Intervention

Japanese yen sinks to 40-year low against the US dollar as intervention looms

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The Japanese yen fell to around 162.4 per dollar in Asian trading on Tuesday morning, its lowest level since 1986.


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The drop extends a punishing run for the yen, which has kept weakening despite the Bank of Japan’s efforts to support it, and now revives the prospect that the authorities will step into the market directly.

Japan’s finance minister, Satsuki Katayama, has already responded to the situation by stating that the government was ready to take “appropriate” and even “decisive” action against excessive currency moves, adding that she had confirmed with Washington that such a step remained an option.

Traders are now watching closely for any sign that Tokyo is selling US dollars to prop up the yen, as it did in the spring.

At the heart of the weakness is the current wide gap between Japanese and American interest rates.

Even after the Bank of Japan raised its benchmark to 1% in mid-June, its highest since 1995, Japanese yields remain far below those in the US, where ten-year government bonds have recently paid around 4.5%, compared with roughly 2.6% in Japan.

That gap sustains the so-called carry trade, in which investors borrow cheaply in yen to buy higher-yielding assets elsewhere, continually pushing the currency down.

A robust dollar has compounded the pressure.

The greenback has drawn safe-haven demand from tensions around the conflict involving Iran, while expectations that the US Federal Reserve could raise rates later this year, even as the Bank of Japan moves cautiously, have widened the divide further.

Japan’s heavy reliance on imported energy, which is costlier amid elevated oil prices, has also added to demand for US dollars.

A test for Tokyo

The renewed slide is a headache for policymakers who have already thrown considerable firepower at the problem.

Between April and May, Japan spent a record ¥11.7 trillion (€63.3bn) intervening in currency markets, the largest such effort on record, yet the Japanese yen has continued to weaken.

Domestic politics has not helped, with the big-spending, growth-focused agenda of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi raising doubts about Japan’s fiscal discipline.

Analysts say the immediate risk of intervention is high, given that speculative bets against the Japanese yen have climbed to multi-year peaks and a fresh four-decade low tends to sharpen political anxiety in Tokyo.

However, many doubt that buying the currency would reverse its course for long, since the underlying rate gap remains firmly against it.

The Bank of Japan’s next policy decision, due on 31 July, is now in sharp focus, with further rate rises seen as the more durable route to stemming the decline.

For now, the Japanese yen remains at the mercy of forces its central bank has struggled to control.

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After a weekend of gun violence in Chicago, Trump renews call for intervention

A spate of shootings in Chicago has led to seven deaths and at least 38 injuries since Friday evening, police say, prompting President Trump to renew his call for a military intervention in the nation’s third-largest city.

It is the latest in a series of threats made and interventions ordered by the Republican president against a Democratic-led city, including Los Angeles.

“Why isn’t Governor Pritzker calling me for help. I could make Chicago a safe City in ONE MONTH, in ONE YEAR, it would be one of the safest!!!” Trump said in a Sunday morning post on social media.

The office of Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker, a potential 2028 Democratic presidential contender who has repeatedly rebuffed Trump’s calls for a military intervention, did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Under Trump, National Guard troops have been deployed on crime-fighting missions in Democratic-led cities including New Orleans, Washington and Memphis, Tenn.; and Marines and Guardsmen were sent to L.A. last year amid protests over federal immigration raids.

Although Chicago Police Department data show a slight increase in shooting incidents compared with the first half of last year, violent crime rates have generally dropped in the city over the last few years, in parallel with national trends.

Preliminary information shared by Chicago police indicate there have been at least two dozen shooting incidents since 5 p.m. Friday. Those killed by gunfire include a 21-year-old shot in the chest Sunday, an 18-year-old shot in the armpit Saturday evening and a 50-year-old shot in the chest Friday.

At least 12 people in a crowd on a Chicago street suffered gunshot wounds Friday evening after an SUV pulled up and two people inside started shooting, police said.

The eight men and four women in the group ranged in age from 17 to 47. They were being treated at four hospitals. Police said another man suffered unknown injuries and refused medical treatment.

That shooting happened on Juneteenth, a holiday that celebrates the end of slavery in the U.S. Earlier Friday, former President Obama and former First Lady Michelle Obama welcomed the first visitors to his presidential center on the South Side.

“What should have been a night of celebration and community reflection for Juneteenth was shattered by a horrific act of violence,” Mayor Brandon Johnson said in an X post Saturday. “My thoughts and prayers are with the victims and their loved ones.”

“Violence has no place in our city, and those responsible will be held accountable,” he said.

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KOSPI crashes over 8 pct on tech hemorrhage, U.S. rate woes; won rises after verbal intervention

This photo, taken Monday, shows the trading room of Hana Bank in Seoul as South Korean stocks dropped more than 8 percent on concerns over AI profitability and fears over a possible rate hike by the U.S. Fed. Photo by Yonhap

South Korean stocks nosedived more than 8 percent Monday, extending their losing streak to a third consecutive session, as investors dumped market heavyweights on renewed woes over artificial intelligence (AI) profitability and concerns over a possible hawkish pivot of the U.S. Federal Reserve.

The local currency rose against the U.S. dollar after opening at a 17-year low, in the face of verbal intervention by financial authorities.

The benchmark Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) plunged 676.18 points, or 8.29 percent, to close at 7,484.41, after falling as low as 7,442.73. The secondary KOSDAQ index sank more than 9 percent to end at 911.39.

The KOSPI’s trade volume was heavy at 448.3 million shares worth 47.8 trillion won (US$31.2 billion), with losers sharply outnumbering winners 873 to 42. Foreigners and institutions dumped local shares worth 355.5 billion won and 1.6 trillion won, respectively, while retail investors scooped up 1.76 trillion won.

The Monday crash was largely anticipated on sharp losses on Wall Street last week, fueled by semiconductor shares’ biggest daily percentage drop since March 2020 and fears over a possible rate hike by the Fed sparked by a hotter-than-expected U.S. jobs report for May.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 1.35 percent lower Friday (local time), while the S&P 500 dipped 2.64 percent and the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite slid 4.18 percent.

Major U.S. chip shares sharply lost ground, with Nvidia slumping 6.2 percent, Broadcom contracting 7.92 percent and Micron shooting down 13.25 percent.

The Korea Exchange (KRX) had activated a circuit breaker for the KOSPI about three minutes after opening, halting trading for 20 minutes, and implemented a consecutive sell-side sidecar at around 9:34 a.m.

The KRX had also issued a sell-side sidecar for the secondary KOSDAQ market about six minutes after opening, suspending trading for five minutes, and activated a circuit breaker for the index later in the day after the KOSDAQ fell by more than 8 percent.

“Today’s pullback appears to be driven not by the weakening of market fundamentals, but by profit-taking sentiment among investors, mainly targeted at the semiconductor sector, as the market reacted more sensitively to negative developments after an extended rally of chip shares,” a report by Samsung Securities said.

The KOSPI has been one of the best performing stock indexes across the world in recent months, surging to near the unprecedented 9,000-point mark on Tuesday last week from the 5,000-point level earlier this year, mainly driven by major semiconductor shares, including Samsung Electronics and SK hynix.

“There is a lot at stake in this week’s financial market, with U.S. inflation data, treasury yields and the ongoing debate over the sustainability of AI-related investment all unfolding simultaneously,” said Seo Sang-young, an analyst at Mirae Asset Securities.

Han Ji-young, a researcher at Kiwoom Securities, also anticipated a “challenging” week for the KOSPI, noting that the release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index for May, the SpaceX listing and Oracle’s earnings results planned for this week may weigh on the market.

Market analysts also said news that Iran and Israel traded strikes dampened investors’ risk appetite, dimming hopes for peace in the Middle East.

Market top-cap Samsung Electronics slid 10.18 percent to 295,500 won, while its chipmaking rival SK hynix dipped 7.68 percent to 1.91 million won.

AI investment firm SK Square nosedived 11.13 percent to 1.12 million won.

Samsung Life Insurance lost 8.97 percent to 375,500 won, and Samsung C&T plunged 11.29 percent to 408,500 won.

Top automaker Hyundai Motor plummeted 8.71 percent to 639,000 won, and its auto parts making affiliate Hyundai Mobis shot down 12.2 percent to 612,000 won.

Leading battery maker LG Energy Solution pulled back 6.16 percent, and its smaller rival Samsung SDI sank 11.44 percent.

Home appliances maker LG Electronics slipped 11.55 percent to 268,000 won, while power plant manufacturer Doosan Enerbility shed 10.25 percent to 85,800 won.

Internet portal operator Naver was among the few winners, jumping 9.2 percent on news that the company is conducting a joint project with U.S. AI chip giant Nvidia to build a massive global AI factory and the nomination of Han Seong-sook, former chief executive officer (CEO) of Naver and incumbent minister of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), as South Korea’s new prime minister.

SK Networks surged 30 percent to 14,170 won on SK Group and Nvidia’s announcement of a broader partnership for AI infrastructure.

The Korean won was quoted at 1,535.0 won against the U.S. dollar at 3:30 p.m., up 4.1 won from the previous session, after opening at 1,555.2 won, the lowest mark since March 6, 2009, when the global markets were in a financial crisis.

The local currency turned higher after financial authorities vowed stern action against excessive volatility and one-sided movements in the foreign exchange market.

Bond prices, which move inversely to yields, closed lower. The yield on three-year Treasurys added 5.8 basis points to 3.940 percent, and the return on the benchmark five-year government bonds gained 7 basis points to 4.190 percent.

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