Wed. Jun 26th, 2024
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The president’s numbers were likely to be disappointing for him and his campaign in a number of important demographics, including among voters under 30, Hispanic voters, African American voters and urban voters. “In a remarkable sign of a gradual racial realignment between the two parties, the more diverse the swing state, the farther Mr. Biden was behind, and he led only in the whitest of the six,” the New York Times reported.

Most damning for Biden were the numbers on whether the country was on the “right track or wrong direction.” At least 60 percent of the voters in each state said the nation was headed in the wrong direction.

Among independent voters, Biden held a slight edge over Trump, 39 percent to 37 percent. The percentage of those polled who said they would vote for another candidate if the choices were Biden and Trump ranged from 2 percent in Nevada to 6 percent in Georgia.

Trump’s numbers reflected some weaknesses as well: In every state polled at least 44 percent of the voters said there was “not really any chance” that they would support Trump. But Biden’s numbers were worse, with at least 47 percent of the voters in every state saying there was “not really any chance” they would support Biden, including a majority, 52 percent, in both Pennsylvania and Nevada.

Among those who said they voted in 2020, more of those polled in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan and Wisconsin said they voted for Biden that year. Trump had a slight edge in Nevada and Pennsylvania.

The polls of 3,662 registered voters were conducted by telephone using live operators Oct. 22-Nov. 3. The margin of sampling error for each state is from 4.4 to 4.8 percentage points.

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