Details remain very limited at this time, but an F-15 went down in the Middle East. Accounts online claim it occurred over Kuwait. Videos show the aircraft in a flat spin while ablaze, with its vertical tails missing and fire coming from its empennage, before crashing into the ground. At least one crewman safely ejected.
Unconfirmed reports say it was a friendly fire incident, but we cannot confirm that nor who the jet belongs to. The Israeli Air Force or the USAF are highly active over the area to access Iran (primarily via eastern Iraq), as well defend against incoming drones. Both countries fly F-15s. Saudi Arabia and Qatar also fly the F-15 in the region. The aircraft involved looks like it could be Strike Eagle derivative, which is flown by all the countries listed, but that is also inconclusive at this time. Israel and Saudi Arabia also fly single seat F-15A/Cs. No USAF F-15Cs are deployed to the CENTCOM area of responsibility.
A video shows one crewman, without any visible insignia on his uniform, on the ground and standing near his parachute. Another view shows him or another crew member in the back of an SUV in relatively good condition, at least by the looks of it.
The battlespace is extremely complex and the threat of friendly fire is very real considering how many missiles and drones Iran is firing west and how much damage those weapons can do, as well as all the tactical aircraft coming and going. It isn’t clear if the incident had anything to do with Arab countries such as Saudi Arabia signaling they may jump into the fight, even in a defensive manner. Doing so is more complicated than it sounds and the U.S. and Israel may push to see this does not happen as deconflicting the airspace and integrating other allies into carefully crafted battle plans is extremely challenging at this stage and fraught with risk. This is exactly what I mentioned on X earlier tonight prior to this incident.
At the same time, mechanical failures of a catastrophic nature also happen. We just don’t know what occurred at this time.
If this was a USAF or IAF jet, it would be the first known coalition aircraft loss of the war.
Once again, the details could and are likely to change as we find out more about what happened and who was involved.
UPDATE: 2:02 AM EST—
Additional videos and images are emerging, but we cannot verify them, so they must be treated as unconfirmed.
One video shows what is claimed to be the moment the F-15 was hit or had a detonation of some kind. Again, we cannot confirm the authenticity of the short clip:
Additional stills, claim to show two other crewman, a female aviator and another male with a bloody hand, on the ground. There are claims that two aircraft were shot down, not just one. Again, this should be treated as unconfirmed at this time.
Another image claims to show the moment one of the crewmen was approached by locales who demanded they surrender. The ejection seat’s life raft can be seen in the foreground:
Contact the author: Tyler@TWZ.com