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MANCHESTER City’s title defence appears to be gathering pace but can a Brentford side playing better than results suggest throw a spanner in the works?

⏩ Quick betting tips for Brentford vs Manchester City

Brentford vs Manchester City odds

Here are the latest match odds for Brentford vs Manchester City from our top-rated football bookies. Odds are subject to change.

Brentford vs Manchester City betting preview

It’s often said that Man City’s title match begins in the new year and they appear to be living up to such expectations.

They’ve won all four matches so far in 2024 to extend their winning run to eight in total.

The returns of star men Kevin de Bruyne and Erling Haaland should concern their title rivals and with Liverpool at Arsenal on Sunday there’s a chance (at time of writing) they could take control of the title race with victory in this contest.

If Liverpool lose and City win, there will be just two points between the pair with City having a game in hand.

Pep Guardiola’s side are around the 2/5 mark for victory, which is no surprise, particularly given Brentford’s form – it’s just one win in nine for the Bees.

Yet in midweek, Thomas Frank’s men once again showed they are better than recent results suggest – they left Spurs wondering how they’d lost 3-2.

The underlying data backs up the theory that performances levels are above results (see below) and with Ivan Toney back and already scoring goals, they could prove a tougher nut to crack than the market thinks.

Bet on Brentford vs Manchester City. 18+ BeGambleAware.org - Please play responsibly.1

Bet on Brentford vs Manchester City. 18+ BeGambleAware.org – Please play responsibly.

Brentford vs Manchester City key stats

  • Only Liverpool and Everton have had more set-piece shots than Brentford this season.
  • Manchester City have won eight in a row in all competitions, while Brentford have won just won of their last nine.
  • Bees’ striker Ivan Toney has scored in both of his games since returning to action following a nine-month betting ban.
  • The expected-points table, based on expected-goals data, gives Brentford 10 more points than they actually have – they sit ninth in those standings (as opposed to 16th in reality).
  • Erling Haaland, who remains top of the Premier League goalscoring list, returned to action after injury in midweek as a substitute and could make his first start for two months in this game.

Brentford vs Manchester City best bets

Find our best bets for the Brentford vs Manchester City game below. Odds for the bets are provided by the best sportsbooks per our expert reviews. Odds in the bettings tips are subject to change.

Brentford (-2) on the handicap

The Bees have covered this line in three of their four meetings with City since being promoted to the top flight and while recent results don’t exactly inspire confidence, the underlying data suggests they are more than capable of being competitive.

Their expected-goals figure is more than seven above their actual goal tally and now Ivan Toney is back, there’s a good chance that gap won’t continue to widen.

The Bees are in the top half of the expected-points table which further highlights that this is unlikely to be easy for the visitors.

Back Brentford (-2) on the handicap at 8/11 with Spreadex

Bernardo Silva over 0.5 shots on target

The Portuguese star has landed this bet in nine of his last 10 starts, so it’s surprising that odds-against is being offered.

Admittedly, those 10 games have virtually mirrored the time Erling Haaland has spent out of action and so Silva’s role may be slightly different should the Norwegian return to the starting line-up.

However, the price still looks very much worth taking, especially if you feel City will continue on their merry, winning way.

Back Silva 1+ shot on target at 11/10 with bet365

Rodri anytime scorer

Another City-related bet worth considering is Rodri to score, something he’s managed in two of his last four games.

The Spanish midfielder loves to get forward and is also a threat from set-plays.

He’s had a shot in nine of his last 10 games and 2+ shots in six of those.

Very much in the running for the PFA player of the year award, Rodri looks good value to find the net again in west London at almost 6/1.

Back Rodri to score at any time at 23/4 with BetUK

📺 How to watch Brentford vs Manchester City

  • Location: Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, England
  • Time: 20:00 GMT on Monday, February 5
  • Where to watch: Sky Sports Premier League and Main Event

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