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How Carney’s ‘build fast’ push divides Canada’s Indigenous peoples | Business and Economy

Vancouver, Canada – Prime Minister Mark Carney’s efforts to unite Canadians around protecting the nation’s economy from the US are hitting roadblocks as he nears one year in power.

Indigenous peoples across Canada are increasingly divided over Carney’s aggressive push to expand resource extraction and projects on their ancestral lands.

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Some experts question how his government can advance its agenda while respecting Indigenous rights enshrined in the country’s constitution.

March 14 will mark one year since Carney, former head of Canada’s central bank, was sworn into office.

After an election last year, his centrist Liberal party formed a minority government with the highest share of the popular vote in 40 years.

A key to Carney’s victory was his pledge to “stand strong” against US trade threats and grow Canada’s economic sovereignty, an assertive approach the prime minister has called “elbows up”.

“In the face of global trade shifts … we will build big and build fast to create a stronger, more sustainable, more independent economy,” Carney said in a statement on March 6.

Part of that push was to create a Major Projects Office to speed up approvals of economic developments, starting by fast-tracking 10 mega-projects.

They include two massive liquefied natural gas (LNG) plants and an open-pit mine in British Columbia, a nuclear plant in Ontario, a Quebec shipping terminal, and wind power in Atlantic Canada.

Those developments are worth 116 billion Canadian dollars ($85bn), the government estimates.

‘Our rights get pushed to the side’

Carney’s approach to the US trade war has gained support from Canadians, according to recent opinion surveys.

A March 3 poll of 1,500 citizens by Abacus Data found that 50 percent say Carney is protecting Canada’s core interests when dealing with Trump — compared with 36 percent with negative views.

“Whenever Canada is threatened, the protectionist nature of the state kind of re-emerges,” said Shady Hafez, assistant politics professor at Toronto Metropolitan University.

“Self-preservation of Canada becomes the priority.”

Hafez, a research associate with the Yellowhead Institute, is a member of the Kitigan Zibi Anishinabeg First Nation in Quebec.

He said there are growing concerns in his community and others about Carney’s push to accelerate mega-projects across the country.

“For that to happen, Canada needs land, and it needs resources,” Hafez said, “and it takes those lands and resources from us.”

Blowback was swift after Carney pledged to build a highly controversial oil pipeline to the west coast in a late November deal signed with Alberta, Canada’s oil powerhouse.

Carney’s culture minister swiftly resigned, decrying “no consultation” with Indigenous nations and “major environmental impacts”.

And the Assembly of First Nations (AFN), which represents more than 600 Indigenous chiefs, unanimously passed an emergency resolution opposing a new pipeline.

“First Nations people, we stand with Canada against Trump’s illegal tariffs, but not at the expense of our rights,” AFN National Chief Cindy Woodhouse Nepinak told Al Jazeera in an interview. “If you want to fast-track anything, you better make sure that First Nations are being included right off the bat.

“Trying to sideswipe or push aside First Nations people when there’s agreements between provinces and the feds — they have to remember that First Nations are here … and they are to be respected in their own homelands.”

The rights of Indigenous people in the country are enshrined in Canada’s constitution.

But too often, Hafez said, in the name of national prosperity, “Indigenous communities have to suffer.”

“Whenever there’s somewhat of an emergency, our rights get pushed to the side.”

But the resistance to the major projects push isn’t universal.

The First Nations Natural Gas Alliance praised Carney’s “much more aggressive” approach compared with his predecessor on developing energy resources.

But the group’s CEO, Karen Ogen, acknowledged there’s a “highly charged environment” on such issues.

“First Nations communities continue to face significant socioeconomic barriers”, stated the former chief of Wet’suwet’en First Nation. “LNG and natural gas development are not just an opportunity; they are a national imperative.

“Billions of dollars in procurement benefits and revenues are flowing to First Nations.”

Call for collaboration ‘on all major projects’

The trade war with the US has galvanised and united many Canadians — but with little acknowledgement of the impacts on Indigenous communities, said Sheryl Lightfoot, political science professor at the University of Toronto.

Lightfoot is vice-chair of the UN Expert Mechanism on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples.

“These projects, by many accounts, are advancing without full consultation or transparency”, she told Al Jazeera.

“It appears that economic or geopolitical pressures … are being used to justify bypassing Indigenous rights and environmental safeguards.”

But Canada’s Major Projects Office insists it will “seek input, hear concerns and ideas, and work in partnership moving forward” with Indigenous communities — and “will not be skipping over vital project steps including consultations with Indigenous Peoples,” an agency spokesperson wrote in an emailed statement.

“We are unlocking Canada’s economic potential, while respecting our environmental responsibilities and the rights of Indigenous Peoples,”

A significant number of projects on Carney’s fast-track list are concentrated in British Columbia (BC).

Those include two liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminals on the Pacific coast — LNG Canada and Ksi Lisims LNG — as well as the electric transmission line to power the sector, and a copper and gold mine.

BC is unique in the country because, historically, very little of its land was subject to treaties between the Crown and First Nations. Canada’s top court has repeatedly ruled in favour of First Nations rights and title in the westernmost province.

All four major projects in the province have proven divisive among the region’s Indigenous peoples — even though several have the backing of individual First Nations governments.

One of those is the massive Ksi Lisims LNG plant, in which the Nisga’a Nation is a direct partner.

Co-developed with Texas-based Western LNG, the mega-project will “benefit all Canadians,” said Nisga’a President Eva Clayton.

In 2000, her nation became the first in BC to reach a modern self-government treaty.

“We are co-developing the Ksi Lisims LNG project on land that our nation owns under our treaty,” she told a parliamentary committee on February 24.

“This project is expected to bring in 30 billion [Canadian] dollars [$22bn] in investment, create thousands of skilled careers, and strengthen Canada’s leadership in low-emission LNG.”

‘Elbows up’ meets opposition

But LNG is fiercely opposed by other nearby First Nations.

Tara Marsden is Wilp sustainability director for the Gitanyow Hereditary Chiefs, traditional leaders of the 900-member Gitanyow community.

“We have a lot more concerns and evidence regarding impacts in our territory,” she said.

“The federal government has done zero consultation on their fast-track list and the projects that actually affect our territory.”

Gitanyow oppose the BC projects on the fast-track list as harming their interests.

She said Ottawa cannot ignore First Nations opposition, even if there is support from others like the Nisga’a.

“They have a right to develop in their own territories”, said Marsden. “But if you have maybe 20 to 30 First Nations whose territory would be crossed — and you get maybe three on board — that’s not a resounding consensus.

“They’re just trying to use this small handful of nations to steamroll over everybody else.”

If Canada truly wants to strengthen its sovereignty and economy, she said, it must do so alongside Indigenous people.

“This is something that First Nations across the country have been saying since Carney took the ‘elbows up’ approach,” Marsden said.

“The government has really just ignored that … and actually now back-stopping these mega-projects with taxpayer dollars.”

McGill University economics lecturer Julian Karaguesian served for decades in the Department of Finance and Canada’s Embassy in Washington, DC.

He agreed that most Canadians support Carney’s attempt to boost the economy with “nation-building” projects.

“I think they’re a fantastic idea”, he told Al Jazeera. “But we’ve committed to consultations with First Nations, Metis and Inuit people.

“Once we’ve started compromising on economic and social justice … we can create bitterness. First Nations leaders understand the situation we’re in, and I think [Ottawa] can work with them.”

Even on projects endorsed by some First Nations, the international legal principle of “free, prior and informed consent” must still apply to other communities impacted, said Lightfoot.

That’s “not simply a procedural requirement” to rubber-stamp projects, she said.

“It is a substantive right, anchored in Indigenous peoples’ self-determination and their ability to make decisions about matters that affect their lands, communities, and futures.”

And that could risk slowing down Carney’s hopes to speed through projects if there is no Indigenous consensus — potentially tying more divisive ones up in the courts.

“Failure to include Indigenous knowledge and decision-making early in the process,” Lightfoot said, “can undermine the legitimacy and fairness of project approvals.”

Carney’s ratings among First Nations are “mixed,” says AFN’s national chief. One positive, she noted, is his openness to meeting Indigenous leaders raising concerns.

But with many of the prime minister’s economic hopes dependent on building “national interest” infrastructure on First Nations homelands, Woodhouse Nepinak said the relationship needs care.

“Carney is at a crossroads in his personal relationship with First Nations,” she said.

“And we understand First Nations rights are under threat in new ways by this government.”

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Halal restaurants in Los Angeles to break fast during Ramadan

Ramadan is in full swing in Los Angeles, where a community of hundreds of thousands of Muslims is observing a month dedicated to fasting, prayer, reflection and service. With the unfolding war in the Middle East, the holiday holds even more significance for locals with ties to the region.

The Islamic holiday began Feb. 17 and ends March 19, during which observers fast from dawn to sunset to foster discipline, self-control and gratitude. Observers break their daily fast with an iftar, a festive meal shared with loved ones after sunset. Many also rise before dawn for a suhoor meal.

Halal, which translates to “permissible” in Arabic, pertains to the type of meat and the way it’s prepared. Pork and its byproducts are not allowed, and a Muslim must slaughter the animal while invoking the name of Allah. The animal must also be healthy and blood should be completely drained after slaughter.

This Ramadan season, several L.A. restaurants are offering late-night hours, special iftar menus and discounts for the holiday.

“The demand for iftar and halal food is skyrocketing,” said Assad Shalhoub, a member of MENA Creator Club, a community group for Middle Eastern and North African content creators that organized an iftar gathering at West Adams’ Maydan Market. “I think a lot of people are becoming more proud of their culture and their heritage, and with that comes a lot of people seeking things like this.”

Here are eight halal restaurants to break fast and share a meal with loved ones during Ramadan.

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Universal Studios’ ‘Fast & Furious’ coaster is almost ready to ride

Universal Studios Hollywood has begun peeling back the curtain — or opening the garage? — on its new “Fast & Furious”-inspired coaster coming to the park this summer.

The coaster will feature four heavily detailed miniature cars as ride vehicles. These four-seaters — mimicking a Dodge Charger, Mazda RX-Y, Nissan Skyline GT-R and Toyota Supra, all complete with pull-down lap-bars and working taillights — were unveiled at a media event Wednesday.

But perhaps the most exciting news out of the event is just how meaty of a coaster Fast & Furious: Hollywood Drift looks to be.

A car-themed roller coaster in a warehouse.

Fast & Furious: Hollywood Drift will launch this summer at Universal Studios Hollywood and boast ride vehicles that are miniatures of actual cars. The show building is themed like a warehouse with a vibrant, spray-painted mural.

(Todd Martens / Los Angeles Times)

The attraction, the second outdoor coaster at the park after the more kid-focused “Harry Potter” ride Flight of the Hippogriff, was timed at running about two minutes around the track, which goes over and under the park’s famed hillside escalators. Hollywood Drift will reach a top speed of 72 mph.

While a representative for the company said the coaster is intended to reach that 72-mph milestone at various points on the ride, it’s worth noting that it’s still in testing mode and the final speeds and run-time may change. Still, the fact that Universal has been able to pack such a mighty experience into a tight piece of real estate should be positive news for coaster enthusiasts.

By comparison, the family coaster Flight of the Hippogriff is only about a minute, whereas Disney California Adventure’s Incredicoaster comes in at more than 2 and a half minutes. It’s not uncommon for modern coasters today, due to their increasing emphasis on speed and thrills, to last only about a minute.

A look at the ride vehicles and inside mural in the passenger load area of Fast & Furious: Hollywood Drift.

A look at the ride vehicles and inside mural in the passenger load area of Fast & Furious: Hollywood Drift.

(Todd Martens / Los Angeles Times)

Though packing storytelling into a fast-moving outdoor ride is always a theme park challenge, Universal is doing what it can to make guests feel as if they’re sitting in actual tiny, authentic cars. Check, for instance, the brightly orange Supra, or the black, vintage-style Charger. Each car will be equipped with onboard audio and has unique details, right down to the different placement of the odometers on the dashboard.

One question: Do those odometers actually work and measure speed? A Universal rep declined to answer, but no matter, as most guest will likely be focused on the scenery outside the vehicle, such as the next-door golf course or bird’s-eye views of the park.

An artist rendering of Universal Studios Hollywood's Fast & Furious: Hollywood Drift.

An artist rendering of Universal Studios Hollywood’s Fast & Furious: Hollywood Drift, the park’s first high-speed outdoor coaster.

(Universal Studios Hollywood)

The coasters will board two at a time inside the red brick, warehouse-themed show building, which features spray-painted murals from artist Tristan Eaton. Each coaster train holds four cars. There will be a single rider line for solo guests, and the coaster will boast 360-degree rotation, which is meant to create the sensation of a car drifting. The track is 4,100 feet and will take guests on a hillside journey between the park’s upper and lower lots.

The “Fast & Furious” saga spans 11 films, and will soon be recognized with an exhibit at the Petersen Automotive Museum. “A Fast & Furious Legacy: 25 Years of Automotive Icons” opens March 14 and will feature various movie-used vehicles and stunt cars. Among the cars on display will be an early ‘90s Supra driven by Paul Walker’s character Brian O’Conner, one of the vehicles Universal mimicked for the roller coaster.

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North America is losing birds fast. Experts blame agriculture, warming

Billions fewer birds are flying through North American skies than decades ago and their numbers are shrinking ever faster, mostly due to the combination of intensive agriculture and warming temperatures, a new study finds.

Nearly half of the 261 species studied showed losses important enough to be statistically significant, and more than half of those in decline have seen losses accelerate since 1987, according to a study published Thursday in the journal Science. The study is the first to look at trends in their decrease, where they are shrinking the most and what the declines are connected to, rather than total population.

“Not only are we losing birds, we are losing them faster and faster from year to year,” said study co-author Marta Jarzyna, an ecologist at Ohio State University. “Except for forest birds, almost every group is doing poorly. So we need to ask ourselves a question. How do we protect these groups of birds?”

The only consolation is that the birds that are shrinking in numbers the fastest are species — such as the European starling, American crow, grackle and house sparrow — that aren’t yet at risk of going extinct, said study lead author Francois Leroy, also an Ohio State ecologist.

“The thing is that species extinction, they start with a decline in abundance,” Leroy said, adding that “the decline is somehow maybe giving a preview of what it could lead to in terms of species extinction.”

Cornell University conservation scientist Kenneth Rosenberg, who wasn’t part of the study, said the species declining fastest in the new research “are often considered pests or ‘trash birds,’ but if our environment cannot support healthy populations of these extreme generalists and extremely adaptable species that are tolerant of humans, then that is a very strong indicator that the environment is also toxic to humans and all other life.”

A 2019 study by Rosenberg of the same bird species found North America had 3 billion fewer birds than in 1970, but didn’t look at changes in the rate of loss or causes.

Biggest bird losses in areas warming most

The biggest locations for acceleration of bird loss were in the Mid-Atlantic, the Midwest and California, the study found. And geography proved important when Leroy and Jarzyna looked for reasons why so many bird species are shrinking ever faster.

When it came to population declines — not the acceleration — the scientists noticed bigger losses farther south. When they did a deeper analysis, they statistically connected those losses to warmer temperatures from human-caused climate change.

“In regions where temperatures increase the most, we are seeing strongest declines in populations,” Jarzyna said. “On the other hand, the acceleration of those declines, that’s mostly driven by agricultural practices.”

Farmland issues speed up bird declines

The scientists found statistical correlations between accelerating decline and high fertilizer and pesticide use and the amount of cropland, Leroy said. He said they couldn’t say any of those caused the acceleration of losses, but it indicates agriculture in general is a factor.

“The stronger the agriculture, the faster we will lose birds,” Leroy said.

Jarzyna said there is a “strong interaction” between climate change and agriculture in their effect on bird populations.

“We found that agricultural intensification causes stronger accelerations of decline in regions where climate warmed the most,” Jarzyna said.

McGill University wildlife biologist David Bird, who wasn’t part of the study, said it was done well and that its conclusions made sense. With a growing human population, agriculture practices are intensified, more bird habitats are being converted to cropland, modern machinery often grind up nests and eggs, and single crop plantings offer less possibilities for birds to find food and nests, said Bird, the editor of “Birds of Canada.”

“The biggest impact of agricultural intensity though is our war on insects. Numerous recent studies have shown that insect populations in many places throughout the world, including the U.S., have crashed by well over 40 percent,” Bird said in an email. “Many of the birds in this new study showing population declines depend heavily on insects for food.”

Birds do a lot for humans

This study is both “alarming” and “sobering” because of the sheer numbers of losses and the patterns in those accelerating declines, said Richard Gregory, head of monitoring conservation science at University College London. He was not part of the research.

The paper shows that people need to change the way they live to reduce human-caused warming, reduce agricultural intensity, monoculture of crops and broad application of chemicals, said Cornell University ornithologist Andrew Farnsworth, who wasn’t part of the study.

“Here is why this study is especially important. Birds do a lot for humans,’’ McGill biologist Bird said in an email. ”They feed us, clothe us, eat pests, pollinate our plants and crops, and warn us about impending environmental disasters. With their songs, colors, and variety, birds enrich our lives … and recent studies show that their immediate presence actually increases our well-being and happiness and can even prolong our lives! To me, a world without birds is simply unfathomable.”

Borenstein writes for the Associated Press.

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Iran Signals Possible “Fast Deal” To Be Made In Nuclear Talks As U.S. Military Build-Up Grinds On

Amid the steady drumbeat of reports pointing to the growing likelihood of strikes on Iran, there are indications that officials from Washington and Tehran will meet this week for another round of talks centered on the Iranian nuclear program. While the two sides remain generally at loggerheads, Iranian officials are now openly talking about possible concessions on their nuclear program in return for sanctions relief and the right to enrich uranium for peaceful purposes.

The Iranian foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, told CBS over the weekend that U.S. and Iranian negotiators would likely hold more discussions in Geneva on Thursday, with the aim of making “a fast deal.” Iran and the United States resumed negotiations earlier this month.

Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi (C) looks on prior to delivering a speech during a session of the United Nations Conference on Disarmament, on the sideline of a second round of US-Iranian talks with Washington pushing Tehran to make a deal to limit its nuclear programme, in Geneva, on February 17, 2026. (Photo by Valentin Flauraud / AFP via Getty Images)
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi (center) before delivering a speech during a session of the United Nations Conference on Disarmament, on the sidelines of a second round of U.S.-Iranian talks with Washington, in Geneva, on February 17, 2026. Photo by Valentin Flauraud / AFP

Now, Araghchi says that he thinks there is still a good chance of finding a diplomatic solution in planned talks with U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff. However, he added that “If the United States attacks us, then we have every right to defend ourselves.” Iran has repeatedly threatened to strike U.S. bases in the region if it is attacked.

Aragachi raised the possibility of a new nuclear deal that would see Iran committing to keep its nuclear program “peaceful forever.” This would be a major advance over the previous, time-limited agreement, which was negotiated by the Obama administration in 2015, but from which U.S. President Donald Trump withdrew in 2018, during his first term in office.

Araghchi’s growing importance reflects the belief of U.S. officials that Iran’s supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, together with the country’s president, Masoud Pezeshkian, are increasingly being marginalized within the negotiations.

BREAKING: Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was the target of an internal effort to sideline him, allegedly led by former President Hassan Rouhani, just before the January 8–9 crackdown when protests were at their peak, Le Figaro reports.

— Faytuks Network (@FaytuksNetwork) February 22, 2026

Overall, the development comes as U.S. military assets continue to flow into the region as part of a massive deployment of forces.

Among the latest movements, it appears that additional U.S. Air Force KC-135 Stratotankers are being repositioned from the Indo-Pacific region and closer to the Middle East. These refueling assets would be vital to sustaining any kind of air campaign against Iran.

Other tankers and transports also continued to pour into the wider region after transatlantic flights over the weekend.

In terms of aircraft basing, the apparent postponement of planned runway reconstruction work at Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean might point to one of the windows of opportunity for U.S. airstrikes. Work at the base, which could be important to any U.S. plans for a sustained campaign of airstrikes against Iran, has been pushed back successively from February to March, and now to April, according to notices to airmen (NOTAMs). As well as the long-range bombers that periodically operate out of Diego Garcia, the facility would need to host cargo and refueling support aircraft, as well as assets to defend the island from possible Iranian attack. As we reported last week, the United Kingdom has apparently said it would not allow the use of the island for strikes on Iran, although this position could certainly change. It is worth noting, too, that satellite imagery available to TWZ does not reveal any visible changes in terms of deployments to Diego Garcia.

Construction on Diego Garcia’s runway was initially expected to begin in February, then moved to March, and is now delayed again until April 2.

RWY 13/31 will close weekdays (0700–1700 local) for ~80 working days, according to the latest NOTAM pic.twitter.com/4q35SOfwHh

— Faytuks Network (@FaytuksNetwork) February 23, 2026

There are also reports, currently unconfirmed, from Israel’s Channel 12, of U.S. Air Force KC-135s at Ben Gurion Airport in Israel. Photos apparently show at least two of the tankers on the tarmac at the civilian airport, one of them wearing the markings of the 452nd Air Mobility Wing from March Air Reserve Base, California. The presence of U.S. KC-135s in Israel reflects the fact that Israel will likely be fully integrated into any upcoming operation against Iran, so putting tankers or even fighter aircraft there makes sense. Moreover, the United States has limited basing options in the region, including countries that have said they would not allow operations to run out of their airspace. Meanwhile, the threat of Iranian short-range missiles and drone strikes also limits where these U.S. assets can go.

לגבי מטוסי התדלוק האמריקאים בנתבג, לפחות אחד מהם (הקדמי – מס זנב 58-0052) הגיע לפה מקטאר

At least one of the two USAF kc135r photographed at Tel Aviv airport has arrived from Al-Udeid, Qatar

צילום לפי 27א pic.twitter.com/FlrMKNmR9O

— avi scharf (@avischarf) February 23, 2026

Elsewhere in Israel, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu today delivered brief remarks in the Israeli parliament. He said Israel is facing “complex and challenging days,” but expressed confidence in the public. “We have pushed back an existential threat from the Iranian tyrant,” Netanyahu continued. “No one knows what tomorrow will bring. We are keeping our eyes open.”

Netanyahu delivers rare brief speech on Iran: ‘We are in complex days’

‘No one knows what tomorrow will bring,’ Netanyahu said in a rare brief Knesset speech a day after Cabinet talks, amid reports of US preparations for a strike …https://t.co/orF04TqzD7 pic.twitter.com/1CliDX4eVQ

— Ynet Global (@ynetnews) February 23, 2026

Meanwhile, the aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford, its embarked airwing, and elements of its carrier strike group (CSG) are still in transit. Last Friday, TWZ reported on its transit into the western Mediterranean via the Strait of Gibraltar. As of today, the carrier was in Souda Bay, Crete, in the eastern Mediterranean. The Ford CSG will eventually be joining the Lincoln CSG, already deployed to the Middle East, as well as other Navy ships and scores of tactical jets, surveillance planes, tankers, airborne early warning and control aircraft, and additional air defense assets.

President Trump has consistently refused to rule out potential strikes against Iran, while stressing that no final decision has been made.

“The most I can say — I am considering it,” Trump said last Friday when asked if he was thinking about a “limited strike” against Iran. The president did not provide details of what that could entail or when it might be launched.

As to how “limited” a strike on Iran might be, the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) think tank assesses that the assets currently deployed would not be sufficient for an extended, multi-week air campaign.

Good analysis. US build-up largest in 23 years, but smaller than 1991, 1998 or 2003. “there are not enough forces for an extended, multi-week air campaign. That would require a substantial logistical buildup, which…would take additional time.” https://t.co/tMsOVBxfw6 pic.twitter.com/nzJCpGYz9g

— Shashank Joshi (@shashj) February 23, 2026

Indicative of growing fears of a new conflict in the region, it was reported today that the U.S. Embassy in Beirut had evacuated “dozens” of non-essential personnel as “a precautionary measure due to anticipated regional developments.”

APNewsAlert: WASHINGTON (@AP) — State Department orders nonessential US diplomats and families to leave Lebanon as tensions with #Iran soar.

— Jon Gambrell | جون (@jongambrellAP) February 23, 2026

In contrast, in other public statements, Trump and administration officials have been pushing for a diplomatic resolution to the current Iranian crisis.

Speaking over the weekend, special envoy Witkoff said that the U.S. president was unsure why Iran had not yet yielded to U.S. pressure to curb its nuclear ambitions. “He’s curious as to why they haven’t … I don’t want to use the word ‘capitulated,’ but why they haven’t capitulated,” Witkoff told Fox News.

“Why, under this pressure, with the amount of sea power and naval power over there, why haven’t they come to us and said, ‘we profess we don’t want a weapon, so here’s what we’re prepared to do’?”

And there you have it: Witkoff says that Trump is frustrated/curious as to why Iran has not “capitulated” yet, despite massive US military threats.

This is the core of the matter: As I have written extensively, Israel and pro-Israeli voices have sold Trump a narrative that… pic.twitter.com/HkQlBJ6fqY

— Trita Parsi (@tparsi) February 22, 2026

Also this weekend, the New York Times published a report stating that Trump is eyeing a smaller initial set of strikes in order to pressure Iran to make a deal, prior to a much larger follow-on campaign if that pressure didn’t work. Our analysis sees that as being either unlikely to be true or a very poor decision if it is indeed in the works as reported.

The limited strike to pressure Iran to make a deal with the threat of more seems extremely problematic on so many levels. Messaging that now is a sign of weakness in the negotiations. Sorry, that’s the reality. I can’t believe military commanders would recommend this. https://t.co/1R5TwcRhOZ

— Tyler Rogoway (@Aviation_Intel) February 23, 2026

Breaking News: President Trump told advisers he would consider a larger attack on Iran if diplomacy or a targeted strike failed to deter its nuclear program. https://t.co/dsVODr28du

— The New York Times (@nytimes) February 22, 2026

However, the fact that more talks are being lined up suggests that the U.S. government is more confident that Iran will demonstrate that it’s not seeking to develop a nuclear weapon, including a commitment to diluting its stockpile of highly enriched uranium, which is critical to producing such a device.

Iran wants to retain the right to enrich uranium for peaceful purposes. This would involve a new verification process overseen by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the United Nations nuclear inspectorate. As well as diluting its highly enriched uranium, the process would provide the IAEA with access to Iranian nuclear facilities, while sanctions placed on Tehran would be eased. The Iranian facilities would include the three nuclear sites that were targeted by U.S. strikes in June last year.

Last year, the IAEA estimated that Iran had stockpiled more than 970 pounds of uranium enriched to up to 60 percent fissile purity. A purity of 90 percent is considered weapons-grade.

Why Iran 2.0? Because the US was never going to have the intel after the Fordo strike to identify what happened to the 60% enriched uranium.  After 8 months, there has been plenty of time to clandestinely speed forward — as Iraq did after Israel’s Osirak attack in 1981. pic.twitter.com/xznZsywpbh

— Robert A. Pape (@ProfessorPape) February 21, 2026

According to Reuters, one option includes Tehran sending half of its most highly enriched uranium abroad, while the remainder is diluted, as well as establishing a regional enrichment consortium.

A senior Iranian official also told Reuters that Iran is willing to offer U.S. companies the opportunity to participate as contractors in its oil and gas industries.

With the possibility of a new nuclear deal, Republican lawmakers who have been pushing for a new military campaign against Iran are finding themselves being increasingly sidelined.

However, the Iranian government remains worried that, despite apparent progress being made on the nuclear issue, the Trump administration may still sanction an attack.

As well as U.S. pressure on its nuclear program, the Iranian regime is also facing serious problems closer to home, including a wave of protests, with violent clashes between demonstrators and the state-backed Basij militia. Most recently, violence has flared at universities in Tehran and the northeastern city of Mashhad.

Students chanted “Basij, Guards, you are our Daesh,” during a rally at Ferdowsi University in the northeastern city of Mashhad on Monday.pic.twitter.com/cDJ7Tbdzf2

— Iran International English (@IranIntl_En) February 23, 2026

Thousands of deaths have been reported in Iran since the protests began in December.

The full extent of the violence remains unclear, however, since the Iranian government has refused to permit a UN-led fact-finding team access to the country.

When the protests began, Trump made statements in support, telling the protesters that “help is on its way.” So far, however, a threatened military intervention has not materialized.

Now, Iran’s nuclear program is the subject of renewed focus, with talks likely later this week. Meanwhile, a significant U.S. military presence remains in the region, meaning that a large-scale attack on Iran is very much still an option.

For the time being, it looks like Iran’s offer of new concessions may be a last-ditch effort to keep diplomacy alive and avoid the prospect of a new military conflict.

Contact the author: thomas@thewarzone.com

Thomas is a defense writer and editor with over 20 years of experience covering military aerospace topics and conflicts. He’s written a number of books, edited many more, and has contributed to many of the world’s leading aviation publications. Before joining The War Zone in 2020, he was the editor of AirForces Monthly.




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