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Europe warned of potential new “major” migration crisis

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The bitter conflict in Sudan amounts to a genocide but it could get much worse, an event in Brussels was told.

Hundreds of people are being killed and seriously injured on a daily basis in the blood letting but the West, including the EU, is said to be largely “silent” on events in the region.

However, this may quickly change if the fighting spills into neighbouring states with a subsequent influx of refugees seeking asylum in Europe.

That was a key message to emerge from the debate at Brussels Press Club on 23 November. The Brussels-based policy institute European Foundation for Democracy organised the event. The event was timely as it comes just ahead of the 75th anniversary of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights (December 10). This is a milestone event and the theme this year is “equality, freedom and justice for all.”

Guest speaker M’backe N’diaye, an expert on African policy and the Sahel region, who told reporters  there are fears that the current fighting could spill into other countries nearby.

He said this, in turn, could lead to new waves of migration and up to 25 million potential new refugees. This could trigger a mass migration wave that could create a major crisis in the region and eventually for Europe, he warned.

Another concern is the rise of Jihadist organisations who, he said, are already present and active in Sudan.

The current unrest and tensions could, he went on to warn, create a new safe haven for these organisations which would pose major risks for the Sahel region.

This matters for Europe, he said, because many radical organisations in the region have close links with those in Europe.

Although the media seem to ignore the issues, there are major potential consequences of what is  happening in Darfur for the region including further instability in the region and the impact on other countries in the Sahel and beyond  such as Egypt and Libya, plus a new migration crisis – “a major risk for the region and for Europe” – and new safe havens for jihadist groups.

“Jihadist groups are already very active in the region and such developments create the perfect environment for jihadist groups to grow stronger. This is a risk for the region, but also for Europe.”

Sudan’s Rapid Support Forces, RSF, a Sudanese-Arab militia, is blamed for more than 50 days of attacks on the city’s majority ethnic African tribe. 

The RSF is a paramilitary force drawn largely from Arab groups, and allied Arab militias known as Janjaweed. It was formed in 2013 and has its origins in the notorious Janjaweed militia that brutally fought rebels in Darfur, where they were accused of ethnic cleansing. The RSF has been accused of human rights abuses, including the massacre of more than 120 protesters in June 2019. 

M’backe N’diaye asked, “The question is: why the silence by the international community? We see or hear nothing – just total silence and this is disturbing not least when you see huge media coverage of Ukraine and Israel-Hamas in the mainstream media. No one says anything.”

M’backe N’diaye said, “I ask myself: How do we make this problem known to the rest of the world?

“The number of of people dying is 3 to 4 times bigger than in other conflicts and is estimated that the figure could be 300,000 over the past 20 years.

“From time to time we do get some coverage but, even then, the focus is more on the economy than genocide which is another kind of injustice to the ethnic minority under attack.”

He was asked to explain what may be behind the apparent media indifference and, on this, he said that one possible reason is that working for the media in Sudan “is very difficult.”

The few in the media who do try cover the issue are probably located on the border or outside the country, he said. “But people are being killed and starving and no one is paying attention.”

“One problems is that West Sudan is like a no man’s land, with poor infrastructure and facilities, so it is hard for a foreigner to go there and do their job properly. That is a difference with, say, Ukraine. The war in Sudan is a war of poor people.”

Another possible reason for such “silence” in the international community is  the absence of a functioning civil society or media in the country.

“A strong  civil society is very important in a democracy but this does not exist there on anything like the same level as elsewhere. 

“Civil society in Africa barely exists as we know it in the West  and there is no altruism or philanthropy either. There is no big movement to say: we have to stop this and do something”

In its recent statement the EU said, “The international community cannot turn a blind eye on what is happening in Darfur and allow another genocide to happen in this region.”

But M’backe N’diaye says that is exactly what is happening.

“It is terrifying  to see what is going on and the fact that nothing is being done to talk about all these murders.The aim seems to be to eliminate an entire ethic group and thousands are being  killed every day including children and women.

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