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Microsoft vs. Apple: What’s the Better Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock to Buy Today?

Microsoft’s Copilot is already helping generate billions in revenue, while Apple is in the midst of enhancing its iPhones with new AI features.

Microsoft (MSFT -0.15%) and Apple (AAPL 0.54%) are forever rivals. They are competitors in the personal computer market and for years have been the leading tech companies in the world. Even today, their valuations are similar. As of Tuesday’s close, Microsoft had a slight edge in market cap ($3.82 trillion versus $3.67 trillion).

There’s a new arena that could be their new battleground: artificial intelligence (AI). It’s still the early innings of AI deployment, and how their businesses evolve and adapt to AI remains a big question mark. But based on where they are today, which AI stock looks to be the better buy right now?

A person's face partially obscured by numbers and images.

Image source: Getty Images.

Which company has the better overall growth prospects?

Both of these companies already have large, robust businesses that can benefit from AI. Apple is a big name in consumer electronics with its iPads and iPhones being highly coveted products and, in some cases, status symbols. Microsoft, meanwhile, has its core in the business world with companies all over using its office products and cloud software for their day-to-day operational needs. They also both sell personal computers, with Microsoft focusing more on practicality and real-world business use, while Apple’s focus has been on simplicity and ease of use for the average user.

They both have many opportunities where AI can enhance their existing products in services. But the edge for sheer growth potential has to go Microsoft, simply because of how much broader its business has become over the years, especially in gaming, with it wrapping up its massive $69 billion acquisition of Activision Blizzard a couple of years ago.

Which company will benefit the most from AI?

AI has tremendous potential applications for these businesses. Many Apple users have been eagerly awaiting the launch of new AI-powered features for the company’s iPhones and were disappointed when they learned many of the key ones related to Siri will be pushed back until next year.

When that happens, however, that could trigger a flurry of upgrades and growth for the business. I don’t think a slow-and-steady approach will necessarily hurt Apple. In fact, it could end up being a smart move for the tech company by taking its time and ensuring everything is rolled out smoothly, to ensure that user privacy is well protected in the process.

Microsoft has already been enhancing its products and services with AI capabilities. However, there’s been plenty of debate about just how successful its Copilot AI really is. Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff has referred to it as “Clippy 2.0,” in reference to the frustrating assistant that Microsoft had years ago that users didn’t find all that helpful.

Apple deserves an edge when it comes to AI potential, simply for the massive wave of upgrades that could be coming if it hits it out of the park with its new iPhone features.

Which stock has the more attractive valuation?

It’s always important to consider valuation when buying a stock, as buying at a high price may impact your ability to earn a good return from your investment in the future. For a while, Microsoft’s stock was trading at more of a premium to Apple’s stock, but in recent weeks, that gap has evaporated.

MSFT PE Ratio Chart

Data by YCharts.

This one is easy to decide: It’s a tie. Their price-to-earnings multiples are almost identical at this stage. But it is notable to see that prior to the announcement of reciprocal tariffs in April, it was Apple that was trading at more of a premium than Microsoft, and then the trend reversed, with Apple’s exposure to manufacturing its iPhones in China likely weighing down the stock for part of the year.

Which stock should you buy?

The stock I’d buy today is Apple. It has devoted fans who will be willing to upgrade to the newest iPhone, even under challenging economic conditions, if it means access to cutting-edge features. Apple may be slow in rolling out AI, but when it does, the execution can be a lot cleaner, polished, and better for users in the end than if it were rushed.

Microsoft, meanwhile, has been quick to rush out AI features for its software. However, in an increasingly crowded market for AI services, it may have a more difficult time keeping customers happy when there may be other, and potentially better, options to choose from.

Apple, may, in the end, benefit from being a bit slower in its AI deployment.

David Jagielski has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple, Microsoft, and Salesforce. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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3 Big Mistakes for Artificial Intelligence (AI) Growth Stock Investors to Avoid in 2026

These investing best practices are especially important as tensions heat up between the U.S. and China.

The Nasdaq Composite‘s brutal 3.6% sell-off on Oct. 10 was a painful reminder of how quickly growth stocks can sell off when doubt creeps in. Friday’s tumble marked the worst session since April during the height of trade tensions between the U.S. and China.

The sell-off was a reaction to the U.S. threatening an additional 100% tariff on Chinese imports as a retaliation for China’s stricter export controls on rare-earth minerals and magnets. These materials and products are used across economic sectors, including semiconductors and technological equipment with artificial intelligence (AI) applications.

On Oct. 12, reports indicated that China would not back down against escalated tariff threats from the U.S.

Investors often talk about buying opportunities when the market is selling off. But it can be just as helpful to be aware of potential mistakes and prevent them before they do damage to your portfolio. Here are three that apply to AI growth stock investors who are preparing for next year.

Light from a screen reflecting off an investor’s glasses.

Image source: Getty Images.

1. Having an overly concentrated AI portfolio

A common mistake is to overly focus on one facet of a value chain.

For example, an investor may own Nvidia (NVDA -0.17%), Broadcom, and Advanced Micro Devices as a way to diversify across different AI chip designers. The issue is that many of these companies have the same customers. For example, OpenAI is buying chips from all three companies to build out 10 gigawatts of data centers. If OpenAI were to cut its spending, it could affect the earnings of all three companies.

Similarly, equipment suppliers like Applied Materials, Lam Research, and ASML all share the same largest customers — which are semiconductor manufacturers like Taiwan Semiconductor, Samsung Electronics, and Intel. So if Taiwan Semi cuts its spending, it would reduce earnings across the semiconductor equipment supplier industry.

Further down the value chain are the cloud computing giants like Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, Alphabet-owned Google Cloud, and Oracle. These companies benefit from increased AI spending, but they also serve general computing and storage needs. A slowdown in AI spending, or a widespread economic downturn, could reduce demand for additional cloud computing usage across major corporations.

By building out an AI portfolio across the value chain rather than focusing on one segment, you can help reduce volatility and limit the damage of an industry-specific pullback.

2. Ignoring position sizing

Portfolio sizing and allocation are just as important as the stocks and exchange-traded funds owned. You don’t want to be so diversified that your best ideas don’t make a big impact, but you also don’t want to be overly concentrated to the point where a handful of stocks can damage your financial health.

There’s no one-size-fits-all solution to diversification. But factors to consider include investment goals, investment time horizon, and risk tolerance.

A risk-averse investor would probably want to limit the size of a single stock in their financial portfolio, whereas an investor with a high risk tolerance and a multi-decade time horizon may not mind betting big on a handful of stocks, especially if they are still making new contributions to their investment accounts.

3. Buying stocks and not companies

Building a diversified portfolio isn’t enough. In fact, it’s not even the most important factor.

Arguably, the greatest mistake investors can make when approaching AI is to invest in stocks rather than companies. In other words, focusing too much on price action and potential gains rather than on what a company does and where it could be headed.

Peter Lynch’s investment advice to “know what you own, and why you own it,” still rings true today. Without conviction, a concoction of emotion and volatility can corrode the foundations of even the strongest portfolios. An investor may hold positions in stocks just because they are going up, even if those gains are temporary, because they don’t have to do with the underlying investment thesis.

The best investments are the ones you can put a decent amount of your portfolio into and be confident in owning, even if they suffer an extreme sell-off — like we saw in April during the height of trade tensions. If someone bought Nvidia just to make a quick buck, they may have been tempted to sell it when it fell by over 37% from its high in early April. Or when it dropped over 55% from its high in 2022. But someone investing in Nvidia for its multi-decade potential in AI data centers would have had an easier time holding the stock throughout these volatile periods.

Unlocking lasting success in the stock market

Diversifying across the AI value chain in companies you understand and with an awareness of portfolio sizing can help you build a portfolio that’s built to last, rather than one that can get hot only if the conditions are right.

Long-term investors know that success is more about making consistently good decisions over an extended period, rather than a few great ideas wedged between mediocrity and mistakes.

AI stocks have generated monster returns for patient investors, and many have the potential to create lasting generational wealth going forward. But those gains could take time, with many bumps along the way.

No one knows when the next major stock market sell-off will occur. Instead of guessing the timing and severity of a sell-off, it’s better to put your effort into following great companies and limiting mistakes.

In sum, diversification, conviction, and good companies are components that can help you build an investment suspension system capable of absorbing sell-off shocks.

Daniel Foelber has positions in ASML and Nvidia and has the following options: short November 2025 $820 calls on ASML. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends ASML, Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, Amazon, Applied Materials, Intel, Lam Research, Microsoft, Nvidia, Oracle, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft, short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft, and short November 2025 $21 puts on Intel. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Why Hillenbrand Stock Skyrocketed Today

The company is being taken off the market for a substantial premium.

One of the better-performing stocks on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) Wednesday was Hillenbrand (HI 18.20%). The specialized industrial company saw its share price leap more than 18% on news that it’s going private in a splashy buyout deal. That rise was far more pronounced than the S&P 500‘s (^GSPC 0.40%) 0.4% bump.

A $3.8 billion buyout

Before the NYSE opened for trading that day, Hillenbrand announced it has signed a definitive agreement to be acquired by an unnamed affiliate of private equity firm Lone Star Funds. The deal will be effected entirely in cash, to the tune of $32 per Hillenbrand share. All told, the company said, the enterprise value of the arrangement is around $3.8 billion.

Happy person using headphones and a phone while lying on a couch.

Image source: Getty Images.

Hillenbrand said that the purchase price represents a premium of around 37% over its Aug. 12 closing share price.

In the press release trumpeting the deal, the company quoted chairperson of its board of directors Helen Cornell as saying that it “delivers immediate and certain cash value to our shareholders at a substantial premium to recent trading.”

She added that it also “positions Hillenbrand to continue meeting and exceeding customers’ needs for highly engineered, mission-critical processing equipment and solutions.”

Bye bye, stock market

When the buyout closes, Hillenbrand will delist from the NYSE, and thus no longer be publicly traded. The company anticipates the buyout will be completed by the end of the first calendar quarter of 2026. It is subject to approval by its shareholders, and that of the relevant regulatory bodies.

Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Why Did Advanced Micro Devices Stock Soar 9.4% Today?

AMD stock was flying today. Here’s why.

Shares of Advanced Micro Devices (AMD 9.36%) jumped on Wednesday, finishing the day up 9.4%. The spike came as the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.4% and 0.6%, respectively.

The chipmaker’s stock is continuing to surge after Oracle announced it intends to deploy 50,000 AMD chips by the end of 2026.

Oracle will use AMD

Oracle, an increasingly central player in AI cloud computing, will purchase 50,000 of AMD’s next-generation MI450 chips to power its servers. The chips are designed to compete head-to-head with those of Nvidia.

This is the latest in a string of announcements that make clear that AMD has a much more substantial role to play in AI than it has up to this point. Just this month, OpenAI and AMD announced a major deal that could see the ChatGPT creator owning roughly 10% of the company in exchange for purchasing a large number of AMD chips.

A computer chip.

Image source: Getty Images.

Speaking to AMD’s growing role, Karan Batta, senior vice president of Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, said she expects customers “to take up AMD very, very well — especially in the inferencing space.”

AMD looks to be capitalizing on the AI opportunity, and if AI demand holds, it could do very well. While the stock is anything but cheap, it’s a good pick given its growth prospects.

Johnny Rice has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, Nvidia, and Oracle. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Chesapeake Asset Management Begins Investing in Ryder System. Is the Stock a Buy?

What happened

Chesapeake Asset Management LLC disclosed a new position in Ryder System (R -0.12%), according to a quarterly report filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on October 15, 2025 (SEC filing). The fund purchased 19,350 shares during the period, bringing the position’s value to approximately $3.08 million as of June 30, 2025. This trade represents an estimated 2.78% of the fund’s $110.74 million in U.S. equity holdings.

What else to know

This is a new position for the fund, representing 2.78% of 13F reportable assets under management following the trade.

Chesapeake’s top five fund holdings after the filing are:

  • NASDAQ:MSFT: $11.41 million (10.0% of AUM) as of 2025-06-30
  • NYSE:LLY: $6.94 million (6.2% of AUM) as of 2025-06-30
  • NYSE:SPOT: $6.27 million (5.6% of AUM) as of 2025-06-30
  • NASDAQ:AAPL: $5.99 million (5.4% of AUM) as of 2025-06-30
  • NYSE:JPM: $5.52 million (5.0% of AUM) as of 2025-06-30

As of October 14, 2025, Ryder System shares were priced at $182.01, up 20.07% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 by 6.68 percentage points over the same period

Company Overview

Metric Value
Revenue (TTM) $12.72 billion
Net Income (TTM) $505.00 million
Dividend Yield 1.83%
Price (as of market close 2025-10-14) $182.01

Company Snapshot

Ryder System, Inc. is a leading provider of logistics and transportation solutions, operating globally with a diversified service portfolio. The company leverages its scale and expertise to deliver integrated fleet management and supply chain services to enterprise customers.

The company generates revenue through leasing and maintenance contracts, rental fees, logistics services, and the sale of used vehicles, offering integrated solutions to optimize clients’ transportation and supply chain operations.

A trucker sits in the cab of his truck.

IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.

Ryder System provides fleet management, supply chain solutions, and dedicated transportation services, including full-service leasing, commercial vehicle rental, and logistics management.

It serves businesses across industries with large-scale transportation and logistics needs, targeting corporate clients seeking efficiency, reliability, and scalability in fleet and supply chain management.

Foolish take

Chesapeake Asset Management starting a new position in transportation giant Ryder System is noteworthy. The investment isn’t small; Ryder stock sits just outside the financial management company’s top five holdings at the number six position.

Ryder had a rough 2023 with sales down 2% year over year, but it undertook changes to its business, bouncing back strong in 2024 with 7% year-over-year revenue growth to $12.6 billion. However, sales results in 2025 have been mixed. Through the first half of this year, revenue of $6.3 billion was flat compared to 2024.

But that’s not the whole story. Ryder expects its free cash flow (FCF) for the year to reach between $900 million and $1 billion. This sum far outpaces the $133 million in FCF produced last year, and will allow it to continue paying its robust dividend.

Moreover, the company adopted cost-saving initiatives that helped it increase diluted earnings per share (EPS) by 11% year over year to $3.15 in the second quarter. That’s the third consecutive quarter of double-digit EPS growth.

Ryder’s transformation from its difficult 2023 is delivering benefits to shareholders through higher EPS and FCF even though topline sales have not been impressive in 2025. These factors probably contributed to Chesapeake’s decision to begin investing in Ryder, which looks like a solid stock to buy for income investors.

Glossary

13F reportable assets: Assets that investment managers must disclose quarterly to the SEC if they exceed $100 million in U.S. equity holdings.
Assets under management (AUM): The total market value of investments managed on behalf of clients by a fund or firm.
Position: The amount of a particular security or investment held by an investor or fund.
Stake: The ownership interest or share an investor holds in a company or asset.
Top five holdings: The five largest investments in a fund’s portfolio, usually by market value.
Outperforming: Achieving a higher return than a specific benchmark or index over a given period.
Dividend yield: A financial ratio showing how much a company pays in dividends each year relative to its share price.
Fleet management: Services that oversee and coordinate commercial vehicles for businesses, including maintenance, leasing, and logistics.
Supply chain solutions: Services that help businesses manage the flow of goods, information, and resources from suppliers to customers.
Full-service leasing: A leasing arrangement where the provider handles maintenance, repairs, and other services for the leased asset.
Logistics management: The planning and coordination of moving goods and resources efficiently through a supply chain.
TTM: The 12-month period ending with the most recent quarterly report.

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Robert Izquierdo has positions in Apple, JPMorgan Chase, and Microsoft. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple, JPMorgan Chase, Microsoft, and Spotify Technology. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Davenport & Company Buys Another $47 Million Worth of UnitedHealth Group (NYSE: UNH) Stock

On October 15, 2025, Davenport & Co LLC disclosed a purchase of 155,551 shares of UnitedHealth Group (UNH) for the period ended Q3 2025, an estimated $47.04 million trade.

What happened

An SEC filing dated October 15, 2025 shows Davenport increased its position in UnitedHealth Group (UNH 0.38%) by 155,551 shares during Q3 2025.

The estimated transaction value, based on the average closing price during the quarter, was approximately $47.04 million.

The post-trade position reached 739,525 shares, with a market value of $255.34 million.

What else to know

Following this buy, UnitedHealth Group accounts for 1.36% of Davenport $18.76 billion in 13F reportable assets

The firm’s top holdings after the filing:

  1. Brookfield Corp: $583.81 million (3.13% of AUM)
  2. Microsoft: $478.54 million (2.56% of AUM) as of 2025-09-30
  3. Amazon: $451.10 million (2.42% of AUM) as of 2025-09-30
  4. Markel: $391.43 million (2.1% of AUM) as of 2025-09-30
  5. Nvidia: $375.98 million (2.01% of AUM) as of 2025-09-30

As of October 14, 2025, shares of UnitedHealth Group were priced at $359.93, down 40.6% over the prior year and underperforming the S&P 500 by 53 percentage points over the same period.

Company Overview

Metric Value
Price (as of market close 2025-10-14) $359.93
Market Capitalization $325.98 billion
Revenue (TTM) $422.82 billion
Net Income (TTM) $21.30 billion

Company Snapshot

UnitedHealth Group:

  • Offers health benefit plans, pharmacy care services, healthcare management, and data analytics solutions through segments including UnitedHealthcare and Optum.
  • Generates revenue primarily from insurance premiums, healthcare services, and pharmacy benefit management, leveraging scale and integrated platforms.
  • Serves national and public sector employers, government programs (Medicare, Medicaid), individuals, and healthcare providers across the United States.

UnitedHealth Group is a leading diversified healthcare company with a broad national footprint and an integrated business model spanning insurance, pharmacy benefits, and healthcare services. The company maintains a competitive edge through its extensive provider networks, data-driven solutions, and ability to serve a wide range of customer segments.

Foolish take

Davenport & Company continued to add to their UnitedHealth position, which now accounts for 1.4% of the firm’s portfolio and is its 9th-largest position.

What makes Davenport’s purchases over the last two quarters noteworthy is that they are essentially doubling down on the company right after its stock sold off heavily.

Hampered by ballooning medical costs, changes in leadership, reduced guidance, and mounting regulatory pressure, UnitedHealth’s stock dropped 39% from its highs in just the last six months.

While UnitedHealth has become a battleground stock of sorts lately, it received a major lift after Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway disclosed it took a $1.6 billion stake in the stock in the second quarter of 2025.

That is great company for Davenport to join, as it also adds to its stake in UnitedHealth.

Regardless of the headwinds facing UnitedHealth, the company remains one of the most dominant health insurers in the United States.

Currently trading at just 16 times earnings and 13 times free cash flow, the risk-reward ratio on UnitedHealth Group is very appealing.

Glossary

13F reportable AUM: Assets under management that must be disclosed in quarterly SEC Form 13F filings by institutional investment managers.
Quarterly average price: The average price of a security over a specific quarter, used for estimating transaction values.
Post-trade holdings: The total number of shares or value held in a security after a trade is completed.
Top holdings: The largest investments in a fund or portfolio, ranked by market value.
Pharmacy benefit management: Services that manage prescription drug programs for health plans, employers, and government programs.
Integrated platforms: Systems that combine multiple services or business functions into a unified offering.
Provider networks: Groups of healthcare professionals and facilities contracted to deliver services to insurance plan members.
Medicare: A U.S. federal health insurance program for people aged 65 and older, and certain younger individuals with disabilities.
Medicaid: A joint federal and state program in the U.S. providing health coverage to eligible low-income individuals.
TTM: The 12-month period ending with the most recent quarterly report.

Josh Kohn-Lindquist has positions in Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway, Brookfield, Brookfield Corporation, Markel Group, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool recommends UnitedHealth Group and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Large Investment Manager Hits the Eject Button on Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock. Should Retail Investors Look to Buy on the Dip?

On October 14, 2025, CCLA Investment Management disclosed it had sold its entire position in NICE (NICE -1.26%) in an estimated $120.03 million transaction.

What Happened

According to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission dated October 14, 2025, CCLA Investment Management exited its holding in NICE by selling all 710,865 shares, with an estimated trade value of $120.03 million.

What Else to Know

CCLA Investment Management sold out of NICE, reducing its post-trade stake to zero; the position now represents 0% of 13F AUM.

Top holdings following the filing:

  • NASDAQ:MSFT – $369.63 million (5.9% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025
  • NASDAQ:GOOGL – $345.87 million (5.5% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025
  • NASDAQ:AMZN – $269.0 million (4.3% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025
  • NASDAQ:AVGO – $207.92 million (3.3% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025
  • NYSE:V – $180.65 million (2.9% of AUM) as of September 30, 2025

As of October 13, 2025, shares of NICE were priced at $132.00, marking a 23.8% decrease over the year ended October 13, 2025. Over the same period, shares have underperformed the S&P 500 by 35.5 percentage points.

Company Overview

Metric Value
Revenue (TTM) $2.84 billion
Net Income (TTM) $541.15 million
Price (as of market close 2025-10-13) $132.00
One-Year Price Change (23.83%)

Company Snapshot

NICE Ltd. delivers AI-powered cloud software solutions designed to optimize customer experience and enhance compliance for enterprises and public sector organizations worldwide. The company leverages a broad portfolio of proprietary platforms and analytics tools to address complex business needs in digital transformation, financial crime prevention, and operational efficiency.

The company offers AI-driven cloud platforms for customer experience, financial crime prevention, analytics, and digital evidence management, including flagship products such as CXone, Enlighten, and X-Sight.

NICE Ltd. serves a global client base of enterprises, contact centers, financial institutions, and public safety agencies seeking advanced automation, compliance, and customer engagement solutions. It operates a subscription-based business model, generating revenue from cloud services, software licensing, and value-added solutions for enterprise and public sector clients.

Foolish Take

In a recent regulatory filing, CCLA Investment Management revealed that it has completely sold out of its ~$120 million position in NICE, an Israeli software company. This move comes following a tough period for NICE stock.

Over the last five years, the company’s stock has consistently underperformed the broader market. Shares have logged a total return of (44%) over this period, equating to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of (11%). This compares quite unfavorably to the S&P 500, which has generated a total return of 105% over the last five years, equating to a CAGR of 15%.

All that said, NICE’s stock performance doesn’t reflect its underlying fundamentals. Total revenue, net income, and free cash flow have all increased significantly over the last five years, indicating strength in the company’s business model, which relies on artificial intelligence (AI) to power applications serving contact centers, financial institutions, and public safety organizations. Moreover, the company recently announced plans to buy back up to $500 million worth of its outstanding shares, which could help put a floor under its share price.

While CCLA’s recent sale does indicate the deterioration of some institutional support, retail investors may want to take a look at NICE — an under-the-radar AI growth stock.

Glossary

13F reportable assets: Assets disclosed by institutional investment managers in quarterly SEC Form 13F filings.

AUM (Assets Under Management): The total market value of investments managed by a fund or investment firm on behalf of clients.

Quarterly average price: The average price of a security over a specific quarter, often used to estimate transaction values.

Post-trade stake: The number of shares or value held in a position after a trade is completed.

Flagship products: A company’s leading or most prominent products, often representing its brand or core offerings.

Cloud platforms: Online computing environments that provide scalable software and services over the internet.

Digital evidence management: Systems for storing, organizing, and analyzing electronic data used in investigations or compliance.

Financial crime prevention: Technologies and practices designed to detect and stop illegal financial activities, such as fraud or money laundering.

Compliance: Adhering to laws, regulations, and industry standards relevant to a business or sector.

TTM: The 12-month period ending with the most recent quarterly report.

Operational efficiency: The ability of a company to deliver products or services using minimal resources and costs.

Jake Lerch has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, and Visa. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, Nice, and Visa. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Gold hits fresh record, European stock markets rise after Fed comments


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European stocks rose on Wednesday morning after a string of strong corporate results a day earlier, while equities were also boosted by remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. In Philadelphia on Tuesday, Powell suggested that another interest rate cut could come later this month in the US.

In Europe, shares in Netherlands-headquartered ASML, which makes equipment used in the production of AI chips, jumped after the company posted promising results on Wednesday.

The shares rose more than 4%, after Europe’s largest company by market value reported third-quarter earnings fuelled by the AI boom. ASML’s stocks have rallied by almost 50% since August.

Meanwhile, on Wednesday, French multinational luxury group LVMH said its organic growth re-entered positive territory in the third quarter. The luxury giant’s shares jumped by more than 14% by 13.00 CEST.

The mood in France also shifted on news that the government had significantly improved its chances of surviving a looming no-confidence vote on Thursday.

On Tuesday, Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu won the much-needed support of the Socialist Party in France’s National Assembly, in exchange for suspending a pension law that raises the retirement age. The CAC 40 in Paris jumped over 2% by 13.00 CEST.

The main European benchmark stock exchanges were also in the green, except for London’s FTSE 100, which lost 0.43%. Meanwhile, the DAX in Frankfurt gained less than 0.1%. Milan’s FTSE MIB was up by 0.36%, Madrid’s Ibex 35 gained 0.71% and the STOXX 600 saw a 0.6% gain.

Gold continued its rally, hitting a high of $4,217 per ounce. Gold has soared over 60% in 2025 as investors seek a safe haven during a period of uncertainty, notably driven by US tariffs and trade tensions.

Global markets are on the rise after the Fed Chair’s words

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signalled on Tuesday that the Fed is slightly more worried about the job market, raising expectations that the central bank will come through with another rate cut.

“Rising downside risks to employment have shifted our assessment of the balance of risks,” he said at a meeting of the National Association of Business Economics in Philadelphia.

Traders took his words to heart, particularly as the US government shutdown has prevented the release of fresh economic data.

“[Investors were] reading Powell like a haiku — every pause, every syllable weighed for hidden meaning,” Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management said in a commentary.

“The message, once decoded, was clear enough: two rate cuts aren’t just a possibility, they’re the main course,” Innes said.

The central bank cut its benchmark interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point in September amid worries that unemployment could worsen.

“Markets have been lifted by the rekindling of rate cut expectations in the US after comments from Fed chair Jerome Powell, which highlighted sluggish hiring were taken as an indication that not one, but two further cuts were very much on the table for 2025,” said Danni Hewson, AJ Bell head of financial analysis.

“Buoyed by continued deal-making in the frothy AI sector, investors seem prepared to overlook the growing number of warnings about the potential for a market correction at the moment, but this earnings season will be crucial if that optimism is to continue.”

S&P 500 futures rose 0.64% during the early afternoon in Europe, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures gained 0.41%. Nasdaq futures were up by 0.79%.

On Tuesday, US markets closed a mixed trading day, with the S&P 500 giving up 0.16% and the Dow climbing 0.44%. The Nasdaq composite dropped 0.76%.

Markets remain volatile as the US and China exchange threats of new trade sanctions and tariffs.

Technology stocks are hypersensitive to trade issues since big chipmakers and other companies rely on China for raw materials and manufacturing. China’s large consumer base is also important for its sales growth.

In other dealings early Wednesday, US benchmark crude oil was circling around $58.65 per barrel (€50.43) and Brent crude, the international standard, was traded around $62.24 (€53.52) per barrel.

The US dollar slipped 0.25% against the Japanese yen, while the euro rose 0.19% against the dollar. The British Pound gained 0.35% against the greenback.

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Uber Is Backing This Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock That Soared 67% Over the Past Year. Should You?

Serve Robotics (SERV -0.55%) develops autonomous last-mile logistics solutions. It has a major deal with Uber Technologies (NYSE: UBER) that will see thousands of its latest robots deployed into the Uber Eats food delivery network. But this is more than just a commercial partnership, because Uber is also one of Serve’s largest shareholders.

Uber acquired a company called Postmates in 2020, and in 2021, it spun Postmates’ robotics division out into a new company that became Serve Robotics. Serve is still relatively small with a market capitalization of just $890 million, but at the time of this writing, its stock has soared by 67% over the past year alone.

Serve has identified an enormous addressable market for its delivery robots, so should investors join Uber and buy the stock?

An autonomous delivery robot driving along the sidewalk.

Image source: Getty Images.

A potential $450 billion opportunity

Existing last-mile logistics networks are quite inefficient, because they rely on cars with human drivers to deliver relatively small commercial loads from restaurants and retail stores. Serve is betting those workloads will increasingly shift to autonomous robots and drones, creating a potential $450 billion opportunity by 2030.

Serve’s latest Gen 3 robots have achieved Level 4 autonomy, meaning they can safely operate on sidewalks in designated areas without any human intervention. This makes them ideal for transporting small food orders, which is why 2,500 restaurants in five U.S. cities have used them to make 100,000 deliveries since 2022.

The Gen 3 robots use Nvidia‘s Jetson Orin platform, which includes all of the computing hardware and artificial intelligence (AI) software they need to operate autonomously. Having such a powerful technology partner will help Serve scale as quickly as possible, which is key to bringing costs down to management’s target of just $1 per delivery. At that point, using robots will be substantially cheaper than using human drivers.

Serve has a contract with Uber Eats to deploy 2,000 robots across Los Angeles, Miami, Dallas, Atlanta, and Chicago before the end of 2025. The company rolled out its 1,000th robot on Oct. 6, meaning its capacity will double in just the next few months.

But it won’t stop there, because last week Serve announced a new multiyear deal with DoorDash, which operates the largest food delivery network in the U.S. The two companies are yet to provide firm numbers, so it’s unclear how many more robots Serve will have to deploy.

Scaling a robotics business is not cheap

Despite its status as a publicly traded company, Serve is still very much a start-up. Its revenue tends to be quite lumpy, which is typical when a product is in the early stages of commercialization. The company brought in just $642,000 in revenue during the second quarter of 2025 (ended June 30), which is a tiny amount relative to its $890 million market cap.

But Serve’s business could scale extremely quickly. Management thinks the company will generate up to $80 million in annual revenue once all 2,000 Gen 3 robots are up and running, which bodes well for 2026. Wall Street predicts Serve will generate $3.6 million in total revenue this year (according to Yahoo! Finance), so $80 million would be a monumental jump.

But so far, the road to commercialization has been paved with substantial losses. Serve lost $33.7 million on a generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) basis during the first half of 2025, so it’s on track to exceed its 2024 loss of $39.2 million by a very wide margin. The company spent $16 million on research and development alone during the first half of this year, so based on its minuscule revenues, its losses are no surprise.

Serve had $183 million in cash on hand as of June 30, and it raised a further $100 million from investors in October, so it has enough cushion to sustain its losses for the next few years (assuming they don’t materially increase). However, if the company doesn’t chart a pathway to profitability by then, it might have to raise even more money, which will dilute existing shareholders.

As a result, there is a lot riding on the successful commercialization of Serve’s 2,000 Gen 3 robots.

Serve stock trades at a sky-high valuation, but is it a buy?

Serve stock is extremely expensive right now. Its price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is a mind-boggling 486, making it substantially more expensive than any other major AI stock. Palantir Technologies, which also trades at a sky-high valuation, looks cheap by comparison because its P/S ratio is 128. For some further perspective, Nvidia stock has a P/S ratio of just 27.

SERV PS Ratio Chart

SERV PS Ratio data by YCharts

With that said, if we assume Serve will generate around $80 million in revenue next year, its forward P/S ratio is just 11. In other words, it almost looks like a bargain.

But investors can’t always rely on management’s guidance, especially in this case because it assumes a perfectly smooth transition to commercialization for the Gen 3 robot. As with any new product, there will probably be bumps in the road, and we simply don’t know if it will scale successfully.

As a result, investors might be better off waiting a few more quarters to see if the rollout of the robots actually translates into as much tangible revenue as management expects. If it doesn’t, Serve stock could suffer a sharp correction because of its current valuation.

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Argent Capital Managment Dumps $60 Million Worth of Copart (NASDAQ: CPRT) Shares: Is the Stock a Sell?

Argent Capital Management LLC pared its holding in Copart (CPRT 1.70%) by 1,262,984 shares during Q3 2025, an estimated $59.52 million trade based on the average price for the quarter, according to an SEC filing dated October 14, 2025.

What happened

According to its Form 13-F filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on October 14, 2025 (see filing), the firm reduced its Copart position by 1,262,984 shares during Q3 2025.

The estimated value of the shares sold, calculated using the period’s average closing price, was $59.52 million. The fund reported a remaining position of 162,339 shares at quarter-end.

What else to know

This was a reduction in the Copart stake, which now represents 0.2% of the firm’s 13F reportable assets under management as of Q3 2025.

Argent’s top holdings after the filing:

  • Microsoft: $251.95 million (6.9% of AUM as of 2025-09-30)
  • Nvidia: $237.98 million (6.5% of AUM as of 2025-09-30)
  • Amazon: $213.08 million (5.8% of AUM as of 2025-09-30)
  • Alphabet: $194.75 million (5.3% of AUM as of 2025-09-30)
  • Mastercard: $126.28 million (3.5% of AUM as of 2025-09-30)

As of October 13, 2025, Copart shares were priced at $44.07, down 20% over the one-year period ending October 13, 2025, underperforming the S&P 500 by 36 percentage points over the same time.

Company Overview

Metric Value
Market Capitalization $43.41 billion
Revenue (TTM) $4.65 billion
Net Income (TTM) $1.55 billion
Price (as of market close 2025-10-13) $44.07

Company Snapshot

Copart provides online auctions and vehicle remarketing services, including virtual bidding, salvage estimation, and end-of-life vehicle processing across North America, Europe, and select international markets.

It operates a digital marketplace facilitating the sale and purchase of vehicles, generating revenue through transaction fees, service charges, and value-added offerings such as vehicle transportation and title processing.

The company serves insurance companies, banks, fleet operators, dealerships, vehicle dismantlers, exporters, and individual buyers seeking to acquire or dispose of vehicles efficiently.

Copart, Inc. provides online auctions and vehicle remarketing services internationally, leveraging advanced virtual auction technology to connect sellers and buyers of vehicles across multiple continents. With a scalable digital platform and a comprehensive suite of remarketing and logistics services, Copart enables efficient disposition of vehicles for institutional and individual clients alike.

Foolish take

While Argent Capital Management still holds a few shares of Copart, the firm all but sold out of its position, reducing its portfolio allocation in the stock from 2% to 0.2%.

Since the stock seemed to be a longer-term holding for Argent, this seems mildly worrisome to Copart shareholders — myself included.

Though it’s impossible to know what exactly prompted the firm to nearly liquidate its holdings in the company, Copart’s results have been underwhelming this year, causing its slightly expensive stock to slide 30% from its high.

After growing sales by 15% annually over the last decade, Copart’s revenue growth slid to 13%, 7%, and finally 5% over the previous three quarters.

Ultimately, I’ll have to disagree with Argent on Copart as I believe the company has a wide moat around its operations that will make it hard to disrupt.

That said, Copart still trades at 28 times earnings, even after this year’s drop, so Argent may have simply thought it had grown beyond its valuation as a more mature company.

Glossary

13F reportable AUM: Assets under management that must be disclosed by institutional investment managers in quarterly SEC Form 13F filings.
Form 13-F: A quarterly SEC filing by institutional investment managers listing their U.S. equity holdings.
Quarter (Q3 2025): The third three-month period of a company’s fiscal year, here referring to July–September 2025.
Transaction value: The total dollar amount generated by a specific buy or sell trade.
Stake: The ownership interest or investment a fund or individual holds in a particular company.
Assets under management (AUM): The total market value of investments managed on behalf of clients by a fund or firm.
Digital marketplace: An online platform where buyers and sellers conduct transactions for goods or services, such as vehicles.
Vehicle remarketing: The process of reselling used or end-of-lease vehicles, often through auctions or specialized platforms.
Salvage estimation: The process of assessing the value of damaged or end-of-life vehicles for resale or parts.
End-of-life vehicle processing: Handling and disposing of vehicles that are no longer operational, often for recycling or parts.
Value-added offerings: Additional services provided beyond basic transactions, such as transportation or title processing, to enhance customer value.
TTM: The 12-month period ending with the most recent quarterly report.

Josh Kohn-Lindquist has positions in Alphabet, Copart, Mastercard, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Copart, Mastercard, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Think It's Too Late to Buy Broadcom Stock? Here's Why the Stock Could Still Run Higher.

Key Points

  • Broadcom is supplying data centers with mission-critical chips and networking products for artificial intelligence (AI).

  • Growing free cash flow should support higher share prices over time.

Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) is playing a key role in supplying data centers with custom chips and networking products. Strong revenue and free-cash-flow growth have pushed the stock to new highs this year, with shares up 54% year to date through market close Oct. 13.

The stock is up more than 500% since the end of 2022, when the artificial intelligence (AI) boom started. However, there are important reasons why the stock will likely climb higher in 2026 and beyond.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue »

A computer chip with the letters AI on it installed in a metal rack.

Image source: Getty Images.

Broadcom is printing cash

Broadcom has a long history of delivering profitable growth, which has led to market-beating returns. Its free-cash-flow growth has accelerated over the last year. Free cash flow through the first three quarters of fiscal 2025 was 40% larger than the year-ago period. This shows Broadcom’s margins expanding from higher sales of custom AI accelerators and strong growth from its software business.

Its order backlog hit a record $110 billion, which is significantly higher than its trailing-12-month revenue of $60 billion. Spending on AI infrastructure by hyperscalers is expected to reach $350 billion this year, meaning more money could be headed Broadcom’s way. Data center spending is expected to grow into the trillions by the end of the decade.

Broadcom’s cash-rich business should fuel investment in more innovation that rewards shareholders. This is a quality semiconductor stock to profit off of the AI boom.

Should you invest $1,000 in Broadcom right now?

Before you buy stock in Broadcom, consider this:

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Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $657,412!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,154,376!*

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*Stock Advisor returns as of October 13, 2025

John Ballard has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Is Quantum Computing a Millionaire-Maker Stock?

Look past the hype and access whether it has strong fundamentals.

With shares up 2,500% over the last 12 months, Quantum Computing (QUBT 1.49%) is sure to attract the attention of growth-focused investors. The stock is surging based on industrywide optimism. But is this rally driven by fundamentals or hype? Let’s dig deeper into the pros and cons of Quantum Computing, also known as QCi, to decide if the shares are a solid long-term buy.

What is special about quantum computing?

Quantum computing is a branch of computer science and physics that aims to create devices capable of solving the world’s most difficult problems exponentially faster than today’s fastest supercomputers. And we aren’t talking 30 minutes faster; we are talking over a million years faster. If the technology works, it will allow humans to do things that were previously impossible with current technology.

It doesn’t take a supercomputer to see the vast commercial opportunities that viable quantum computers could unlock. Analysts expect them to help rapidly discover new pharmaceutical drug candidates and chemical structures, and even help train artificial intelligence (AI) models.

Quantum Computing (QCi) aims to position itself on the picks-and-shovels side of this opportunity, supplying hardware products like chips, sensors, and communication devices. It also claims to have the first of its kind foundry for processing thin-film lithium niobate (TFLN), a next-generation material useful for advanced telecommunication platforms.

QCi’s TFLN foundry is located in Tempe, Arizona, and its made-in-America approach could attract government support amid the accelerating technology arms race between the U.S. and China.

But what about the fundamentals?

While cutting-edge technologies often sound exciting, it is essential to remember that they won’t always translate to commercial success, especially in the near term. Furthermore, the start-ups with the most valuable patents and processes are often acquired by larger companies or kept private to maximize returns for their owners. So when small speculative companies like QCi go public, it’s important to ask why.

Shocked investor looking at a computer screen

Image source: Getty Images.

The company’s second-quarter earnings report gives some clues about the pressure it is under. Revenue collapsed 67% year over year to just $61,000 (that’s less than the median annual salary of a U.S. tech worker). Meanwhile, operating costs are spiraling out of control, with research and development more than doubling to $5.98 million.

As a speculative tech company, QCi probably can’t trim its research and development outflows too much without risking falling behind other players in the industry. And it is important to note that quantum computing is shaping up to be a competitive arena, with tech giants like Alphabet and Nvidia also aiming to establish themselves in the picks-and-shovels niche. These larger, well-capitalized companies will be able to spend more on research and leverage larger supply chains.

Is Quantum Computing a millionaire-maker stock?

QCi is clearly under a lot of pressure because of its minuscule revenue, heavy losses, and the pressure to keep up its research spending. By going public, management now has the ability to raise more money by creating and selling more units of its own stock. While this strategy keeps the business afloat, it can hurt existing shareholders by diluting their ownership stake in the company and their claim on its future profits.

In August, QCi announced a $500 million share offering, which increased its share count by a jaw-dropping 26.9 million. And the company already has 159,883,187 shares outstanding as of the second quarter. Expect this number to continue expanding over time.

While QCi could potentially be a millionaire-maker stock in the right conditions, the risks far outweigh the rewards right now. And fundamentals-focused investors should look for better opportunities.

Will Ebiefung has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Why Constellation Energy Stock Crept Higher on Tuesday

Key Points

Constellation Energy Group (NASDAQ: CEG) saw a decent bump in its stock price on Tuesday following news that a company it will soon own has received funding for a new power plant. Constellation’s shares closed the day more than 2% higher, a rate high enough to beat the S&P 500 index’s 0.3% rise.

Peak progress

Constellation’s asset-to-be is privately held utility Calpine, which announced Tuesday afternoon it had secured a loan agreement with the Texas Energy Fund for the facility. Specifically, Calpine plans to construct a 460-megawatt peaking facility — an electric power plant that runs only at times of peak demand — adjacent to its Freestone Energy Center in the state.

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Two workers in front of a set of wind turbines.

Image source: Getty Images.

The Texas Energy Fund is a state initiative aimed at supporting the development of power resources like Calpine’s planned facility. The company did not provide any financial details on the loan agreement in its press release on the matter.

The peaking facility is already under construction, and Calpine said it should be operational in 2026.

A $16 billion-plus deal

Constellation reached a deal to acquire Calpine back in January. The purchase is still awaiting approval from the relevant regulatory bodies, and is expected to close at some point this quarter. All told, Constellation is paying roughly $16.4 billion for the company in a cash-and-stock deal that includes assuming around $12.7 billion of Calpine’s debt.

Should you invest $1,000 in Constellation Energy right now?

Before you buy stock in Constellation Energy, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Constellation Energy wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $657,412!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,154,376!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 1,075% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 190% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of October 13, 2025

Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Constellation Energy. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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1 Growth Stock and 1 High-Yield Dividend Stock to Buy Hand Over Fist in October

Netflix and Texas Instruments are cash cows that investors can confidently hold over the long term.

It’s easy to feel complacent in today’s market. The S&P 500 hasn’t fallen by more than 3% from its all-time high for over five months — meaning volatility is virtually nonexistent.

Artificial intelligence (AI) spending deals are resulting in big stock pops and record runs for chip giants. The rift between winners and losers is growing, with just a handful of stocks making up a massive percentage of the index. That said, it’s a mistake to sell winning stocks just because they have gone up. So a better approach is to stay even-keeled and build a balanced financial portfolio.

Here’s why Netflix (NFLX -0.07%) is a growth stock that can back up its expensive valuation, and why Texas Instruments (TXN 1.95%) is a reliable high-yield dividend stock to buy in October.

Two people smile while walking by a large Netflix logo in a lobby.

Image source: Netflix.

Netflix is worth the premium price

Like many growth stocks, Netflix’s valuation is arguably overextended. But it could still be a good buy for patient investors. The simplest reason to buy and hold Netflix is that the company has become somewhat recession-proof. It is one of the few consumer-facing companies that continues to deliver solid earnings growth despite a challenging operating environment.

Inflation and cost-of-living increases have been no match for Netflix. Despite a crackdown on password sharing and price increases, Netflix’s subscribers are sticking with the platform — which is a great sign that folks believe the subscription is worth paying for, even as they pull back on other discretionary goods and services like restaurant spending.

Netflix is a textbook example of the effectiveness of boosting the quality of a product or service to justify higher prices. The company isn’t just making the same bag of chips and hiking the price in the hopes that customers give in and buy. Rather, the value of the platform has grown immensely due to the depth, breadth, and quality of its content.

Netflix’s business model acts like a snowball. The more subscribers there are, the more revenue it generates, the more content it can create, the more valuable the platform becomes, and the greater the justification for increasing prices.

What Netflix is doing sounds simple, but it is far from it. It has taken Netflix well over a decade to perfect its craft — developing content that resonates with subscribers of all interests. No other streaming platform comes close to replicating this efficiency, as evidenced by Netflix’s sky-high operating margins of 29%.

At about 47 times forward earnings, Netflix is far from cheap. But it’s the kind of stock that can grow into its valuation because the business can do well even during an economic slowdown.

A dividend play in the semiconductor space

The semiconductor industry has been soaring — led by massive gains in Nvidia, Broadcom, and most recently, Advanced Micro Devices. The iShares Semiconductor ETF, which tracks the industry, is up a mind-numbing 34.7% year to date — outpacing the broader tech sector’s 24.8% gain. So investors may be wondering why Texas Instruments, commonly known as TI, is down over 4% in 2025.

The most likely reason TI is underperforming the semiconductor industry is that it doesn’t sell graphics processing units and central processing units, which are in high demand by hyperscalers to build out data centers. Instead, TI makes analog and embedded semiconductors that are used across the economy.

The industrial and automotive markets accounted for around 70% of TI’s 2024 revenue. So this is a far different business model than chip companies that are playing integral roles in building out data centers. In fact, TI’s core business is in the midst of a multi-year slowdown, as evidenced by TI’s negative earnings growth.

Despite these challenges, the company is a coiled spring for a cyclical recovery in its key end markets. Lower interest rates should help boost spending by industrial customers and jolt demand in the automotive industry.

TI is a great buy for investors who value free cash flow and dividends. In its 2024 annual report, TI stated, “Looking ahead, we will remain focused on the belief that long-term growth of free cash flow per share is the ultimate measure to generate value. To achieve this, we will invest to strengthen our competitive advantages, be disciplined in capital allocation, and stay diligent in our pursuit of efficiencies.” This is a far different mantra than companies that are throwing capital expenditures at shiny new ideas.

With a 3.2% dividend yield and 22 consecutive years of dividend increases, TI stands out as an excellent buy for income investors in October.

Daniel Foelber has positions in Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, Netflix, Nvidia, Texas Instruments, and iShares Trust-iShares Semiconductor ETF. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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The S&P 500 Is Poised to Do Something That’s Only Happened 11 Times in 100 Years — and It Could Signal a Big Move for the Stock Market in 2026

The third time just might be the charm for investors.

Is past and present stock market performance a good predictor of how the market will perform in the future? It can be sometimes. Otherwise, no one would bother incorporating historical stock data into models that attempt to project future performance.

With that in mind, investors might want to pay attention to what’s going on now with the S&P 500 (^GSPC 1.56%) in relation to what it’s done in years past. The benchmark index is poised to do something that’s only happened 11 times in 100 years. And it could signal a big move for the stock market in 2026.

A person wearing glasses that are reflecting stock charts.

Image source: Getty Images.

The third time’s the charm

The S&P 500 soared 26% in 2023. It followed with a 25% gain in 2024. As of the market close on Oct. 10, 2025, the S&P is up a little over 11%. As things stand right now, it’s on course to finish the year with a double-digit percentage gain for the third consecutive year.

Such an achievement is rarer than you might think. Over the last 100 years, the S&P 500 has delivered double-digit returns for three consecutive years only 11 times. Technically, the index has only existed in its current form, including 500 companies, for 68 years. However, the S&P 500’s predecessor — the S&P 90 — dates back to 1926.

Granted, the stock market could end 2025 on a negative note. President Trump’s latest threat of additional 100% tariffs on all Chinese imports, on top of 30% tariffs already in place, is causing significant angst among investors.

It doesn’t help matters that the S&P 500 has been trading at record highs. The Buffett indicator, a ratio of total U.S. stock market capitalization to GDP, is well above a level that its namesake, legendary investor Warren Buffett, has said was “playing with fire.”

However, even if the S&P 500 falls over the next few weeks, a rebound to get the index back into double-digit gain territory would still be quite possible. Stocks often enjoy momentum at the end of a year thanks to a phenomenon known as the Santa Claus rally.

A history of big moves following three double-digit years

What could a third consecutive year of double-digit gains for the S&P 500 potentially mean for stocks in 2026? History shows that big moves often follow.

In three of the 11 cases over the last 100 years where the S&P jumped by double digits for three years in a row, the trend soon came to an abrupt end. For example, the S&P 500’s predecessor began with a bang in 1926, racking up three back-to-back double-digit returns. However, any student of history knows what happened in 1929: The stock market crash in October of that year brought a screeching halt to the previous momentum. The S&P finished the year down 8% and continued to decline for the next three years.

More recently, the index generated strong double-digit returns in 2019, 2020, and 2021. But the S&P 500 plunged 18% in 2022 as the Federal Reserve cranked up interest rates.

In four of the 11 cases, though, the strong momentum extended into a fourth year. The first occurrence came during World War II. The S&P soared 20% in 1942, followed by a gain of nearly 26% in 1943 and a 36% jump in 1944. The best was yet to come, with the index skyrocketing 36% in 1945 as the war ended.

Another great example of a three-year streak continuing into a fourth year was during the heady dot-com boom of the 1990s. The S&P 500 delivered returns of 22% or more in 1995, 1996, and 1997. It slowed only slightly in 1998, with a nice gain of 21%.

^SPX Chart

^SPX data by YCharts

How will the S&P 500 perform in 2026?

History shows that big moves are common after three consecutive years of double-digit gains by the S&P 500. Unfortunately, stocks tumble nearly as often as they jump in the following year. How will the S&P 500 perform in 2026? It’s impossible to know for sure.

What is possible to know, though, is that the S&P 500 has always risen over the long term in the past. The Rolling Stones weren’t talking about the stock market when they sang “Time Is on My Side,” but their premise definitely applies to investing. Regardless of what the S&P 500 does next year, investors who maintain a long-term perspective are likely to make money.

Keith Speights has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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What’s Wrong With Dollar Tree Stock?

Since September, shares of Dollar Tree have fallen by 20%.

Dollar Tree (DLTR 5.68%) stock has been doing fairly well this year, up 17% entering trading this week, which is better than the S&P 500‘s gain of 11%. But in recent weeks, Dollar Tree’s stock has been in a tailspin, reaching levels it hasn’t been at in months. It recently was down about 26% from its high of $118.06.

What’s behind the stock’s sharp sell-off, and could there be more trouble ahead for Dollar Tree investors? Here’s what you need to know about why it’s been doing so poorly, what could impact its future performance, and whether it’s worth buying the retail stock on the dip.

Concerned person looking at a piece of paper.

Image source: Getty Images.

The sell-off began after its second-quarter results came out

On Sept. 3, Dollar Tree released its second-quarter results for fiscal 2025. That day, the stock would fall by more than 8% and its decline would continue in the following weeks.

Overall, the quarter wasn’t a bad one for Dollar Tree. Same-store net sales rose by 6.5% for the period ending Aug. 2 and operating income of $231 million rose by 7% year over year. Investors, however, may have been worried about what lies ahead for the business in upcoming quarters.

On the company’s earnings call, CEO Michael Creedon did allude to tariff risk ahead.

“The timing of the impacts of tariffs and our mitigation activities played out differently than we originally anticipated, with some of the net positive benefits of our mitigation initiatives coming earlier in Q2 and the tariff impacts shifting to later in the year,” he said. 

Tariffs have been a big concern for investors this year and while Dollar Tree is planning to mitigate those potential headwinds as best as it can, it could mean that worse results may be on the horizon for the discount retailer. A big test may be looming for the company when it reports results later this year, and investors may be hesitant to hold on to the retail stock given the uncertainty.

Why it may not be all bad news for Dollar Tree investors

Although tariffs may negatively impact Dollar Tree’s top and bottom lines, the company is giving itself more of a buffer these days by introducing a greater variety of products that are priced between $3 and $5. While the vast majority of its products still cost consumers less than $2, the expansion into higher-priced items can help it appeal to a wider range of shoppers.

During the quarter, Creedon said that households earning $100,000 or more were a “meaningful portion of our Q2 growth,” and that’s been part of an emerging trend for Dollar Tree as consumers look for ways to trim their budgets.

Dollar Tree is in a good position where both low-income and high-income shoppers may see a reason to go to its stores. With a solid comparable store growth rate, it’s proving that the business may be more resilient than other retailers.

Is Dollar Tree stock a good buy?

The decline in Dollar Tree’s stock in recent weeks doesn’t put it anywhere near its 52-week low of $60.49, but it does bring its price-to-earnings multiple down to around 17. That’s well below where the average S&P 500 stock trades — a multiple of nearly 26.

Tariffs may be a concern for the company in the short term, but over the long run it’s not likely to weigh on the business because policies may change and Dollar Tree will have more time to adapt. The stock’s reasonable valuation combined with the company’s continued strong results makes it a solid investment to consider today.

David Jagielski has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Nvidia Stock Is Up 43% in 2025, but Here’s Another Super Semiconductor Stock to Buy in 2026, According to Certain Wall Street Analysts

Investors should look beyond Nvidia and consider semiconductor stocks that combine strong AI fundamentals and reasonable valuation.

The artificial intelligence (AI) revolution is transforming every corner of the global economy. Nvidia, the company at the center of this revolution, continues to be a Wall Street favorite for all the right reasons. As an undisputed leader in accelerated computing, the company’s hardware and software power much of the world’s AI infrastructure buildout.

Shares of Nvidia have already surged over 43% so far in 2025. However, despite the massive demand for its Blackwell architecture systems, software stack, and networking solutions, the stock may grow quite modestly in future months. With its market capitalization now exceeding $4.6 trillion and shares trading at a premium valuation of nearly 30 times forward earnings, much of the optimism is already priced in.

Memory giant Micron (MU 6.12%), on the other hand, is still in the early stages of its AI-powered growth story. Shares of the company have surged nearly 128% in 2025, which highlights the increasing investor confidence in its high-bandwidth memory and data center portfolio. Yet, Micron could still offer investors higher returns in 2026, while riding the same AI wave. Here’s why.

Analyst studying stock charts on laptop and desktop monitor, while checking a smartphone and holding an infant on lap.

Image source: Getty Images.

Lower customer concentration risk

Wall Street has been highlighting one significant underappreciated risk for Nvidia. Nvidia’s revenues depend heavily on a few hyperscaler customers, with two accounting for 39% and four accounting for 46% of its revenues in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 (ending July 27, 2026). Many of these hyperscaler clients are developing proprietary chips, which may offer a price-performance optimization in their specific workloads. This may reduce their dependence on Nvidia’s chips in future years.

Micron’s revenue base is significantly more diversified than Nvidia’s. The company’s largest customer accounted for 17% of total revenue, while the next largest contributed 10% in fiscal 2025 (ending Aug. 28, 2025). The company has earned over half of its total revenues from the top 10 customers for the past three years. The company has a reasonably broad customer base, including data center, mobile, PC, automotive, and industrial markets.

Hence, compared with Nvidia, Micron’s lower concentration risk makes it more resilient in the current economy.

HBM demand and AI memory leadership

Micron’s high-bandwidth memory (HBM) products, known for their superior data transfer speeds and energy efficiency, are being increasingly used in data centers. HBM revenues reached nearly $2 billion in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, translating into $8 billion annualized run rate.

Management expects Micron’s HBM market share to match its overall DRAM share by the third quarter of fiscal 2025. The company now caters to six HBM customers and has entered into pricing agreements covering most of the 2026 supply of HBM third-generation extended (HBM3E) products.

Micron has also started sampling HBM fourth-generation (HBM4) products to customers. The company expects the first production shipment of HBM4 in the second quarter of calendar year 2026 and a broader ramp later that year.

Beyond HBM, Micron’s Low-Power Double Data Rate (LPDDR) memory products are also seeing strong demand in data centers. The data center business has emerged as a key growth engine, accounting for 56% of Micron’s total sales in fiscal 2025.

Hence, Micron seems well-positioned to capture a significant share of the AI-powered memory demand in the coming years.

Valuation

Micron appears to offer a stronger risk-reward proposition than Nvidia, even in the backdrop of accelerated AI infrastructure spending. The company currently trades at 12.3 times forward earnings, significantly lower than Nvidia’s valuation. Hence, while Nvidia’s premium valuation already assumes near-perfect execution and continued dominance, Micron still trades like a cyclical memory stock. This disconnect leaves room for modest valuation expansion to account for Micron’s improving revenue mix toward high-margin AI memory products.

Wall Street sentiment is also increasingly positive for Micron. Morgan Stanley’s Joseph Moore recently upgraded the stock from equal-weight or neutral to overweight and raised the target price from $160 to $220. UBS has reiterated its “Buy” rating and increased the target price from $195 to $225. Itau Unibanco analyst has initiated coverage for Micron with a “Buy” rating and target price of $249.

Analysts expect Micron’s earnings per share to grow year over year by nearly 100% to $16.6 in fiscal 2026. If the current valuation multiple holds, Micron’s share price could be around $204 (up 6% from the last closing price as of Oct. 9), with limited downside potential. But if the multiple expands modestly in the range of 14 to 16 times forward earnings, shares could fall in the range of $232 to $265, offering upside of 20% to 37.8%.

On the other hand, there remains a higher probability of valuation compression for Nvidia, leaving less room for growth. With diversified customers, increasing AI exposure, and reasonable valuation, Micron may prove to be the better semiconductor pick in 2026.

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Why Murphy Oil Stock Flew Nearly 8% Higher Today

A prognosticator became more bullish on the oil company’s shares, although he hasn’t changed his neutral recommendation.

A second analyst price target raise in nearly as many trading days was the catalyst igniting the stock of Murphy Oil (MUR 7.51%) on Monday. Bullish investors traded the company’s shares up by almost 8% on the day in response, a rate that trounced the 1.6% increase of the S&P 500 (^GSPC 1.56%).

A raiser and holder

Monday’s raiser was Roger Read from top U.S. bank Wells Fargo. Well before market open, Read changed his Murphy Oil price target to $28 per share from $26.

A set of oil rigs in a field.

Image source: Getty Images.

He remains cautious on the stock, however, as he maintained his equal weight (hold, in other words) recommendation on it.

According to reports, Read wrote in his update that the company is expecting to deliver impressive operational and financial results for its third quarter (it’s scheduled to unveil those numbers on Oct. 30). The analyst expressed some concern about certain areas, such as the company’s 2026 guidance.

Industrywide adjustments

Previous to that, last Thursday, Bank of Nova Scotia also enacted a price target raise while maintaining its equivalent of a hold recommendation. The Canadian lender increased its fair-value assessment on Murphy Oil to $30 per share from $26, as part of a broader set of price target adjustments to U.S. oil stocks.

Wells Fargo is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Bank Of Nova Scotia and Murphy Oil. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Bartlett Sells $2.5 Million in TJX Companies—Here’s What That Means for the Retail Stock

On Thursday, Bartlett & Co. Wealth Management LLC disclosed that it reduced its position in TJX Companies (TJX 0.67%), selling shares for an estimated $2.5 million based on the average price for the quarter ended September 30.

What Happened

Bartlett & Co. Wealth Management reported in a Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filing released on Thursday, that it reduced its holdings in TJX Companies (TJX 0.67%) by 19,095 shares. The estimated value of the shares sold was approximately $2.5 million based on the average price for the quarter ended September 30.

What Else to Know

This was a sell, leaving Bartlett’s TJX stake at 2% of the fund’s 13F reportable assets under management.

Top holdings after the filing:

  • NASDAQ:MSFT: $508.1 million (6.4% of AUM)
  • NASDAQ:GOOGL: $442.8 million (5.6% of AUM)
  • NASDAQ:AAPL: $434.3 million (5.5% of AUM)
  • NYSE:BRK-B: $399.9 million (5.1% of AUM)
  • NYSE:PG: $332.4 million (4.2% of AUM)

As of Monday afternoon, shares were priced at $141.77, up 23% over the past year and well outperforming the S&P 500’s nearly 14% gain.

Company Overview

Metric Value
Price (as of Monday afternoon) $141.77
Market capitalization $158 billion
Revenue (TTM) $57.9 billion
Net income (TTM) $5 billion

Company Snapshot

  • TJX Companies offers off-price apparel, footwear, accessories, and home fashions through brands including T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, HomeGoods, Sierra, and Homesense.
  • It operates a high-volume, value-driven retail model focused on sourcing branded merchandise at significant discounts and selling through a broad store network and e-commerce platforms.
  • The company serves value-conscious consumers in North America, Europe, and Australia, with a diversified portfolio and substantial e-commerce presence.

TJX Companies is a leading global off-price retailer with a broad geographic reach and a focus on delivering branded merchandise at value prices, supporting consistent revenue growth and profitability.

Foolish Take

Bartlett & Co. Wealth Management’s $2.5 million trim of its TJX Companies position might reflect a modest rebalancing rather than a loss of conviction in one of retail’s most resilient players. Even after the sale, TJX remains one of Bartlett’s top consumer holdings, backed by a track record of consistent growth and a loyal value-oriented customer base.

TJX has outperformed much of the retail sector this year, with shares up more than 20% year-over-year following strong fiscal second-quarter results. The off-price retailer reported 7% revenue growth to $14.4 billion and earnings per share up 15% to $1.10. Comparable store sales rose 4%, led by strength at HomeGoods and international banners. The company also raised full-year guidance for profit margin and EPS, projecting continued growth through the holiday season.

With a global footprint exceeding 5,100 stores, TJX’s mix of flexibility, scale, and customer loyalty continues to drive performance. For Bartlett, the reduction likely reflects profit-taking after a sustained run rather than a bearish view on the retailer’s fundamentals.

Glossary

13F reportable assets under management (AUM): The total value of securities a fund must report quarterly to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Form 13F.

Position: The amount of a particular security or asset held by an investor or fund.

Top holdings: The largest investments in a fund’s portfolio, usually by market value or percentage of assets.

Outperformed: Delivered a higher return compared to a specific benchmark or index over a given period.

Off-price retailer: A retailer selling branded goods at prices lower than traditional retail stores, often through discount sourcing.

Stake: The ownership interest or investment a person or entity holds in a company.

Value-driven retail model: A business approach focused on offering products at lower prices to attract cost-conscious consumers.

TTM: The 12-month period ending with the most recent quarterly report.

Fund: A pooled investment vehicle managed by professionals, investing in various assets on behalf of clients.

Trade: The act of buying or selling a security or asset in the financial markets.

Jonathan Ponciano has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Apple, Berkshire Hathaway, Microsoft, and TJX Companies. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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