Escalating

What are the risks of Afghanistan-Pakistan tensions escalating? | News

More attacks in both countries despite peace efforts.

Pakistan has been accused of launching air strikes that killed civilians in Afghanistan, a day after three Pakistani security personnel were killed in a bombing.

Recent peace efforts and a temporary ceasefire have failed.

What’s driving the violence – and what are the risks?

Presenter: Imran Khan

Guests:

Obaidullah Baheer – Adjunct lecturer at the American University of Afghanistan

Sahar Khan – Security analyst focusing on South Asia

Hameed Hakimi – Associate fellow in the Asia-Pacific Programme at Chatham House

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What are the consequences of an escalating global arms race? | Weapons

Annual military spending is rising globally at its steepest level since the Cold War.

And after a break of more than 30 years, the United States says it might restart testing nuclear weapons.

So if the global arms race is back on, who’s winning, how is war changing, and what’s the true cost of escalation?

Presenter: Neave Barker

Guests:

Michael Boyle – Professor of political science at Rutgers University–Camden

Elijah Magnier – Senior political risk analyst and a regional military expert

Fabrice Pothier – Former head of policy planning at NATO and a senior defence and strategy analyst

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China Warns Japan of “Crushing Defeat” Over Taiwan, Escalating Tensions

China’s military sharply escalated rhetoric on Friday, warning Japan it would suffer a “crushing defeat” if it attempted to intervene in Taiwan. The statement follows Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s remarks that a Chinese attack on Taiwan could create a “survival-threatening situation” prompting a military response from Tokyo. Beijing condemned her comments as dangerous and irresponsible, with state media linking the remarks to Japan’s historical militarism and right-wing ambitions.

Why It Matters
Taiwan lies just over 110 km from Japanese territory and oversees key maritime trade routes critical to Japan. Beijing’s warning highlights the deep sensitivities surrounding Taiwan and underscores the potential for regional conflict if Tokyo or other powers act militarily. The escalation also comes amid ongoing anti-China sentiment in Japan and rising tensions with Taiwan independence advocates, signaling a volatile mix of historical grievances, territorial concerns, and strategic rivalry.

China: Reinforcing territorial claims and signaling military readiness.

Japan: Balancing constitutional limits, alliance with the U.S., and proximity to Taiwan.

Taiwan: Maintaining sovereignty amid threats from China and international entanglements.

Regional Security: Neighboring states and trade routes face heightened risks if conflict escalates.

What’s Next
With rhetoric intensifying, Japan is calling for dialogue and peaceful resolution, while China continues to target both Taiwan independence advocates and critics abroad. The situation remains precarious, with the potential for miscalculation to trigger a broader regional confrontation.

With information from Reuters.

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