitive nature of the pizza industry.

However, Domino’s brand recognition and its focus on franchising, operational efficiency, and a robust supply chain give the company a competitive advantage. Moreover, investors can buy the stock at a relatively reasonable price and collect an above-average dividend yield.

In the end, even if Domino’s does not generate excitement, the stock is likely to cook up rising dividends and market-beating returns over time.

Joel R Mogy Investment Counsel (JMIC) disclosed in an October 16, 2025, SEC filing that it sold 20,929 Adobe shares during Q3 2025.

This was an estimated $7.51 million trade based on the average price for Q3 2025.

What happened

Joel R Mogy Investment Counsel reported a reduction in its position in Adobe (ADBE 1.30%), selling 20,929 shares during Q3 2025.

The estimated value of the sale, based on the average closing price for Q3 2025, was approximately $7.51 million.

The position now stands at 50,664 shares as of Q3 2025, according to the firm’s SEC Form 13-F filed on October 16, 2025.

What else to know

The fund’s post-sale Adobe stake represents 0.98% of its $1.83 billion reportable U.S. equity AUM as of September 30, 2025, down from 1.60% in the previous period

JMIC’s top holdings after the filing:

1. Nvidia: $257.28 million (14.1% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025
2. Alphabet: $158.37 million (8.68% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025
3. Apple: $155.49 million (8.52% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025
4. Microsoft: $148.56 million (8.14% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025
5. Costco Wholesale: $91.43 million (5.0% of AUM)

As of October 15, 2025, Adobe shares were priced at $330.63, marking a one-year decline of 34.9% and underperforming the S&P 500 by 49 percentage points.

Company Overview

Company Snapshot

Adobe offers software solutions, including Creative Cloud, Document Cloud, and a suite of digital experience and publishing tools; primary revenue is generated through recurring subscription services.

It operates a cloud-based, subscription-driven business model, selling directly to enterprises and end users as well as through a global partner network.

The company serves content creators, marketers, enterprises, and creative professionals across industries worldwide.

Adobe Inc. is a leading global software company specializing in creative, document, and digital experience solutions.

Foolish take

Joel R Mogy Investment Counsel (JMIC) had been steadily accumulating shares over the last few years, with the firm having a 2.5% portfolio allocation in Adobe just two years ago.

However, the company has sold shares of Adobe in the last two quarters — and heavily in its latest quarter.

With Adobe’s stock down 52% from its all-time high, it certainly seems as though JMIC is worried about the long-term future of the company.

Adobe has become an artificial intelligence (AI) battleground stock lately. The market seems torn as to whether the AI revolution will empower — or completely disrupt — the company’s creative operations.

For instance, OpenAI recently launched its Sora 2 model that lets users create short video clips from text. It doesn’t take a wild leap to imagine how this could directly hinder Adobe’s video editing and software businesses.

That said, Adobe has grown sales by 11% over the last year and is seeing the professional use cases for its video capabilities remain as robust as ever. Furthermore, the company has its Adobe Firefly unit, which is its own generative AI offering for creators — so it’s not exactly being blindsided by peers like OpenAI.

Trading at just 15 times free cash flow, Adobe could be a tremendous value investment at today’s price, but it looks like JMIC doesn’t want to risk waiting to find out if the company gets disrupted or not.

Glossary

AUM (Assets Under Management): The total market value of all investments managed by a fund or investment firm.
Form 13-F: A quarterly SEC filing by institutional investment managers disclosing their equity holdings.
Q3: The third quarter of a company’s fiscal year, typically covering July through September.
Reportable U.S. equity assets: U.S. stocks and related securities that must be disclosed in regulatory filings.
Top holdings: The largest individual investments in a fund’s portfolio, usually ranked by market value.
Stake: The ownership interest or number of shares a fund or investor holds in a company.
Subscription-driven business model: A model where customers pay recurring fees for ongoing access to products or services.
Global partner network: A group of companies or organizations worldwide that help distribute or sell a firm’s products.
TTM: The 12-month period ending with the most recent quarterly report.

On October 17, 2025, hedge fund TB Alternative Assets Ltd. disclosed a new position in Strategy (MSTR 2.12%), formerly known as MicroStrategy, acquiring 126,000 shares for an estimated $40.6 million.

IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.

What happened

According to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission dated October 17, 2025, TB Alternative Assets Ltd. disclosed a new position in Strategy during the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. The fund reported owning 126,000 shares worth $40.6 million. The purchase corresponds to an estimated $40.6 million transaction value, calculated using average prices for the reporting period ended September 30, 2025.

What else to know

This new position represents 6.1% of TB Alternative Assets Ltd.’s reportable U.S. equity AUM as of September 30, 2025.

TB Alternative Assets’ top holdings after the filing are:

• META: $76.97 million (11.5% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025
• GOOG: $58.56 million (8.8% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025
• INTC: $51.26 million (7.7% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025
• PDD: $45.72 million (6.8% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025
• MSTR: $40.60 million (6.1% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025

As of October 16, 2025, shares were priced at $283.84, up 34.3% over the past year and outperforming the S&P 500 by 32.8 percentage points during the same period.

Company Overview

Company Snapshot

Strategy provides enterprise analytics solutions, enabling organizations to derive insights from data at scale. The company leverages its robust software platform and specialized services to address complex business intelligence needs for large enterprises.

Strategy offers enterprise analytics software, including a software platform with features such as hyperintelligence, data visualization, reporting, and mobile analytics.

The company generates revenue primarily through software licensing, support services, consulting, and education offerings for enterprise clients. It serves a diversified customer base across industries such as retail, finance, technology, healthcare, and the public sector.

Foolish take

Hedge fund TB Alternative Assets’ investment in Strategy shares is noteworthy for a few reasons. The buy represents an initial position in the stock. Moreover, the hedge fund went big with the purchase, putting Strategy shares into its top five holdings. Lastly, those top holdings are dominated by tech stocks, and although Strategy began as a data analytics software platform, it’s now more of a cryptocurrency play.

Strategy became the first publicly-traded company to buy Bitcoin as part of its capital allocation strategy back in 2020. Since then, it has transformed into “the world’s first and largest Bitcoin Treasury Company,” according to Strategy.

As of July 29, the company holds 3% of all Bitcoin in existence. This brought its Q2 total assets to $64.8 billion with $64.4 billion of that in digital assets. As a result, Strategy’s fortunes rise and fall with the value of the cryptocurrency rather than its software products.

So far, the gamble has paid off. As Bitcoin’s value has risen, so has Strategy’s stock. And now, the company is leveraging its cryptocurrency holdings to offer various Bitcoin-related investment vehicles.

TB Alternative Assets may have found this new direction for the former MicroStrategy a compelling case for investing in the stock. If you’re seeking exposure to Bitcoin, Strategy offers a unique take, and with the stock down from its 52-week high of $543 reached last November, now may be a good time to buy.

Glossary

13F AUM: The total market value of U.S. equity securities reported by an institutional investment manager in quarterly SEC filings.
Position: The amount of a particular security or asset held by an investor or fund.
Stake: The ownership interest or share held in a company by an investor or fund.
Holding: A security or asset owned by an investor or fund, often listed in portfolio disclosures.
Outperforming: Achieving a higher return compared to a specific benchmark or index over a given period.
Enterprise analytics: Software and tools that help organizations analyze large-scale data to support business decision-making.
Business intelligence: Technologies and strategies used to analyze business data and support better decision-making.
Software licensing: The practice of granting customers the right to use software under specific terms and conditions.
Support services: Assistance provided to customers for software maintenance, troubleshooting, and technical issues.
Consulting: Professional advisory services that help organizations implement and optimize software or business processes.
TTM: The 12-month period ending with the most recent quarterly report.
Reportable U.S. equity AUM: The portion of assets under management invested in U.S. stocks that must be disclosed in regulatory filings.

Investment advisor Paradiem, LLC disclosed a new purchase of Owens Corning (OC 0.58%), adding 85,047 shares in Q3 2025, an estimated $12.48 million trade based on the average price for the quarter ended Sept. 30, 2025.

IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.

What happened

According to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission dated October 17, 2025, Paradiem, LLC increased its stake in Owens Corning substantially during the third quarter. The fund acquired 85,047 additional shares, bringing its total position to 94,067 shares, with a quarter-end reported value of $13.31 million.

What else to know

Paradiem, LLC’s addition brings Owens Corning to 3.1% of 13F reportable assets as of Q3 2025.

Paradiem’s top holdings after the filing as of September 30, 2025 are:

• NASDAQ:LRCX: $27.44 million (6.4% of AUM)
• NYSE:TEL: $19.53 million (4.55% of AUM)
• NYSE:VLO: $17.87 million (4.2% of AUM)
• NYSE:LMT: $16.13 million (3.76% of AUM)
• NYSE:CAT: $15.79 million (3.7% of AUM)

As of October 17, 2025, shares of Owens Corning were priced at $126.96, with a one-year change of -33.04%, underperforming the S&P 500 by 45.03 percentage points.

Company Overview

Company Snapshot

Owens Corning is a leading global manufacturer specializing in insulation, roofing, and fiberglass composite products, with a diversified revenue base across construction and industrial end markets. The company leverages its scale and integrated operations to deliver essential building materials to a broad customer base.

Owens Corning manufactures and markets insulation, roofing, and fiberglass composite materials across three segments: composites, insulation, and roofing. It generates revenue through direct sales and distribution of building materials, glass reinforcements, insulation products, and roofing components to construction and industrial markets worldwide.

The company serves insulation installers, home centers, distributors, contractors, and manufacturers in residential, commercial, and industrial sectors.

Foolish take

Financial services company Paradiem upped its stake in Owens Corning in a big way. The stock went from 0.3% of the fund’s holdings to 3.1% in Q3. This action demonstrates a belief in Owens Corning despite shares being down significantly from the 52-week high of $214.53 reached last November.

Owens Corning stock is down this year due to macroeconomic conditions, such as higher interest rates and persistent inflation, which caused a slowdown in the construction sector. The company also underwent changes, such as divesting businesses in China and South Korea, to sharpen its focus, particularly on the North American and European markets.

Despite these factors, Owens Corning delivered 10% year-over-year sales growth in the second quarter to $2.75 billion. And its moves to divest less profitable businesses resulted in Q2 diluted earnings per share increasing 34% year over year to $3.91 for its continuing operations.

With the company’s stock down but its financials looking solid, Paradiem may have taken the opportunity to scoop up shares. After all, the Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates soon, which can help to stimulate the construction industry. These factors make Owens Corning a compelling investment, especially while its stock is down.

Glossary

13F reportable assets: Assets that institutional investment managers must disclose quarterly to the SEC, showing certain equity holdings.
AUM (Assets Under Management): The total market value of investments that a fund or manager oversees on behalf of clients.
Stake: The ownership interest or number of shares held in a particular company by an investor or fund.
Quarter-end: The last day of a fiscal quarter, used as a reference point for financial reporting.
Dividend Yield: Annual dividends paid by a company divided by its share price, expressed as a percentage.
TTM: The 12-month period ending with the most recent quarterly report.
Filing: An official document submitted to a regulatory authority, often containing financial or ownership information.
Segments: Distinct business divisions within a company, often based on product lines or markets served.
Distribution: The process of delivering products from manufacturers to end customers or intermediaries.
End markets: The industries or customer groups that ultimately use a company’s products or services.

There hasn’t been much of a reason for investors to be excited about Target (TGT 0.80%) stock this year. The company’s financials have been underwhelming, and with the business heavily dependent on discretionary spending for its growth, there hasn’t been much hope that things will get better anytime soon, given the state of the economy.

This year, the stock is down more than 30% as it has continued to hit new lows on the way down. But it offers a high-yielding dividend of 5.2% and with an incredibly low valuation, it could make for an intriguing contrarian play. With earnings coming up on Nov. 19, should you consider taking a chance on the retail stock before it posts its latest numbers? 

Image source: Getty Images.

Will the upcoming quarter be more of the same for Target?

To say things haven’t been going well for Target in recent years is an understatement. Sales have been sluggish and the company has been struggling to generate any kind of growth whatsoever. Consumers have been tightening up their budgets and spending less on discretionary purchases as concerns about tariffs and the economy as a whole have been affecting many retailers.

TGT Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YCharts

In the company’s most recent quarter, which ended on Aug. 2, its net sales were down by a little less than 1%, totaling $25.2 billion. And what was even more problematic is that with expenses rising, Target’s net earnings fell by a whopping 22%, to $935 million.

The worry is that retailers haven’t felt the full impact of tariffs just yet, which could mean more bad news for Target’s business in the future. But in a way, that bearish outlook could work to the stock’s advantage.

Expectations appear low for Target

Target’s stock has been in a prolonged tailspin this year. And if the company doesn’t give investors much reason for optimism in its upcoming earnings report, it could be on track for an even worse year than in 2022, when the stock market crashed and its shares plummeted by 36%.

The retail stock trades at a lowly 10 times its trailing earnings, and even when factoring in analyst expectations, its forward price-to-earnings multiple is not much higher at 11. There’s plenty of bearishness priced into the stock, which could make it easier for Target not to disappoint investors; any bit of positive news could give this beaten-down stock some much-needed life.

The bar is definitely low given the discount Target trades at, and it hasn’t been this cheap in years.

I wouldn’t buy Target’s stock just yet

Target is a good long-term buy and I believe it can recover. But it’s also undergoing a change in CEO, macroeconomic conditions are far from ideal for its business, and there’s been a flurry of negativity around the stock this year. Given all those factors, I don’t see a reprieve coming just yet, as the economy is still on shaky ground and there’s little reason to expect a turnaround at this stage.

If you’re a long-term investor, you may want to consider taking a position in the stock, but only if you’re prepared for a turbulent ride and are willing to wait for at least a couple of years for economic conditions to improve.

The safer option is to wait and see what the company’s strategy looks like under its new CEO, Michael Fiddelke, who takes over in February and to reevaluate the stock at that point. With so much uncertainty around the business, there simply isn’t an overwhelming reason to buy shares of Target today. It could be a while before the business can turn things around, and in the meantime, there are better growth stocks to invest in.

BYD (BYDDY -1.09%) produces far more vehicles than Tesla. But you wouldn’t be able to tell based on stock prices alone. The Chinese electric vehicle maker’s market cap is around $990 billion, while U.S.-based Tesla is valued at more than $1.3 trillion.

Part of the valuation gap is explained by BYD’s recent struggles. Shares are down 20% in value since May. Tesla stock, meanwhile, has gained more than 40% in value over that time period. Is this your chance to buy BYD at a rare discount?

There’s no doubt that shares look compelling. But there are two critical factors to consider before jumping in.

1. Warren Buffett changed his mind about BYD

Legendary investor Warren Buffett was one of the first major investors in BYD. He first acquired shares 17 years ago, paying $230 million for a 10% stake in the business. It wasn’t actually Buffett that spotted the opportunity, but rather his longtime business partner, Charlie Munger.

Earlier in its history, BYD was focused on battery technology. Through vertical integration and affordable labor in China, the company was able to keep costs low, leading to major customer wins. It launched its first vehicles in 2003, gradually expanding its portfolio to include two of the most popular EVs in the world. This year, analysts expect the company to produce more EVs than Tesla, making it the number one EV maker worldwide.

Over the last 17 years, Buffett has made more than 2,000% on his original investment. This year, however, he liquidated his entire position. Why? Even though it has massive scale, BYD is still primarily a Chinese company. Around 80% of its sales are domestic, a reality that creates two critical headwinds.

First, the Chinese economy has been gradually slowing. Last year, GDP in the country grew by just 5% — one of the lowest figures in decades. Accordingly, BYD’s domestic sales have struggled in 2025, leading to a sales forecast cut by management.

Second, the Chinese government has a heavy influence on BYD. The company has received significant financial support from the government over the years. But that generosity may be ending. BYD failed an audit this summer, which may force it to repay more than $50 million in subsidies. The Chinese government’s involvement in the auto industry has ramped up this year, with the ultimate results still uncertain.

Buffett hasn’t yet commented on his stake sale. But with rising political uncertainty and a shaky domestic market, it appears as if the Oracle of Omaha has had enough with this long-term position.

Image source: Getty Images.

2. Don’t compare BYD to Tesla

Due to China’s sluggish GDP and falling population growth, it will be difficult for BYD’s sales to maintain historical growth rates over the long term without expanding international sales aggressively. Increasing regulatory oversight may complicate efforts to do so, but BYD is making moves to shift its focus away from China.

A recent deal with Uber Technologies, for instance, attempts to make its vehicles more accessible to drivers in Europe and Latin America. The deal also paves the way for BYD to help power Uber’s robotaxi division in certain parts of the world.

On the surface, now looks like a compelling time to pick up BYD shares. While challenges exist, the company has an impressive manufacturing base, with the ability to sell cars at a price point that few competitors can match at scale. Its recent Uber deal, meanwhile, gives it exposure to the robotaxi market, which could eventually be worth more than $5 trillion globally.

Add in that shares trade at roughly 1 times sales versus Tesla’s valuation of nearly 17 times sales, and it’s not hard to get excited. Here’s the problem: BYD isn’t Tesla. Tesla, for instance, has a leading position in the robotaxi market, making it far more than a simple auto manufacturer. BYD’s position in the market is simply as a supplier to operators like Uber.

Is BYD stock a buy today? Patient investors comfortable with Chinese regulatory uncertainty may think so. But the valuation gap between BYD and Tesla shouldn’t be a motivating factor. These are two very different businesses.

The artificial intelligence (AI) megatrend has dominated the stock market over the past three years, and with massive AI spending projections stretching out through 2030 and beyond, that doesn’t look likely to change anytime soon. Two of the most successful stock picks in that part of the tech sector in recent years have been Palantir (PLTR 0.11%) and Nvidia (NVDA 0.86%). They aren’t competitors, as they operate on different sides of the AI value chain. Nvidia is a largely hardware provider, while Palantir makes software.

Both have made their long-term investors a ton of money, but the question is, which one provides the better investment opportunity from here? Let’s break that question down and consider it by category.  

Business model

Nvidia makes the world’s leading graphics processing units (GPUs), and its wares are by far the most popular parallel-processor chips for powering and training AI models. Nvidia has enjoyed solid market dominance over the past few years, but rising competition from AMD (NASDAQ: AMD) and Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) could challenge that. Additionally, the AI infrastructure buildout won’t last forever. There will eventually be a time when companies aren’t racing to add high volumes of computing capacity, but instead mostly replacing processors as they reach the end of their useful lifespans.

Palantir sells its customers artificial intelligence-powered data analytics platforms, and it has a large client base in both the commercial and government spaces. Palantir’s software enables those with decision-making authority to act quickly and with the most up-to-date information possible. Furthermore, it also offers automation tools that can task AI agents with jobs that humans have traditionally done, freeing up employees to do work that requires original thinking.

Even after the initial stages of the AI revolution are over, the use cases for AI will continue to grow. Palantir’s software is also a subscription service, so for customers to continue using it, they must pay their Palantir bills every year, while data center operators may be able to put off replacing their Nvidia GPUs for a while. This makes Palantir’s business model more sustainable, giving it the edge here.

Winner: Palantir

Growth rates

Both companies are growing at similar rates, although Nvidia’s sales have decelerated on a percentage basis, while Palantir’s continue to gradually accelerate.

NVDA Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YCharts.

Whether Palantir will take the lead on growth or not, only time will tell, but with massive demand for AI services still out there, each will likely maintain a relatively rapid growth rate for the foreseeable future, leading me to view them as fairly evenly matched by this criterion.

Winner: Tie

Valuation

From a valuation standpoint, the comparison isn’t particularly close. Palantir’s stock has delivered incredible returns alongside Nvidia, but a large chunk of Palantir’s share price gains has come from its valuations rising to outsized levels, and that condition is not sustainable.

NVDA PE Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts.

Nvidia trades at a comparatively cheap 42 times forward expected earnings, while Palantir’s ratio tops 275. For comparison, if Nvidia had the same forward P/E as Palantir, it would be worth over $30 trillion, versus the $4.6 trillion it’s actually worth.

This shows that Palantir is overvalued. It will have to deliver years of sales and earnings growth to return the stock to a more reasonable level, even if it simply moves sideways from here. If we set Nvidia’s current valuation of 42 times forward earnings as that “more reasonable” level, and Palantir’s revenue rises at a 50% compound annual growth rate while it maintains a 35% profit margin, it would take over five years’ worth of growth to bring its P/E down to the target. And again, that assumes the stock doesn’t rise during those five years.

That means that Nvidia has basically a five-year head start on Palantir’s long-term stock performance. Given that AI spending is projected to grow rapidly over the next five years, Nvidia shares should easily outperform Palantir moving forward, as Palantir will spend most of the next five years growing into its already expensive valuation. Which is why, despite the two companies’ similar growth rates and Palantir’s more attractive business model, it’s not the AI stock I’d suggest buying now.

Overall winner: Nvidia

Nvidia (NVDA 0.86%) has grown to become the largest company in the world, but the question on many investors’ minds is if the company has more upside ahead in the coming years. The answer looks to be yes.

Powering the AI infrastructure ecosystem

Nvidia is much more than just a chipmaker that makes graphics processing units (GPUs). It is the company whose ecosystem is most responsible for powering the current artificial intelligence (AI) revolution that is taking place.

Nvidia’s biggest advantage starts with its CUDA software platform, which it developed to allow its chips to be easily programmable for tasks outside their original purpose of speeding up graphics rendering in video games. While it took time for other markets to develop, the company smartly gave CUDA away for free to universities and research labs that were doing early work on AI.

This led to nearly all foundational AI code being written on its software and optimized for its chips. Since rewriting code and retraining developers for another platform would be both costly and time-consuming, this has created a huge moat for the company. This can be seen both in the company’s market share and growth. Last quarter, it held a more than 90% market share in the GPU space, while its data center revenue climbed to $41.1 billion, up from just $10.3 billion two years ago.

Nvidia’s moat does not end with CUDA, though. It developed its NVLink interconnect to allow its GPUs to act as a single unit. That keeps customers from mixing in AI chips from other vendors in an AI cluster. Meanwhile, its 2020 purchase of Mellanox gave it a networking component that allows it to provide end-to-end AI factories. Last quarter, its data networking revenue nearly doubled to $7.3 billion, showing how important this has become to the company.

The company is not stopping there. Its up to $100 billion investment in OpenAI gives it a stake in one of the companies at the forefront of AI models and helps give one of its largest customers financing to buy or rent its chips. While OpenAI has struck deals with other chip companies, no one else is getting an equity stake in the ChatGPT maker.

AI infrastructure spending, meanwhile, is showing no signs of slowing. Nvidia estimates that the total addressable market for AI hardware and systems could climb from roughly $600 billion today to as much as $4 trillion in the next several years. Nvidia is bound to get more than its fair share of this spending directed its way.

Image source: Getty Images.

Nvidia’s two-year outlook

Nvidia has indicated that it has the ability to continue to grow revenue at a 50% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the next few years. The revenue consensus for its current fiscal year ending in January is around $206.5 billion. At that pace of growth, its 2027 revenue (essentially its fiscal year 2028 ending in January) would be around $465 billion.

If the company’s adjusted operating expenses were to rise by an average of 7% quarter over quarter during this stretch and its gross margin remained around 73%, and we apply a 15% tax rate on its operating income, Nvidia could generate nearly $260 billion in adjusted earnings by 2028 (fiscal 2029), or $10.50 per share, at its current share count of 24.5 billion. Place a 25 times-to-30 times price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) multiple on the stock, and its share price would be between $265 and $315 in two years.

Here is a basic model of what its revenue and earnings growth would look like.

Data source: Estimates based on author’s calculations.

All this means that while its stock has been a huge winner already, Nvidia’s stock still has plenty of upside potential over the next two years and beyond.

Satellite telephony company Viasat (VSAT -1.30%) had quite a memorable week as far as its stock went. Driven by broad investor optimism on space-related titles generally and recent positive company-specific news items, it booked a near-double-digit gain over the period. According to data compiled by S&P Global Market Intelligence, Viasat’s share price rose in excess of 9% across the week.

Viable Viasat

What also helped was a live demonstration of its capabilities. On Thursday in Mexico City, Viasat put its direct-to-device satellite service through its paces.

Image source: Getty Images.

During the demonstration, Viasat sent text messages between two Android smartphones, one of which was linked to its satellite network and one through a traditional cellular matrix. It also flexed its satellite-powered services through a different device, the HMD Offgrid.

In the press release detailing the demonstration, the company quoted its general manager of Viasat Mexico Hector Rivero as saying that “This technology has the ability to bridge the connectivity gap in areas where traditional services are unreliable or non-existent, opening up possibilities for millions of individuals and devices to connect through satellite.”

“We are confident that this will have significant advantages for consumers and various industries worldwide,” he added.

Major contract in force

Viasat’s services seem to be striking a chord with major institutional customers, at least. Earlier this month, the company announced, no doubt happily, that it had earned a prime contract award from the U.S. Space Force. This will see it contribute to a dedicated satellite network for that branch of the American military.

KLA (KLAC 0.81%), a company that makes crucial equipment for the manufacturing of microchips, was producing some tasty gains for its shareholders this week. These are frothy times for U.S. chip companies, and by extension, KLA should do well too. Over the course of the past few days, two bullish new takes from analysts bolstered the buy case for this company in particular.

According to data compiled by S&P Global Market Intelligence, KLA’s share price increased by nearly 13% over the course of the week on these tailwinds.

Components maker to the chip stars

Both of those prognosticator updates were published before the market open on Monday, helping to set the bullish tone for KLA stock in the subsequent days.

Image source: Getty Images.

The first came from Bank of America Securities’ Vivek Arya, who cranked his KLA price target a full 30% higher to $1,300 per share from his previous level of $1,000. He also maintained his buy recommendation on the stock.

According to reports, Arya wrote that he’s detecting signs of higher investment into dynamic random access memory (DRAM) production. On top of that, the great thirst for the advanced processors necessary to power artificial intelligence (AI) functionalities should help raise the fortunes of chipmakers generally — and their suppliers.

Another bull maintains his buy rating

Soon after that report was disseminated, Stifel‘s Brian Chin pulled the lever on a more modest raise. Chin lifted his KLA price target to $1,050 from $922. Like Arya, he kept his buy recommendation on the shares intact.

Both these takes feel realistic. Broadly speaking, this is a fine time to be invested in stocks throughout the chip sector, provided they’re not (yet) too expensive on their valuations.

After it dipped nearly 4% lower last week, shares of fuel cell specialist Bloom Energy (BE -1.16%) reversed their downward trajectory and shot into the stratosphere this week. In addition to news that the company would help support the artificial intelligence (AI) industry, two analysts’ increasingly bullish outlook on Bloom Energy stock provided Main Street investors with more reasons to bid Bloom stock higher.

According to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence, shares of Bloom Energy had soared 32.5% from the end of trading last Friday through the close of Thursday’s trading session.

Image source: Getty Images.

The details of the recent deal

On Monday, Bloom Energy announced Brookfield Asset Management (BAM -3.63%) will make an investment of up to $5 billion to deploy Bloom’s fuel cell technology to support AI infrastructure. Exploring the development of AI factories located around the world, the two companies expect to announce a European site that will demonstrate this capability before the end of 2025.

It didn’t take long before analysts started to wax bullish on Bloom stock after it announced the deal with Brookfield. The next day UBS analyst Manav Gupta hiked the price target on Bloom stock to $115 from $105 based on the potential of the Brookfield partnership, and BMO Capital lifted its price target to $97 from $33.

Has the time to buy Bloom Energy stock passed you by?

The market’s seemingly insatiable appetite for AI exposure touched on Bloom Energy this week, and shares are now trading at a lofty 131 times forward earnings. While the fuel cell specialist is arguably the most promising opportunity among its fuel cell peers, the stock’s steep valuation suggests that it may be better to watch it from the sidelines for the time being and wait for a pullback before clicking the buy button.

And with respect to the analysts’ price targets — take them with a grain of salt. Analysts often have shorter investing horizons than the multiyear holding periods serious investors tend to favor; therefore, they shouldn’t be a priority when investors form investing theses.

Over the next few weeks, many of America’s largest technology companies will report their operating results for the quarter ended Sept. 30. They will provide investors with a valuable update on their progress in the artificial intelligence (AI) race, which is driving an enormous amount of value right now.

Sept. 30 marked the end of Microsoft‘s (MSFT -0.43%) fiscal 2026 first quarter, and it is scheduled to report those results on Oct. 29. The company’s Azure cloud computing platform and its Copilot virtual assistant will be key points of focus for Wall Street because they are at the center of the company’s AI strategy.

Microsoft stock has already climbed 25% year to date. Is it still a buy ahead of the Oct. 29 earnings report?

Keep an eye on Copilot adoption

Microsoft launched its Copilot virtual assistant in early 2023. It was created using a combination of the company’s own AI models and those developed by its longtime partner OpenAI. The chatbot can be used for free in some of Microsoft’s flagship software products like Windows, Edge, and Bing, but it’s also available as a paid add-on for enterprise products like the 365 productivity suite.

Copilot can rapidly generate content in applications like Word and PowerPoint, autonomously transcribe meetings in Teams, and help users craft email replies in Outlook, so it has the potential to significantly increase productivity for enterprises. Microsoft says organizations around the world pay for over 400 million licenses for 365, all of which are candidates for the paid Copilot add-on, so the AI assistant could generate billions of dollars in recurring revenue for the company over the long term.

During the fiscal 2025 fourth quarter (ended June 30), Microsoft said several large customers expanded their Copilot adoption through 365. Barclays, for example, bought 100,000 licenses for its employees after running an initial test with 15,000, which implies a high degree of satisfaction with the assistant’s capabilities. This is the kind of information investors should look out for on Oct. 29, because it could be a predictor of future revenue.

But 365 isn’t Microsoft’s only enterprise opportunity when it comes to Copilot. There is Copilot Dragon, an innovative healthcare solution that autonomously documents millions of doctor-patient interactions, saving clinicians valuable time. Then there is Copilot Studio, a platform that allows businesses to create custom AI agents to automate workflows in any application, even those outside Microsoft’s ecosystem.

The most important segment to watch on Oct. 29

Microsoft’s Azure cloud platform operates hundreds of data centers spread across dozens of different regions around the world. They are fitted with the most advanced chips from suppliers like Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices, and businesses rent the computing capacity from Azure to power their AI training and AI inference workloads.

Microsoft also launched Azure AI Foundry earlier this year, which ties many of the cloud platform’s AI services together to form a holistic solution for enterprises. It can be used to turn raw data into documents, build AI chat applications, deploy AI software, perform multimodal content processing, and more. It also offers access to the latest large language models (LLMs) from third parties like OpenAI to accelerate AI development.

Azure is regularly the fastest-growing part of Microsoft’s entire business, but it surprised even the most bullish analysts during the fiscal 2025 fourth quarter when its revenue soared by a whopping 39% year over year. It was the fastest growth rate in three years, and it marked a significant acceleration from the 33% growth Azure generated in the third quarter just three months earlier.

Demand for data center capacity and Foundry were the key drivers of the incredible result, so this is where investors should focus most of their attention on Oct. 29.

Should you buy Microsoft stock before Oct. 29?

Microsoft stock isn’t cheap right now. It’s trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 38.3, which is a 14% premium to its five-year average of 33.5. It’s also notably more expensive than the 33.3 P/E of the Nasdaq-100 index, which is home to many of Microsoft’s big-tech peers.

MSFT PE Ratio data by YCharts

As a result, investors who are looking for short-term gains over the next few months might be left disappointed. That doesn’t mean the stock is a bad buy ahead of Oct. 29, but investors who pull the trigger must be willing to hold it for the long term — preferably for three to five years — to maximize their chances of earning a positive return.

One single quarter is unlikely to shift Microsoft’s momentum in either direction, but as long as Copilot adoption continues to expand and Azure’s revenue growth maintains its recent momentum, investors will probably be glad this stock is in their portfolio.

According to data compiled by S&P Global Market Intelligence, Wells Fargo (WFC -2.93%) stock was up by more than 8% week to date as of Thursday night. That was hardly a surprise, as the company delivered quarterly results that beat analyst estimates and pleased investors.

A satisfying third quarter

On Tuesday, Wells Fargo — one of the so-called big four U.S. banks — took the wraps off its third quarter. For the period, total revenue came in at over $21.4 billion, representing an improvement of 5% over the same quarter of 2024.

Image source: Getty Images.

The company’s generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) net income saw a healthier rise, growing by 9% year over year to almost $5.6 billion. On a per-share basis, that profitability stood at $1.66.

As for traditional banking metrics, average loans crept up by 2% to just under $929 billion. Average deposits, however, declined marginally to almost $1.34 trillion.

The two headline numbers comfortably exceeded the consensus analyst estimates. Prognosticators tracking Wells Fargo stock were collectively anticipating slightly more than $21.1 for total revenue and $1.55 per share for profitability.

Multiple revenue streams

In its earnings release, Wells Fargo attributed its improvements mainly to a rise in fee-based income from both commercial and consumer operations. The bank also benefited from higher vehicle loan originations and an increase in total client assets for its wealth and investment management business.

A potential legal headache for consumer healthcare giant Kenvue (KVUE -13.50%) was causing pain for investors on Thursday. Such troubles tend to spook the market; hence the more than 13% sell-off of Kenvue across that trading session. The S&P 500 (^GSPC -0.63%), by comparison, did much better on the day with “only” a 0.6% decrease.

New lawsuit with old allegations

Until it was spun off into a separate company, Kenvue was part of sprawling pharmaceutical company Johnson & Johnson (JNJ 0.50%). The company has faced tens of thousands of lawsuits over its Johnson’s Baby Powder, a once talc-based product that is widely alleged to have caused various types of cancer.

Image source: Getty Images.

The first such lawsuit in the U.K. has been filed by a group of roughly 3,000 claimants, according to reporting from various media. It was submitted to the English High Court against both Kenvue and Johnson & Johnson.

The former company basically inherited Johnson & Johnson’s numerous consumer healthcare products, a portfolio that included Johnson’s Baby Powder. In 2020, the main ingredient in the now-controversial product was switched from talc to cornstarch.

Kenvue responds

Reporting on this development, Reuters wrote that Kenvue’s response was that it did not believe the court would find that the talc-based powder causes cancer, as the claimants allege.

Aerospace and defense company RTX (RTX -0.10%) didn’t really have a banner day on the market Thursday, but in a trading session when the S&P 500 index fell by 0.6%, the stock’s flat performance made it a winner. Investors were reacting to good news from one of RTX’s three core business divisions.

Up in the air

That division is aircraft engine specialist Pratt & Whitney, which this morning reported it had earned an important certification abroad.

Image source: Getty Images.

Specifically, Pratt Whitney’s GTF Advantage engine got the nod from the European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA). This follows similar certification from EASA’s American equivalent, the Federal Aviation Agency (FAA), and the company said it clears a path for the product to enter service next year.

The GTF Advantage is a next-generation engine for airliners that, according to its maker, delivers more thrust and boasts higher fuel efficiency than competing products currently on the market.

Big promises

In its press release divulging the happy news, Pratt & Whitney quoted its president of commercial engines, Rick Deurloo, as saying that the company’s new engine “will be a game-changer for operators.”

Despite the confidence, however, Pratt & Whitney did not provide any estimates as to how sales of the GTF Advantage will impact its fundamentals, or those of its parent RTX.

NuScale Power (SMR -8.95%) stock has had a breakout year. Shares are up more than 170% since the start of 2025. It hasn’t been a smooth ride for shareholders, though. NuScale stock has plunged about 40% twice just since January.

This week was another turbulent period for the stock. As of late Thursday, NuScale Power shares are 15% off this week’s highs, yet still up by 24.2% since last Friday’s close, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence.

Image source: Getty Images.

NuScale Power’s Trump tailwind

NuScale has been a big beneficiary of what it calls “multi-billion dollar federal support.” Several executive orders signed by President Trump earlier this year have boosted the nuclear power sector. Even prior to the current Trump administration, bipartisan passage of the ADVANCE (Accelerating Deployment of Versatile, Advanced Nuclear for Clean Energy) Act of 2024 has helped streamline approvals by the National Regulatory Commission for faster deployment of nuclear power projects.

This week another federal department spurred investors to jump into NuScale Power stock. The U.S. Army announced the launch of the Janus Program. The initiative is meant to fast-track the installation of commercially owned and operated small nuclear reactors to provide energy to domestic military installations.

Investors should be wary of jumping into NuScale stock after this week’s surge, though. While it has just begun generating revenue from a Romanian power project, investors have pushed its enterprise value to over $6.5 billion. Consider that revenue for the second quarter was just $8.1 million. Investors who believe in the future of modular nuclear reactors should still consider it a speculative investment.

Shares of Standard Lithium (SLI 12.79%) jumped sharply today, surging 25% in early-morning trading and still holding up about 15% through 11:30 a.m. ET Thursday. And, it isn’t about tariffs or trade wars or even lithium prices today.

Standard Lithium is yet to start commercial production, but it has just hit a major milestone that moves it closer to the goal.

Image source: Getty Images.

Standard Lithium inches closer to first production

Standard Lithium is still in the pre-production stage. Its flagship projects are located in the lithium-brine-rich resource, the Smackover Formation, which extends from central Texas to the Florida panhandle. Standard Lithium is focused on projects in South-West Arkansas (SWA) and East Texas within the Smackover Formation.

While the company is still exploring East Texas and has only filed an initial resource estimate for the deposit, the SWA project is in the advanced stages now.

Standard Lithium is jointly developing SWA with Equinor (EQNR -0.61%), with Standard Lithium owning a 55% stake. On Oct. 14, it filed a definitive feasibility study (DFS) for the project, outlining an annual production capacity of 22,500 tonnes of battery-grade lithium carbonate over a 20-year lifespan.

A DFS is the cornerstone for a mine, as it confirms its commercial viability.

In other words, it is now proven that Standard Lithium can economically mine lithium from SWA and, therefore, move on to the nest stage of raising funds to start the production process. So it’s a major milestone for the company and explains why the lithium stock is flying higher.

Time to buy Standard Lithium stock hand over fist?

Though the DFS sets the stage for commercial extraction of lithium from SWA, it’s still a time-consuming process.

Standard Lithium is estimating a 34-month timeline, from construction to the start of commercial operations. So if construction begins in early 2026, the earliest expected date for first commercial production is around the end of 2028, provided Standard Lithium can secure capital, finalize the technical plans, and start and complete construction at the project on time.

Keep in mind that Standard Lithium stock has already doubled within just one month and has surged over 300% so far in 2025, as of this writing. However, that rally was largely fueled by speculation of a possible U.S. government stake.