approval

Iran move World Cup base from US to Mexico with FIFA approval | World Cup 2026 News

Iran were expected to fly from Turkiye to Arizona to continue World Cup 2026 preparations but will switch to Mexico.

Iran will base ‌their squad in the Mexican border city of Tijuana ⁠during this ⁠year’s World Cup after football’s world governing body FIFA approved a request to move their training camp from Arizona, ⁠the head of Iran’s football federation said on Saturday.

“We will be based in the Tijuana camp, which is near the Pacific ⁠Ocean and on the border between Mexico and the United States,” Iran’s Football Federation President Mehdi Taj said in a video posted on its Telegram social media account.

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Taj added that the switch would help ‌avoid visa-related complications following the US-Israel war on Iran, and that the squad would be able to fly directly to Mexico with Iran Air.

Iran will play their first two Group G matches in Los Angeles, against New Zealand on June 15 and Belgium on June 21, ⁠before facing Egypt in Seattle on June 26.

“The ⁠total distance between us and the venue of our games in Los Angeles is 55 minutes by flight,” Taj said, adding that Tijuana was closer to their ⁠match venues than the team’s previously planned camp in Arizona.

Iran has faced uncertainty for months ⁠over travel and security arrangements for the ⁠World Cup, which will be cohosted by the United States, Canada and Mexico, and had asked for their games to be moved from the US.

Iranian officials said this month that their players and staff had yet to receive US ‌visas, less than a month before the start of the tournament. They began visa applications during their stay in Turkiye for pre-tournament training.

Taj said FIFA had been asked for guarantees over visas, security ‌and ‌the treatment of the Iranian delegation.

Iran are due to play Gambia in a friendly on May 29 before coach Amir Ghalenoei names his final 26-man World Cup squad by FIFA’s June 1 deadline.

The World Cup is from June 11 to July 19.

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Republican resistance to Iran war grows in the Senate as Murkowski flips

Senate Republicans on Wednesday again blocked Democratic legislation that would halt President Trump’s war with Iran, but the number of GOP senators voting against the war grew.

Republican Sen. Lisa Murkowski of Alaska voted against the war for the first time since it began at the end of February. Two other Republicans, Sens. Susan Collins of Maine and Rand Paul of Kentucky, also voted against the war, as they had done previously.

The war powers legislation ultimately failed to advance 49-50, with Sen. John Fetterman of Pennsylvania the only Democrat to oppose it, yet the close tally reflected growing unease with Trump’s war. Several other Republican senators have signaled they want Congress to weigh in on the direction of the conflict.

“There will be a day — and it might be soon, I believe — where this Senate will say to the president, ‘Stop this war,’” Democratic Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia, who has spearheaded his party’s tactic of forcing repeated votes on the war, said before the vote.

Even if it passes the Senate, a war powers resolution would have a slim chance of passing the House and would also certainly be vetoed by Trump. But Democrats say the votes are about building political pressure on the president either to withdraw from the conflict or seek congressional authorization to wage the war.

Trump officials downplay role for Congress

The White House, meanwhile, has asserted that it does not need congressional authorization for the war and has circumvented legal requirements to gain approval from Congress to continue the military campaign. It claims that it has “terminated” hostilities with Iran because the U.S. has entered a ceasefire.

That posture has created tension between the Republican-controlled Congress and the White House because presidents under the War Powers Resolution of 1973 are required to obtain authorization from Congress after 60 days of engaging in a conflict.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth told lawmakers this week that the U.S. could start attacking Iran again without the White House seeking congressional approval. He told Murkowski during a hearing on Tuesday that the Trump administration believes it has “all the authorities necessary.”

Murkowski voiced skepticism about that argument. She pointed to the troops and war ships deployed to the region, saying, “It doesn’t appear that hostilities have ended.”

GOP leaders back the war, but unease grows

Republican leadership has continued to back the war with Iran, arguing that the stalemate in the Strait of Hormuz that has blocked most commercial shipping puts more economic pressure on Iran than it does on the U.S.

“Iran’s economy is on life support. Its leadership is eliminated,” said Sen. John Barrasso, the No. 2 Republican in leadership, during a floor speech Wednesday.

He also argued that the Democratic effort on the war is all about undermining Trump. Forcing the issue just as he arrived in China for a summit would “pull out the rug from under him,” Barrasso said.

Still, Republicans are also growing uneasy about the high gas prices, especially as the November elections draw near.

Sen. Mike Rounds, a Republican from South Dakota, said Wednesday he’d prefer that the two branches of government work out the constitutional issues instead of a congressional war powers vote or a potential challenge in court.

The two sides should sit down together and say “we have shared constitutional responsibilities,” Rounds said.

Democrats plan to keep forcing weekly votes on war powers resolutions and are looking ahead to put limitations on Trump during the debate over annual legislation that authorizes and funds the military.

Sen. Jeff Merkley, an Oregon Democrat who sponsored Wednesday’s resolution, told reporters that he believes there is an “erosion of support, erosion of enthusiasm, an increase in skepticism” about the war from Republicans.

Groves writes for the Associated Press.

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Virginia Supreme Court strikes down Democrats’ redistricting plan, dimming party’s midterm hopes

The Virginia Supreme Court on Friday struck down a voter-approved Democratic congressional redistricting plan, delivering another major setback to the party in a nationwide battle against Republicans for an edge in this year’s midterm elections.

The court ruled that the state’s Democratic-led legislature violated procedural requirements when it placed the constitutional amendment on the ballot to authorize the mid-decade redistricting. Voters narrowly approved the amendment April 21, but the court’s ruling renders the results of that vote meaningless.

“This violation irreparably undermines the integrity of the resulting referendum vote and renders it null and void,” the court said in its opinion.

Democrats had hoped to win as many as four additional U.S. House seats under Virginia’s redrawn U.S. House map as part of an attempt to offset Republican redistricting done elsewhere at the urging of President Donald Trump. That ruling, combined with a recent U.S. Supreme Court decision severely weakening the Voting Rights Act, has supercharged the Republicans’ congressional gerrymandering advantage heading into this year’s midterm elections.

Legislative voting districts typically are redrawn once a decade after each census to account for population changes. But Trump started an unusual flurry of mid-decade redistricting last year when he encouraged Republican officials in Texas to redraw districts in a bid to win several additional U.S. House seats and hold on to their party’s narrow majority in the midterm elections.

California responded with new voter-approved districts drawn to Democrats’ advantage, and Utah’s top court imposed a new congressional map that also helps Democrats. Meanwhile, Republicans stand to gain from new House districts passed in Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio and Tennessee. They could add even more after the U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling in the Voting Rights Act case, which has prompted some other Republican states to consider redrawing their maps in time for this year’s elections.

Virginia currently is represented in the U.S. House by six Democrats and five Republicans who were elected from districts imposed by a court after a bipartisan redistricting commission failed to agree on a map after the 2020 census. The new districts could have given Democrats an improved chance to win all but one of the state’s 11 congressional seats.

Under the Demcoratic-drawn map, five districts would have been anchored in the Democratic stronghold of northern Virginia, including one stretching out like a lobster to consume Republican-leaning rural areas. Revisions to four other districts across Richmond, southern Virginia and Hampton Roads would have diluted the voting power of conservative blocs in those areas. And a reshaped district in parts of western Virginia would have lumped together three Democratic-leaning college towns to offset other Republican voters.

The state Supreme Court’s seven justices are appointed by the state legislature, which has toggled back and forth between Democratic, Republican and split control over recent years. Legal experts say the body doesn’t have a set ideological profile

The case before the court focused not on the shape of the new districts but rather on the process the General Assembly used to authorize them.

Because the state’s redistricting commission was established by a voter-approved constitutional amendment, lawmakers had to propose an amendment to redraw the districts. That required approval of a resolution in two separate legislative sessions, with a state election sandwiched in between, to place the amendment on the ballot.

The legislature’s initial approval of the amendment occurred last October — while early voting was underway but before it concluded on the day of the general election. The legislature’s second vote on the amendment occurred after a new legislative session began in January. Lawmakers also approved a separate bill in February laying out the new districts, subject to voter approval of the constitutional amendment.

Judicial arguments focused on whether the legislature’s initial approval of the amendment came too late, because early voting already had begun for the 2025 general election.

Attorney Matthew Seligman, who defended the legislature, argued that the “election” should be defined narrowly to mean the Tuesday of the general election. In that case, the legislature’s first vote on the redistricting amendment occurred before the election and was constitutional, he told judges.

An attorney for the plaintiffs, Thomas McCarthy, argued that an “election” should be interpreted to cover the entire period during which people can cast ballots, which lasts several weeks in Virginia. If that’s the case, he told justices, then the legislature’s initial endorsement of the redistricting amendment came too late to comply with the state constitution.

In January, a judge in rural Tazewell County, in southwestern Virginia, ruled that lawmakers failed to follow their own rules for adding the redistricting amendment to a special session last fall. Circuit Judge Jack Hurley Jr. also ruled that lawmakers failed to initially approve the amendment before the public began voting in last year’s general election and that the state had failed to publish the amendment three months before the election, as required by law. As a result, he said, the amendment is invalid and void.

The Virginia Supreme Court placed Hurley’s order on hold and allowed the redistricting vote to proceed before hearing arguments on the case.

Lieb writes for the Associated Press.

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Iran Ceasefire Means Trump Needs No Congressional Approval To Continue War: White House

The 60-day clock for President Trump to seek congressional approval for further military actions against Iran was stopped by the April 7 ceasefire, a senior White House official claimed to The War Zone Friday morning. As we previously noted, the president faced a deadline today under the War Powers Resolution of 1973 to obtain permission from Congress to continue fighting.

The White House decision comes as the now-paused war is at a stalemate, with both sides believing they can outlast the other. Meanwhile, Trump is considering options for a new round of strikes while Iranians say they have presented new plans for working toward a peace deal.

“For War Powers Resolution purposes, the hostilities that began on Saturday, February 28 have terminated,” the official told us, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss the matter. “Both parties agreed to a two-week ceasefire on Tuesday, April 7 that has since been extended. There has been no exchange of fire between U.S. Armed Forces and Iran since Tuesday, April 7.”

The administration’s statement today follows War Secretary Pete Hegseth’s Congressional testimony yesterday that “the 60-day clock pauses or stops in a ceasefire.”

🚨🛑🚨
US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth says a ceasefire could pause the 60-day war powers deadline, but Senator Tim Kaine argues the law may not allow it.
Source::CNN news pic.twitter.com/NfzHb79NEC

— Naki (@Naki_BK8) May 1, 2026

Under the War Powers Resolution, the use of armed forces should be terminated within 60 days unless Congress has declared war or voted to approve a 30-day extension. Since Trump formally notified Congress about the Iran war on March 2, that deadline fell today. Even though several other presidents have simply ignored the War Powers Resolution, the Trump administration is now arguing that the measure doesn’t really apply to their operation just yet.

It remains unclear how or if Congress will react. It adjourned yesterday for a week-long recess. On Thursday, the Senate rejected the latest of many resolutions intended to halt the war, The Washington Post noted

Republican lawmakers appear to be deferring to Trump on the issue of the War Powers Resolution. Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., told The Associated Press on Thursday that he doesn’t plan on a vote to authorize force in Iran or otherwise weigh in.

“I’m listening carefully to what the members of our conference are saying, and at this point I don’t see that,” Thune said.

Republican Sen. Kevin Cramer of North Dakota said he’d vote for an authorization of war if Trump asked for it. But he questioned if the War Powers Act, passed during the Vietnam War era as a way for Congress to claw back its power, is even constitutional.

“Our founders created a really strong executive, like it or not like it,” Cramer said.

In a post on X, Republican Sen. Susan Collins of Maine, who joined with nearly all Democrats for the vote, said Trump’s authority as commander in chief is “not without limits.”

The 60-day deadline “is not a suggestion; it is a requirement,” she said, adding that further military action “must have a clear mission, achievable goals, and a defined strategy for bringing the conflict to a close.”

As I have said since these hostilities with Iran began, the President’s authority as Commander-in-Chief is not without limits. The Constitution gives Congress an essential role in decisions of war and peace, and the War Powers Act establishes a clear 60-day deadline for Congress…

— Sen. Susan Collins (@SenatorCollins) April 30, 2026

UPDATES

Iran says that it has “delivered its latest proposal for negotiations based on efforts to end the war to Pakistan,” the official Iranian IRNA news outlet reported on Friday.

“Iran handed over the text to Pakistan – a mediator for negotiations with the United States – on Thursday evening,” IRNA stated, without providing any details about what it entailed.

​Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Esmaeil Baqaei emphasized in a television interview “that ending the war and establishing a sustainable peace remain Tehran’s main priorities in negotiations with the United States,” according to IRNA.

However, how much the new proposals will move the needle is unclear. Trump’s major demand is that Iran give up its nuclear ambitions. Baqaei’s comments followed those yesterday by Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, that seem to be in opposition to Trump’s demand. Khamenei said that his country will protect its “nuclear and missile capabilities” as a national asset and that the only place Americans belong in the Persian Gulf is “at the bottom of its waters.”

As we noted yesterday, the injured Iranian supreme leader rarely communicates publicly and Trump claims there is a fracture in Tehran’s government, making negotiations difficult. The schism in Iranian leadership should come as no surprise. This is exactly what we predicted could happen before the war even started.

Pakistan has been serving as an intermediary between the U.S. and Iran. Talks in Islamabad on April 11 concluded without reaching an agreement to end the war.

Iran submitted a revised negotiation proposal to the United States through Pakistani mediators on Thursday, IRNA news agency reported on Friday.

Foreign ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei earlier said Tehran seeks a durable peace in talks with Washington, even as senior clerics… pic.twitter.com/UwdvXeVDOU

— Iran International English (@IranIntl_En) May 1, 2026

While details of the new plan are unknown, CNN International Diplomatic Editor Nic Robertson said that from talking to sources, it could involve a situation where the U.S. lifts its blockade of Iranian ports at the same time Iran ends its closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

At the 11th hour in Pakistan Iran’s proposal arrives – will it go far enough for the US President – here’s what we know about it pic.twitter.com/j7r4QB5sUB

— Nic Robertson (@NicRobertsonCNN) May 1, 2026

U.S. Central Command commander Adm. Brad Cooper and Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Gen. Dan Caine briefed President Trump Thursday night for 45 minutes “on new operational plans for potential strikes against Iran,” Axios reported on X, citing two senior American officials.

As we noted yesterday, CENTCOM has prepared three options, according to Axios. They include: 

  • “Short and powerful” waves of strikes on Iran, likely including infrastructure targets. 
  • “Taking over part of the Strait of Hormuz to reopen it to commercial shipping. Such an operation could include ground forces,” one source told the outlet.
  • A “special forces operation to secure Iran’s stockpile of highly enriched uranium.” As we have reported in the past, such an operation faces tremendous challenges and great risk for a questionable chance of success.

“President Trump has all the cards as negotiations continue, and he always has all options at his disposal to ensure that Iran can never possess a nuclear weapon,” White House deputy press secretary Anna Kelly told us Friday morning in response to our query about the briefing. CENTCOM declined comment and the Joint Chiefs have not responded to our request.

מפקד פיקוד מרכז של צבא ארה”ב האדמירל בראד קופר וראש המטות המשולבים הגנרל דן קיין תדרכו הלילה את הנשיא טראמפ במשך 45 דקות על תכניות מבצעיות חדשות לתקיפות אפשריות נגד איראן, כך לפי שני בכירים אמריקנים https://t.co/p4GOe8rdAf

— Barak Ravid (@BarakRavid) May 1, 2026

Addressing one of those options listed by Axios, Iranian MP and member of the negotiation delegation Mahmoud Nabavian warned that if Iranian leaders are assassinated in any attack, leaders of Persian Gulf nations “will be killed and their palaces destroyed.”

Iranian MP and member of the negotiation delegation Mahmoud Nabavian states that if Iranian leaders are assassinated in any attack, all of the complicit despots in the Persian Gulf will be killed and their palaces destroyed. pic.twitter.com/JUioYttQtc

— Seyed Mohammad Marandi (@s_m_marandi) May 1, 2026

While Israel has managed to meet its military objectives against Iran, leaving the Islamic Republic with highly enriched uranium would be a huge mistake, a senior military official told the Israeli Ynet media outlet.

The air force established an “Iran Department,” and the goals that had been set were achieved, the anonymous official told the publication.

“Now we will see whether another ‘clarification’ is needed to make them sit down for negotiations,’” the senior military official told the outlet, adding that “without a solution to the issue of uranium enrichment and the nuclear program, it will be one major failure.”

Israel Air Force chief exits with warning: no nuclear deal with Iran would be ‘a major failure’

Maj. Gen. Tomer Bar is ending 39 years in uniform after leading the Israel Air Force through October 7, internal reservist turmoil, his…https://t.co/AOAmxFbB64 pic.twitter.com/xwsLRe3Zyn

— Ynet Global (@ynetnews) May 1, 2026

An Iranian official claims that last night, “small enemy drones appeared to assess the country’s air defense, and Iran’s air defense responded decisively.”

“The Islamic Republic must respond offensively to the presence of micro-drones so that the enemy does not make such a mistake again,” said Ali Khodarian, Iranian National Security Commission of the Parliament Member. He did not say whose drones flew over Iran.

The War Zone cannot independently verify that claim, but this would be very much in line with preparations for resuming the air war. Stimulating an enemy’s air defense network via decoy drones would provide critical intelligence on the enemy’s electronic order of battle, including the status and locations of threat emitters and Iran’s ability to respond.

JUST IN: Iranian National Security Commission of the Parliament Member, Khodarian:

“Last night, small enemy drones appeared to assess the country’s air defense, and Iran’s air defense responded decisively. The Islamic Republic must respond offensively to the presence of… pic.twitter.com/pri0iBauOd

— Sulaiman Ahmed (@ShaykhSulaiman) May 1, 2026

Khodarian’s comments follow video emerging on social media last night showing Iranian air defenses firing over Tehran.

In a major sign of growing cooperation between Israel and Gulf nations spurred by the war, Israel “sent sophisticated weapons systems — including an advanced laser — to the United Arab Emirates to help defend the Gulf monarchy from a ferocious onslaught of Iranian missiles and drones,” Financial Times reported.

Israel sent the UAE a version of its Iron Beam laser defense system, FT stated, citing one person familiar with the deployment and another with knowledge of the preparations to operate the system.

As we have previously explained, Iron Beam is a trailer-mounted weapon using directed-energy to destroy targets, including rockets, mortars, and drones. Reports described the system as firing “an electric 100-150 kW solid-state laser that will be capable of intercepting rockets and missiles.”

It was first deployed by Israel earlier this year to defend against incoming Hezbollah projectiles from Lebanon. 

Israel also provided UAE with its lightweight Spectro surveillance system, “which helped the Gulf nation detect incoming drones, especially Shaheds, from as far as 20km away,” the publication stated. The system “integrates a wide range of digital imaging, high-definition optical sensors and advanced lasers, providing simultaneous multi-spectral observation capabilities and enabling ultra-long-range detection,” according to the Israel manufacturer Elbit

In addition to Iron Dome, #Israel dispatched a version of the Iron Beam laser-based air defense system to the United Arab Emirates during the recent fighting with #Iran to help protect the Gulf nation from missile and drone attacks. https://t.co/AAuUpfxyxK

— Jason Brodsky (@JasonMBrodsky) May 1, 2026

A satellite image emerging on social media purports to show that Iran is continuing to load oil onto tankers at Kharg Island.

“No sign yet Tehran has run out of storage, despite baseless claims from the White House,” Javiar Blas, energy and commodities columnist at Bloomberg stated on X. 

As we previously reported, Trump suggested that Iran’s oil infrastructure could “explode” in about three days because of mechanical and geologic issues exacerbated by the blockade.

Transits of the Strait of Hormuz continue to decline during the ongoing closure by Iran and U.S. blockade of Iranian ports.

As of April 30, “Hormuz crossings reduced to seven transits, split between four commercial and three non-commercial movements, with direction broadly balanced at four west-to-east versus three east-to-west,” the global trade intelligence firm Kpler stated on X. “Only two laden west-to-east crossings were recorded, under Pakistani and Comoros flags carrying [refined petroleum] and dry bulk, while higher-risk tonnage remained limited with just three shadow or sanctioned vessels observed and the rest assessed low-risk.”

No new physical attacks have been recorded since April 22, Kpler added, with permissive passages continuing.

Strait of Hormuz | Daily Vessel Crossings

As of 30 April, Hormuz crossings halved d/d to seven transits, split between four commercial and three non-commercial movements, with direction broadly balanced at four west-to-east versus three east-to-west.
Only two laden west-to-east… pic.twitter.com/y5Mc39xarg

— Kpler (@Kpler) May 1, 2026

The UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) group says strait transits have fallen by more than 90%, leaving 850 merchant ships and around 20,000 sailors trapped inside the Gulf and unable to leave. 

The Royal Navy maritime monitoring team has warned that shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen by more than 90 per cent, with 850 merchant ships and around 20,000 sailors trapped inside the Gulf and unable to leave. Click image for more.https://t.co/XgKDZjSzql

— UK Defence Journal (@UKDefJournal) May 1, 2026

Despite a ceasefire, Israel said it has continued attacking Hezbollah positions in southern Lebanon.

Troops from the Paratroopers Brigade, Givati Brigade, Commando Brigade, and the Fire Brigade (214), under the command of the 98th Division, have operated in recent weeks in the area of the town of Bint Jbeil to clear the area of Hezbollah infrastructure and eliminated its fighters, the IDF said on Telegram.

“During the operations, the troops dismantled more than 900 terrorist infrastructure sites, located hundreds of weapons, and eliminated more than 200 terrorists in close-quarters combat and precise airstrikes.”

“After it was identified as booby-trapped, the Israeli Air Force struck and dismantled the stadium as part of the division’s efforts to locate and dismantle infrastructure used for terrorist purposes,” IDF claimed. “The IDF will continue to operate against threats to the citizens of the State of Israel and IDF forces, in accordance with the directives of the political echelon.”

IDF Division 98 completed a large-scale clearing operation in southern Lebanon. Hundreds of Hezbollah infrastructure sites destroyed, over 200 terrorists eliminated, and massive weapons stockpiles seized.

A town stadium rigged by Hezbollah as a booby-trapped compound was among… pic.twitter.com/l0SGpZXI1h

— Open Source Intel (@Osint613) May 1, 2026

Contact the author: howard@thewarzone.com

Howard is a Senior Staff Writer for The War Zone, and a former Senior Managing Editor for Military Times. Prior to this, he covered military affairs for the Tampa Bay Times as a Senior Writer. Howard’s work has appeared in various publications including Yahoo News, RealClearDefense, and Air Force Times.




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Delcy’s Approval is Already Slipping

Venezuela has spent three months measuring the exact moment when a collective expectation begins to turn into disappointment. The monthly surveys conducted by AtlasIntel and Bloomberg for LatAm Pulse Venezuela, fielded in February, March, and April 2026, document a political process with a name, a direction, and a speed. What they show is unequivocal: Delcy Rodríguez is not consolidating a transitional government. She is managing one that is eroding by disguising that transition rather than carrying it out.

This is not a collapse in her popularity, but a clear downward trend is already visible.

The numbers are precise. In February, 37% of Venezuelans approved of Rodríguez’s performance. By April, that figure had fallen to 31.4%. Disapproval rose from 44.3% to 47.1%. In absolute terms, the gap between those who approve and those who disapprove widened from 7 to nearly 16 points in 90 days.

The most revealing data point is not approval but performance evaluation. Those rating her government as “excellent or good” dropped from 23.4% to 16.2%. That share did not migrate into outright rejection. It moved into the “average” category, which grew from 34.7% to 45.3% and is now dominant. That shift suggests disappointment more than anger, and the former is far harder to reverse than open rejection.

The segment that once supported Rodríguez is the one moving the most. A first conclusion is that the management of expectations created on January 3 is not working. Almost 120 days into her time in power, people are not really buying the narrative.

To understand why these segments are shifting, the economic data must be read in parallel. In February, 78% of Venezuelans believed the country would improve over the next six months. That was the optimism of the historical moment, the expectation unleashed on January 3. Three months later, that optimism has dropped 23 points. Today, 55% still expect improvement.

According to these figures, public perceptions of the opposition remain intact.

Meanwhile, reality has not moved: 77% still rate the country’s economic situation as bad. The labor market is perceived as equally deteriorated. The Consumer Confidence Index fell from +14.7 in February to -1.9 in April. The expectations index dropped from +58.3 to +34.6.

The gap between what was expected and what is being experienced is the engine behind everything else. And that gap does not weigh equally on everyone. That vulnerable Venezuelan who, even in crisis, continued to rely on Chavismo out of necessity, obligation, or support (the lower-income, less-educated, a beneficiary of the Patria system who gave Rodríguez the benefit of the doubt) also expected that the post–January 3 shift would be felt in their pocket, their job, their daily life. Three months later, they do not feel it.

Chavismo and the opposition

The leadership approval ranking measured by AtlasIntel completes the picture. María Corina Machado holds a positive image among 56% of participants without losing a point in three months, with a +30 net rating. Edmundo González stands at 49% with +24 points. According to these figures, public perceptions of the opposition remain intact.

The contrast with the Chavista bloc is stark. No government figure has a positive net rating. Diosdado Cabello stands at -52 points, Jorge Rodríguez at -51, and Nicolás Maduro at -46. Rodríguez is the “least negative” within the bloc at -30, but still deeply in negative territory. The Chavista leadership, without exception, occupies extremely high rejection levels, a clear reflection of how the public views anything associated with Maduro.

Ruling is easy when you control the entire State. Legitimizing power requires improving people’s lives. That is the debt the public is now charging to Rodríguez.

Venezuela is moving from the expectations born on January 3 toward reality. And the reality is that Rodríguez’s government is not being perceived as the solution—it is increasingly being identified as the continuation of the problem left behind by Maduro. AtlasIntel identifies corruption as the country’s number one issue for 53% of respondents. The weakening of democracy ranks third at 32.8%. The public does not confuse management with change.

Rodríguez has not lost her critics, a majority that was never with her. What she is losing is politically more costly: her believers. Those who, without being part of the opposition, expected something to change. Those who gave her the benefit of the doubt at the peak of collective expectation Venezuela had not seen in years. That movement, which is quiet and without headlines, is what AtlasIntel’s data captures month after month with a clarity that official discourse cannot conceal.

AtlasIntel sampling

The data for this analysis comes from a random digital recruitment survey (Atlas RDR) conducted among 4,629 Venezuelans between April 24 and 28, 2026. Like all digital polling in Venezuela, the method carries a known structural bias: it overrepresents populations with active internet access, implying a relative underrepresentation of rural areas, older adults, and lower-income sectors without stable connectivity. Absolute figures should be interpreted with caution.

However, the instrument’s real value lies not in a snapshot but in its month-to-month tracking. If the bias is constant (as it is in this case, given that the digital profile captured remains structurally the same each month) then movements between measurements reflect real changes in opinion. A miscalibrated thermometer still detects a fever. And what this three-month series detects is unequivocal: erosion is real, sustained, and advancing among the segments Rodríguez could least afford to lose.

Managing power is relatively simple when the instruments of the State are in hand. Legitimizing it requires improving people’s lives. That is the debt these three months of surveys are charging to Rodríguez’s government.

If this continues, her own base could withdraw its support in the worst possible way: through the disappointment of those making a final bet on trust after years of having lost it. That kind of disappointment does not reverse, and may represent a more dangerous political rupture than outright rejection.

Chavismo wants to remain in control. But time is charging the opportunity for change that people saw on January 3. If that change does not arrive, it will be demanded. Without elections, it will be very difficult for them to claim to represent the country’s leadership before a population that no longer believes in them. Elections are necessary and urgent. Can chavismo avoid them?

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NCAA basketball tournaments reportedly set to expand to 76 teams

Ever-growing power conferences are the driving force behind an impending expansion of the NCAA men’s and women’s basketball tournaments, which ESPN reported could be formalized within weeks and begin next season.

The field would grow from 68 teams to 76 that would include eight additional at-large teams in each tournament. The current First Four — eight teams playing four games — would expand to 12 games played by 24 teams at two sites on the first Tuesday and Wednesday of the tournament. The traditional 64-team bracket would begin Thursday as usual.

Mid-majors likely are tempering any celebration. The change might not mean more invitations to the Big Dance for underdogs because the NCAA and its media partners favor large, established schools with large, established fan bases for viewership and revenue.

The Power Four — the Big Ten, SEC, Big 12 and ACC — plus the Big East comprise 79 schools and continue to add rather than subtract. Even teams with conference records under .500 are usually considered more desirable additions to March Madness than mid-major potential Cinderellas.

Power conference teams play more highly regarded opponents than do mid-majors, who often struggle to schedule top opponents. That’s called strength of schedule, and advanced metrics such as KenPom, NET and Wins Above Bubble usually favor power conference schools.

It’s a bit too soon to start listing schools that likely would make the cut next March after missing out in recent years. The NCAA cautioned that the expansion is not official — yet.

“Expanding the basketball tournaments would require approval from multiple NCAA committees, including the men’s and women’s basketball committees, and no final recommendation or decisions have been made at this time,” the NCAA said in a statement.

Those final steps have been initiated, and one anonymous source told ESPN that approval by those committees “are just formalities.”

The women’s tournament would include the same expansion — and likely also favor the addition of teams from the power conferences.

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Trump approval dips to record low amid Iran war, inflation woes: Poll | Donald Trump News

Only 22 percent of US voters back the president’s performance on the cost of living, Reuters/Ipsos survey suggests.

United States President Donald Trump’s approval rating has dropped to its lowest point since he returned to the White House, sinking to 34 percent amid economic uncertainty and the US-Israel war on Iran, a Reuters/Ipsos poll suggests.

The poll, released on Tuesday, also showed that only 22 percent of respondents back Trump’s performance on the cost of living. Affordability has been a top issue for US voters.

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The Iran war, which saw Tehran block most shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, has sent energy prices soaring across the world and fuelled inflation in the US.

The Reuters poll was conducted April 24-27, and it surveyed 1,014 US adults.

It comes months before the midterm elections in November when Trump’s Republican Party will have to contend with the US president’s abysmal job approval ratings as it tries to retain control of the Senate and House of Representatives.

Trump continues to enjoy near-unanimous support from Republicans in Congress despite growing criticism of the war on Iran by some right-wing commentators and podcasters.

The conflict has also been unpopular with US voters, including a sizeable Republican constituency.

A Marquette Law School survey released last week suggested that only 32 percent of voters approve of Trump’s handling of the war.

The number rose to 65 percent among Republican respondents, but it still showed significant dissent within the party on the issue.

A separate Associated Press-NORC poll last week reported similar findings – Trump’s overall approval rating at 33 percent, support for the war at 32 percent and his handling of the economy at 30 percent.

The US and Iran reached a two-week ceasefire on April 8 that Trump extended indefinitely, but tensions remain high in the region.

Duelling blockades in the Gulf – Iran shutting down the Strait of Hormuz and the US laying a naval siege on Iranian ports – have caused global energy supply issues to persist despite the truce.

In the US, the average price of 1 gallon (3.8 litres) of petrol is currently at $4.17, up from less than $3 before the war.

Still, Trump has suggested that he is comfortable with the status quo, claiming repeatedly that the Iranian economy is crumbling and that time is on his side.

“Iran has just informed us that they are in a ‘State of Collapse,’” the US president wrote in a social media post on Tuesday.

“They want us to ‘Open the Hormuz Strait,’ as soon as possible, as they try to figure out their leadership situation (Which I believe they will be able to do!)”

It’s not clear how or why Iran, which is currently refusing to hold direct negotiations with the US without it lifting the naval blockade, would inform Trump that its own economy is collapsing.

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