NVDA

My colleague, Adria Cimino, recently predicted that Nvidia (NVDA -0.77%) shares, recently trading near $189 per stub, will reach $400 by 2030, only five years from now. I’m bullish on the stock, myself, own a few shares, and expect them to do quite well over the coming decade.

Why do we expect Nvidia to soar over the coming decade? Well, in my view, there are many reasons. A chief one is the continuing growth of artificial intelligence (AI) technology — around the world. Nvidia, with a recent market cap of $4.6 trillion, is a leading semiconductor company, and the chips it designs are critical for AI because they help train AI.

Image source: The Motley Fool.

Nvidia seems likely to reap plenty of profits from its AI-enabling chips, but it will likely also profit from some significant investments in other companies, such as fellow chip specialist Intel and its customer OpenAI, owner of chatbot ChatGPT. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang foresees up to $4 trillion in annual AI infrastructure spending by 2030 and expects Nvidia to reap a lot of that. More currently, Nvidia is seeing around $600 billion in data center spending this year.

So — should you invest in Nvidia? It’s not a crazy idea. Yes, it has averaged annual gains of more than 77% over the past decade, but its stock still doesn’t seem wildly overvalued, considering its torrid growth. Its recent forward-looking price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 41.5 isn’t too far from its five-year average of 38.9.

If you invest in Nvidia, don’t assume that you’ll enjoy 77% gains each year. Remember that as companies grow huge, it can be hard for them to keep growing rapidly. Still, I suspect that long-term investors buying some shares of Nvidia today will do well over a decade or more.

Nvidia (NVDA -0.18%) has made an incredible ascent to the top of the stock market, and it’s in a league of its own as the only stock with a market cap above $4 trillion. It’s up 1,300% over the past five years, and it doesn’t look like it’s anywhere near done.

Its growth prospects are up for debate amid increasing competition and its sheer size, which makes it harder to report high percentage growth. Still, there are many reasons to believe in Nvidia’s future. Here’s one reason investors still have time to buy Nvidia stock.

Image source: Getty Images.

Hyperscalers are spending

There are several ways to envision Nvidia’s opportunity, and one of them is to analyze how its largest clients are spending money on its products.

Nvidia works with the largest cloud operators in the world, the hyperscalers like Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta Platforms. These companies are building out their large language models (LLM) and offering top artificial intelligence (AI) solutions to their millions of customers, who in turn are using these platforms to create the next generation of generative AI apps.

This is the AI revolution that’s changing how people do business, shop, pay, and more, and these hyperscalers need Nvidia’s powerful chips to drive their AI models.

Just take a look at how much these three companies are spending this year on capital expenditures, and you can see how Nvidia’s business is going to be a crucial part of this process for the foreseeable future. Amazon is spending at a run rate of $120 billion, Microsoft at $100 billion, and Meta at about $65 billion. These are accelerations from last year, and as companies require more power, those numbers are likely to keep going up. Nvidia doesn’t collect every dollar of these sales, but it dominates this market.

I wouldn’t bet on Nvidia offering the same kind of growth it has in the past over the next five years, but it’s still likely to beat the market and offer value for shareholders.